EFL Championship Predictor as of September 16
Brought to you by Python (the programming language)!
How it works: A computer program reads in the completed results and simulates the rest of the season many times, using a fairly simple match engine for scores and basing results on the ELO ratings of the two teams. The ELO ratings are guessed at the start of the season, using several sources of pre-season predictions, but will fluctuate based on results in the actual games played, eventually making the initial ELO predictions almost irrelevant. In each sim the program simulates the EFL playoffs and counts how many times each team finishes in each position, relegated or promoted. This file will be updated as EFL results come in, so check back often!
Scroll down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.
0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.
Latest results added: BRI 0-1 LIN, MID 2-2 MIL.
Weekend: Friday: BRI - WAT. Saturday: CAR - CHA, MIL - WHM, STO - SHU, BIR - MID, BUR - DER, LIN - SWA, POR - BLA, QPR - PRE, WRE - SOU. Sunday: WOL - WBA, NOR - BOL.
Summary: Just two mid-week matches, MID dropping a spot to third after only a draw at home against MIL, and LIN continues their rise from the bottom with an away win at BRI. So far the Elo rankings, still heavily influenced by the initial estimates of team strengths, have the top four (WHM, SOU, WOL, MID), followed by a "peloton" of mid-range teams sorting themselves out, then a "hoping for survival" tier of DER, POR, BOL, CAR, PNE. Biggest gains so far: SOU, CHA, LIN. Biggest drops: BUR, DER, PNE, CAR.
(In order to make the graph below a bit clearer with so many red teams, I darkened the shade a bit for SOU and QPR, probably more than their official colours would suggest, just to distinguish them - on the graph only - from BRI and CHA.)
| (Full name) - Record - Current ELO (rank) TEAM |
Points
So Far |
Max.Poss.
Points |
Avg.Simmed
Points |
Win
League |
2nd |
3rd/4th |
5th/6th |
7th/8th |
Promoted
to EPL! |
9th-12th |
13th-16th |
17th-21st |
Relegated
to League One |
(West Ham United) 4W 2D 1L +11GD 1781(1)
Next: @ MIL 09-19 | WHM |
|
14 |
131 |
82.75 |
17.96% |
11.88% |
17.75% |
12.95% |
10.10% |
^ 35.34% ^ |
14.45% |
8.96% |
5.21% |
( 0.74 )% |
(Swansea City) 4W 2D 1L +6 GD 1586(7)
Next: @ LIN 09-19 | SWA |
|
14 |
131 |
72.66 |
7.27% |
6.77% |
12.62% |
11.77% |
11.00% |
^ 19.49% ^ |
19.23% |
15.55% |
12.99% |
( 2.80 )% |
| |
(Middlesbrough) 4W 2D 1L +4 GD 1719(3)
Next: @ BIR 09-19 | MID |
|
14 |
131 |
78.67 |
11.58% |
9.82% |
16.19% |
13.22% |
11.16% |
^ 27.16% ^ |
17.30% |
11.65% |
7.74% |
( 1.33 )% |
(West Bromwich Albion) 4W 2D 1L +3 GD 1601(6)
Next: @ WOL 09-19 | WBA |
|
14 |
131 |
74.36 |
8.18% |
7.39% |
13.68% |
12.25% |
11.23% |
^ 21.22% ^ |
18.84% |
14.68% |
11.34% |
( 2.41 )% |
| |
(Queens Park Rangers) 3W 3D 1L +3 GD 1500(12)
Next: v PNE 09-19 | QPR |
|
12 |
129 |
68.43 |
4.24% |
4.99% |
10.58% |
10.75% |
10.57% |
^ 14.72% ^ |
19.57% |
17.86% |
16.93% |
( 4.51 )% |
(Charlton Athletic) 3W 3D 1L -1 GD 1430(17)
Next: @ CAR 09-19 | CHA |
|
12 |
129 |
62.92 |
2.62% |
3.31% |
7.33% |
8.10% |
8.60% |
^ 10.01% ^ |
18.33% |
19.31% |
23.44% |
( 8.94 )% |
| |
(Wolverhampton Wanderers) 3W 2D 1L +4 GD 1708(4)
Next: v WBA 09-19 | WOL |
|
11 |
131 |
76.15 |
9.66% |
8.73% |
14.89% |
12.59% |
10.91% |
^ 24.26% ^ |
18.06% |
13.30% |
9.99% |
( 1.86 )% |
(Lincoln City) 3W 2D 2L +0 GD 1413(19)
Next: v SWA 09-19 | LIN |
|
11 |
128 |
66.82 |
4.11% |
4.58% |
9.92% |
9.93% |
9.75% |
^ 13.42% ^ |
18.94% |
17.51% |
18.58% |
( 6.67 )% |
| |
(Southampton) 4W 2D 1L +10GD 1721(2)
Next: @ WRE 09-19 | SOU |
|
10 |
127 |
76.44 |
9.46% |
9.01% |
15.78% |
13.35% |
11.41% |
^ 25.14% ^ |
17.97% |
12.48% |
8.85% |
( 1.70 )% |
(Birmingham City) 2W 4D 1L +1 GD 1609(5)
Next: v MID 09-19 | BIR |
|
10 |
127 |
68.83 |
4.35% |
5.11% |
10.90% |
10.91% |
10.68% |
^ 14.82% ^ |
19.92% |
17.35% |
16.11% |
( 4.68 )% |
(Millwall) 3W 1D 3L +0 GD 1469(14)
Next: v WHM 09-19 | MIL |
|
10 |
127 |
59.40 |
1.50% |
2.17% |
5.59% |
7.01% |
7.79% |
^ 7.22% ^ |
17.93% |
20.25% |
25.96% |
( 11.80 )% |
(Stoke City) 3W 1D 3L +0 GD 1544(9)
Next: v SHU 09-19 | STO |
|
10 |
127 |
70.66 |
5.07% |
5.90% |
11.89% |
11.67% |
10.98% |
^ 16.45% ^ |
19.92% |
16.26% |
14.35% |
( 3.96 )% |
| |
(Bristol City) 3W 1D 3L -2 GD 1461(15)
Next: v WAT 09-19 | BRI |
|
10 |
127 |
61.65 |
2.16% |
2.86% |
6.74% |
7.91% |
8.55% |
^ 9.18% ^ |
18.46% |
19.42% |
24.00% |
( 9.91 )% |
(Norwich City) 3W 0D 4L +0 GD 1569(8)
Next: v BOL 09-19 | NOR |
|
9 |
126 |
68.16 |
3.85% |
4.90% |
10.59% |
10.65% |
10.75% |
^ 14.11% ^ |
20.07% |
17.41% |
16.61% |
( 5.16 )% |
(Sheffield United) 2W 3D 2L -1 GD 1513(11)
Next: @ STO 09-19 | SHU |
|
9 |
126 |
59.21 |
1.67% |
2.32% |
5.84% |
7.00% |
7.82% |
^ 7.63% ^ |
17.39% |
19.49% |
25.53% |
( 12.93 )% |
(Blackburn Rovers) 2W 2D 3L +0 GD 1422(18)
Next: @ POR 09-19 | BLA |
|
8 |
125 |
55.36 |
0.90% |
1.45% |
4.10% |
5.49% |
6.71% |
^ 5.43% ^ |
16.05% |
19.55% |
28.79% |
( 16.96 )% |
| |
(Watford) 2W 2D 3L -2 GD 1442(16)
Next: @ BRI 09-19 | WAT |
|
8 |
125 |
57.49 |
1.08% |
1.71% |
4.98% |
6.39% |
7.31% |
^ 6.17% ^ |
17.18% |
19.92% |
27.05% |
( 14.39 )% |
(Portsmouth) 2W 1D 3L -1 GD 1354(21)
Next: v BLA 09-19 | POR |
|
7 |
127 |
55.68 |
1.21% |
1.73% |
4.57% |
5.71% |
6.60% |
^ 6.21% ^ |
15.90% |
18.80% |
28.03% |
( 17.44 )% |
(Wrexham) 1W 4D 2L -4 GD 1537(10)
Next: v SOU 09-19 | WRE |
|
7 |
124 |
61.94 |
1.99% |
2.84% |
7.14% |
8.30% |
8.93% |
^ 9.42% ^ |
18.94% |
19.24% |
22.71% |
( 9.92 )% |
(Bolton Wanderers) 2W 1D 4L -5 GD 1301(22)
Next: @ NOR 09-19 | BOL |
|
7 |
124 |
49.27 |
0.27% |
0.60% |
2.12% |
3.23% |
4.51% |
^ 2.86% ^ |
12.76% |
17.71% |
31.99% |
( 26.82 )% |
(Cardiff City) 0W 4D 3L -4 GD 1239(23)
Next: v CHA 09-19 | CAR |
|
4 |
121 |
42.32 |
0.09% |
0.22% |
0.88% |
1.64% |
2.42% |
^ 1.38% ^ |
8.18% |
14.13% |
32.27% |
( 40.17 )% |
| |
(Derby County) 1W 1D 5L -7 GD 1368(20)
Next: @ BUR 09-19 | DER |
|
4 |
121 |
46.86 |
0.20% |
0.44% |
1.61% |
2.84% |
3.76% |
^ 2.55% ^ |
11.42% |
16.70% |
31.51% |
( 31.51 )% |
(Preston North End) 1W 0D 6L -7 GD 1236(24)
Next: @ QPR 09-19 | PNE |
|
3 |
120 |
41.84 |
0.08% |
0.19% |
0.88% |
1.55% |
2.41% |
^ 1.36% ^ |
7.90% |
13.88% |
31.42% |
( 41.68 )% |
(Burnley) 0W 3D 4L -8 GD 1478(13)
Next: v DER 09-19 | BUR |
|
3 |
120 |
52.87 |
0.50% |
1.07% |
3.42% |
4.78% |
6.04% |
^ 4.45% ^ |
15.30% |
18.60% |
28.60% |
( 21.68 )% |
- Number of sims: 100000
- League Winner average points: 103.48
- Auto Promotion average points: 96.37
- Playoff Bye average points: 87.42
- Playoff average points: 74.82
- Escape Relegation average points: 38.47
POWER RANKINGS | SCHEDULE STRENGTH
# Team ELO PPG | So Far Remaining
1 WHM 1781 2.00 | 1492.9 1547.6
2 SOU 1721 1.43 | 1492.9 1500.3
3 MID 1719 2.00 | 1481.7 1492.6
4 WOL 1708 1.83 | 1512.4 1481.5
5 BIR 1609 1.43 | 1562.7 1481.9
6 WBA 1601 2.00 | 1507.6 1532.6
7 SWA 1586 2.00 | 1501.9 1485.0
8 NOR 1569 1.29 | 1581.3 1443.4
9 STO 1544 1.43 | 1494.1 1477.2
10 WRE 1537 1.00 | 1558.5 1495.9
11 SHU 1513 1.29 | 1466.1 1497.9
12 QPR 1500 1.71 | 1466.9 1526.2
13 BUR 1478 0.43 | 1632.4 1473.3
14 MIL 1469 1.43 | 1514.9 1469.4
15 BRI 1461 1.43 | 1508.7 1489.0
16 WAT 1442 1.14 | 1549.4 1479.6
17 CHA 1430 1.71 | 1474.3 1507.0
18 BLA 1422 1.14 | 1481.5 1470.6
19 LIN 1413 1.57 | 1448.9 1483.5
20 DER 1368 0.57 | 1499.2 1520.4
21 POR 1354 1.17 | 1365.5 1505.1
22 BOL 1301 1.00 | 1434.7 1555.8
23 CAR 1239 0.57 | 1475.0 1543.1
24 PNE 1236 0.43 | 1458.6 1540.4
EFL Championship Predictor as of September 13
Brought to you by Python (the programming language)!
Latest results added:Friday: WHM 6-0 WRE. Saturday: BLA 3-1 MIL, CHA 0-0 POR, MID 4-3 NOR, PRE 0-1 LIN, SOU 4-1 BRI, SWA 3-1 BUR, WAT 1-2 STO, BOL 1-0 CAR, DER 1-2 BIR, WBA 1-1 QPR. Sunday: SHU 0-1 WOL, .
Mid-week: BRI - LIN, MID - MIL.
Summary: The Elo system has a built in 'regression to the mean' effect, meaning it is more difficult to maintain a position at the top or bottom, but hammering a decent team 6-nil will always do the trick, as it did for WHM. MID may vault into the lead if they take advantage mid-week of their game in hand against MIL. Relegated back into the Championship this year, Burnley is on a downhill slope that has now passed the mid-point and nobody knows how far it will go before a rebound takes place.
| (Full name) - Record - Current ELO (rank) TEAM |
Points
So Far |
Max.Poss.
Points |
Avg.Simmed
Points |
Win
League |
2nd |
3rd/4th |
5th/6th |
7th/8th |
Promoted
to EPL! |
9th-12th |
13th-16th |
17th-21st |
Relegated
to League One |
(West Ham United) 4W 2D 1L +11GD 1781(1)
Next: @ MIL 09-19 | WHM |
|
14 |
131 |
83.11 |
17.60% |
12.14% |
17.99% |
13.22% |
10.22% |
^ 35.41% ^ |
14.58% |
8.69% |
4.94% |
( 0.61 )% |
(Swansea City) 4W 2D 1L +6 GD 1586(7)
Next: @ LIN 09-19 | SWA |
|
14 |
131 |
72.97 |
6.95% |
6.86% |
12.77% |
12.17% |
11.06% |
^ 19.22% ^ |
19.40% |
15.71% |
12.52% |
( 2.55 )% |
| |
(West Bromwich Albion) 4W 2D 1L +3 GD 1601(6)
Next: @ WOL 09-19 | WBA |
|
14 |
131 |
74.31 |
7.62% |
7.55% |
13.70% |
12.36% |
11.08% |
^ 20.85% ^ |
19.18% |
14.56% |
11.63% |
( 2.31 )% |
(Middlesbrough) 4W 1D 1L +4 GD 1743(2)
Next: v MIL 09-15 | MID |
|
13 |
133 |
82.14 |
15.93% |
11.30% |
17.27% |
13.36% |
10.66% |
^ 32.61% ^ |
15.21% |
9.59% |
5.87% |
( 0.82 )% |
| |
(Queens Park Rangers) 3W 3D 1L +3 GD 1500(13)
Next: v PNE 09-19 | QPR |
|
12 |
129 |
68.53 |
3.97% |
4.90% |
10.79% |
10.60% |
10.76% |
^ 14.42% ^ |
20.03% |
17.74% |
16.98% |
( 4.24 )% |
(Charlton Athletic) 3W 3D 1L -1 GD 1430(17)
Next: @ CAR 09-19 | CHA |
|
12 |
129 |
62.81 |
2.36% |
3.10% |
7.21% |
8.27% |
8.71% |
^ 9.60% ^ |
18.65% |
19.58% |
23.32% |
( 8.80 )% |
| |
(Wolverhampton Wanderers) 3W 2D 1L +4 GD 1708(4)
Next: v WBA 09-19 | WOL |
|
11 |
131 |
76.04 |
9.26% |
8.61% |
14.77% |
12.69% |
11.04% |
^ 23.71% ^ |
18.19% |
13.68% |
9.92% |
( 1.85 )% |
(Southampton) 4W 2D 1L +10GD 1721(3)
Next: @ WRE 09-19 | SOU |
|
10 |
127 |
76.46 |
9.02% |
8.87% |
15.99% |
13.58% |
11.40% |
^ 24.63% ^ |
18.00% |
12.79% |
8.62% |
( 1.73 )% |
| |
(Birmingham City) 2W 4D 1L +1 GD 1609(5)
Next: v MID 09-19 | BIR |
|
10 |
127 |
68.86 |
3.95% |
4.96% |
10.92% |
11.04% |
10.82% |
^ 14.36% ^ |
20.52% |
17.46% |
15.82% |
( 4.51 )% |
(Stoke City) 3W 1D 3L +0 GD 1544(9)
Next: v SHU 09-19 | STO |
|
10 |
127 |
70.69 |
4.98% |
5.78% |
12.00% |
11.59% |
11.22% |
^ 16.40% ^ |
19.98% |
16.43% |
14.22% |
( 3.80 )% |
(Bristol City) 3W 1D 2L -1 GD 1522(11)
Next: v LIN 09-15 | BRI |
|
10 |
130 |
69.07 |
4.78% |
5.24% |
10.76% |
10.61% |
10.48% |
^ 15.25% ^ |
19.56% |
17.27% |
16.59% |
( 4.71 )% |
(Norwich City) 3W 0D 4L +0 GD 1569(8)
Next: v BOL 09-19 | NOR |
|
9 |
126 |
68.20 |
3.60% |
4.81% |
10.81% |
11.06% |
10.81% |
^ 13.98% ^ |
19.94% |
17.27% |
16.58% |
( 5.12 )% |
| |
(Millwall) 3W 0D 3L +0 GD 1445(15)
Next: @ MID 09-15 | MIL |
|
9 |
129 |
56.66 |
1.03% |
1.62% |
4.45% |
5.95% |
6.93% |
^ 5.85% ^ |
16.87% |
20.04% |
27.89% |
( 15.21 )% |
(Sheffield United) 2W 3D 2L -1 GD 1513(12)
Next: @ STO 09-19 | SHU |
|
9 |
126 |
59.25 |
1.55% |
2.24% |
5.76% |
6.97% |
7.94% |
^ 7.47% ^ |
17.87% |
19.26% |
26.07% |
( 12.32 )% |
(Blackburn Rovers) 2W 2D 3L +0 GD 1422(18)
Next: @ POR 09-19 | BLA |
|
8 |
125 |
55.41 |
0.81% |
1.39% |
4.15% |
5.64% |
6.55% |
^ 5.34% ^ |
16.27% |
19.77% |
29.03% |
( 16.40 )% |
(Lincoln City) 2W 2D 2L -1 GD 1352(21)
Next: @ BRI 09-15 | LIN |
|
8 |
128 |
58.26 |
1.67% |
2.29% |
5.65% |
6.78% |
7.42% |
^ 7.42% ^ |
16.76% |
18.83% |
26.09% |
( 14.52 )% |
| |
(Watford) 2W 2D 3L -2 GD 1442(16)
Next: @ BRI 09-19 | WAT |
|
8 |
125 |
57.63 |
1.02% |
1.68% |
4.89% |
6.28% |
7.61% |
^ 6.16% ^ |
17.58% |
20.14% |
26.91% |
( 13.89 )% |
(Portsmouth) 2W 1D 3L -1 GD 1354(20)
Next: v BLA 09-19 | POR |
|
7 |
127 |
55.68 |
1.04% |
1.62% |
4.55% |
5.67% |
6.89% |
^ 6.01% ^ |
16.06% |
18.93% |
28.01% |
( 17.23 )% |
(Wrexham) 1W 4D 2L -4 GD 1537(10)
Next: v SOU 09-19 | WRE |
|
7 |
124 |
61.78 |
1.80% |
2.65% |
6.93% |
8.31% |
9.00% |
^ 9.08% ^ |
19.13% |
19.59% |
22.69% |
( 9.92 )% |
(Bolton Wanderers) 2W 1D 4L -5 GD 1301(22)
Next: @ NOR 09-19 | BOL |
|
7 |
124 |
49.12 |
0.24% |
0.57% |
1.93% |
3.29% |
4.43% |
^ 2.76% ^ |
12.62% |
18.10% |
32.33% |
( 26.49 )% |
(Cardiff City) 0W 4D 3L -4 GD 1239(23)
Next: v CHA 09-19 | CAR |
|
4 |
121 |
42.50 |
0.09% |
0.21% |
0.85% |
1.52% |
2.48% |
^ 1.42% ^ |
8.42% |
14.67% |
32.42% |
( 39.34 )% |
| |
(Derby County) 1W 1D 5L -7 GD 1368(19)
Next: @ BUR 09-19 | DER |
|
4 |
121 |
46.91 |
0.16% |
0.39% |
1.70% |
2.72% |
3.88% |
^ 2.37% ^ |
11.44% |
17.05% |
31.59% |
( 31.07 )% |
(Preston North End) 1W 0D 6L -7 GD 1236(24)
Next: @ QPR 09-19 | PNE |
|
3 |
120 |
41.87 |
0.08% |
0.17% |
0.78% |
1.49% |
2.47% |
^ 1.31% ^ |
8.29% |
13.91% |
31.51% |
( 41.30 )% |
(Burnley) 0W 3D 4L -8 GD 1478(14)
Next: v DER 09-19 | BUR |
|
3 |
120 |
52.98 |
0.50% |
1.06% |
3.38% |
4.84% |
6.13% |
^ 4.38% ^ |
15.46% |
18.94% |
28.44% |
( 21.25 )% |
- Number of sims: 100000
- League Winner average points: 104.01
- Auto Promotion average points: 96.76
- Playoff Bye average points: 87.67
- Playoff average points: 74.89
- Escape Relegation average points: 38.31
POWER RANKINGS | SCHEDULE STRENGTH
# Team ELO PPG | So Far Remaining
1 WHM 1781 2.00 | 1492.9 1536.1
2 MID 1743 2.17 | 1496.3 1506.5
3 SOU 1721 1.43 | 1492.9 1494.4
4 WOL 1708 1.83 | 1512.4 1467.7
5 BIR 1609 1.43 | 1562.7 1457.4
6 WBA 1601 2.00 | 1507.6 1511.2
7 SWA 1586 2.00 | 1501.9 1516.7
8 NOR 1569 1.29 | 1581.3 1457.0
9 STO 1544 1.43 | 1494.1 1480.8
10 WRE 1537 1.00 | 1558.5 1513.3
11 BRI 1522 1.67 | 1516.6 1521.3
12 SHU 1513 1.29 | 1466.1 1437.3
13 QPR 1500 1.71 | 1466.9 1493.0
14 BUR 1478 0.43 | 1632.4 1452.5
15 MIL 1445 1.50 | 1467.8 1511.0
16 WAT 1442 1.14 | 1549.4 1500.6
17 CHA 1430 1.71 | 1474.3 1492.6
18 BLA 1422 1.14 | 1481.5 1515.1
19 DER 1368 0.57 | 1499.2 1532.9
20 POR 1354 1.17 | 1365.5 1521.2
21 LIN 1352 1.33 | 1444.3 1525.9
22 BOL 1301 1.00 | 1434.7 1528.8
23 CAR 1239 0.57 | 1475.0 1522.9
24 PNE 1236 0.43 | 1458.6 1511.3
EFL Championship Predictor as of September 9
Brought to you by Python (the programming language)!
How it works: A computer program reads in the completed results and simulates the rest of the season many times, using a fairly simple match engine for scores and basing results on the ELO ratings of the two teams. The ELO ratings are guessed at the start of the season, using several sources of pre-season predictions, but will fluctuate based on results in the actual games played, eventually making the initial ELO predictions almost irrelevant. In each sim the program simulates the EFL playoffs and counts how many times each team finishes in each position, relegated or promoted. This file will be updated as EFL results come in, so check back often!
Scroll down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.
0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.
Latest results added: Tuesday: BLA 1-2 SHU, CAR 1-1 STO, SOU 3-1 SWA, WAT 2-1 PNE, WRE 1-1 BUR, BOL 2-3 WHM. Wednesday: DER 0-1 WBR, NOR 2-1 BIR, CHA 0-0 QPR.
Weekend: SHU - WOL, BLA - MIL, CHA - POR, MID - NOR, PRE - LIN, SOU - BRI, SWA - BUR, WAT - STO, BOL - CAR, DER - BIR, WBA - QPR, WHM - WRE.
Summary: West Brom takes the lead but a match day with six teams missing leaves MID and BRI still also on 133 potential points. SWA, QPR, and CHA have playoff places at the moment despite two-digit ELO rankings.
| (Full name) - Record - Current ELO (rank) TEAM |
Points
So Far |
Max.Poss.
Points |
Avg.Simmed
Points |
Win
League |
2nd |
3rd/4th |
5th/6th |
7th/8th |
Promoted
to EPL! |
9th-12th |
13th-16th |
17th-21st |
Relegated
to League One |
(West Bromwich Albion) 4W 1D 1L +3 GD 1616(5)
Next: v QPR 09-12 | WBA |
|
13 |
133 |
77.10 |
11.03% |
8.98% |
14.90% |
12.36% |
10.89% |
^ 25.44% ^ |
17.25% |
12.78% |
9.77% |
( 2.05 )% |
(West Ham United) 3W 2D 1L +5 GD 1756(1)
Next: v WRE 09-12 | WHM |
|
11 |
131 |
79.93 |
14.13% |
10.48% |
16.61% |
12.95% |
10.55% |
^ 30.29% ^ |
16.00% |
10.65% |
7.27% |
( 1.37 )% |
| |
(Swansea City) 3W 2D 1L +4 GD 1537(11)
Next: v BUR 09-12 | SWA |
|
11 |
131 |
69.35 |
5.18% |
5.39% |
10.88% |
10.57% |
10.48% |
^ 15.66% ^ |
19.70% |
17.44% |
15.98% |
( 4.39 )% |
(Queens Park Rangers) 3W 2D 1L +3 GD 1484(15)
Next: @ WBA 09-12 | QPR |
|
11 |
131 |
66.84 |
3.93% |
4.57% |
9.61% |
9.76% |
9.84% |
^ 13.52% ^ |
19.55% |
18.15% |
18.87% |
( 5.71 )% |
| |
(Charlton Athletic) 3W 2D 1L -1 GD 1431(17)
Next: v POR 09-12 | CHA |
|
11 |
131 |
65.09 |
3.39% |
3.96% |
8.49% |
8.94% |
9.15% |
^ 11.69% ^ |
18.95% |
18.63% |
20.98% |
( 7.50 )% |
(Middlesbrough) 3W 1D 1L +3 GD 1703(2)
Next: v NOR 09-12 | MID |
|
10 |
133 |
79.15 |
13.19% |
9.96% |
15.89% |
12.73% |
10.60% |
^ 28.70% ^ |
16.62% |
11.54% |
7.95% |
( 1.51 )% |
| |
(Bristol City) 3W 1D 1L +2 GD 1561(9)
Next: @ SOU 09-12 | BRI |
|
10 |
133 |
72.17 |
7.33% |
6.76% |
12.47% |
11.25% |
10.41% |
^ 19.49% ^ |
18.62% |
15.73% |
13.84% |
( 3.58 )% |
(Millwall) 3W 0D 2L +2 GD 1528(12)
Next: @ BLA 09-12 | MIL |
|
9 |
132 |
64.26 |
3.32% |
3.77% |
8.31% |
9.00% |
9.16% |
^ 11.45% ^ |
18.29% |
18.49% |
21.04% |
( 8.62 )% |
| |
(Norwich City) 3W 0D 3L +1 GD 1609(6)
Next: @ MID 09-12 | NOR |
|
9 |
129 |
71.28 |
5.91% |
6.32% |
12.52% |
11.67% |
10.92% |
^ 17.90% ^ |
19.12% |
15.62% |
13.95% |
( 3.97 )% |
(Sheffield United) 2W 3D 1L +0 GD 1539(10)
Next: v WOL 09-12 | SHU |
|
9 |
129 |
64.14 |
3.28% |
3.89% |
8.50% |
8.69% |
8.92% |
^ 11.60% ^ |
18.53% |
18.43% |
21.27% |
( 8.50 )% |
(Wolverhampton Wanderers) 2W 2D 1L +3 GD 1682(3)
Next: @ SHU 09-12 | WOL |
|
8 |
131 |
70.96 |
6.49% |
6.34% |
11.99% |
11.25% |
10.37% |
^ 18.30% ^ |
19.02% |
15.81% |
14.44% |
( 4.28 )% |
(Watford) 2W 2D 2L -1 GD 1482(16)
Next: v STO 09-12 | WAT |
|
8 |
128 |
63.18 |
2.48% |
3.34% |
7.74% |
8.66% |
9.03% |
^ 10.18% ^ |
18.66% |
19.14% |
22.04% |
( 8.91 )% |
| |
(Southampton) 3W 2D 1L +7 GD 1682(4)
Next: v BRI 09-12 | SOU |
|
7 |
127 |
72.65 |
6.75% |
7.18% |
13.52% |
12.43% |
11.13% |
^ 20.27% ^ |
19.04% |
14.72% |
12.14% |
( 3.09 )% |
(Wrexham) 1W 4D 1L +2 GD 1562(8)
Next: @ WHM 09-12 | WRE |
|
7 |
127 |
65.11 |
3.16% |
3.94% |
8.90% |
9.60% |
9.79% |
^ 12.22% ^ |
19.72% |
18.25% |
19.26% |
( 7.38 )% |
(Birmingham City) 1W 4D 1L +0 GD 1587(7)
Next: @ DER 09-12 | BIR |
|
7 |
127 |
64.80 |
2.97% |
3.83% |
8.62% |
9.61% |
9.68% |
^ 11.41% ^ |
19.50% |
18.14% |
19.80% |
( 7.85 )% |
(Stoke City) 2W 1D 3L -1 GD 1504(14)
Next: @ WAT 09-12 | STO |
|
7 |
127 |
64.58 |
3.16% |
3.85% |
8.64% |
9.23% |
9.69% |
^ 11.63% ^ |
18.76% |
18.32% |
19.89% |
( 8.45 )% |
| |
(Portsmouth) 2W 0D 3L -1 GD 1354(19)
Next: @ CHA 09-12 | POR |
|
6 |
129 |
53.78 |
0.97% |
1.45% |
3.92% |
5.08% |
6.02% |
^ 5.27% ^ |
14.63% |
18.48% |
29.27% |
( 20.18 )% |
(Blackburn Rovers) 1W 2D 3L -2 GD 1339(20)
Next: v MIL 09-12 | BLA |
|
5 |
125 |
48.07 |
0.34% |
0.65% |
2.12% |
3.13% |
4.25% |
^ 2.91% ^ |
11.70% |
16.97% |
31.69% |
( 29.16 )% |
(Lincoln City) 1W 2D 2L -2 GD 1312(21)
Next: @ PNE 09-12 | LIN |
|
5 |
128 |
52.77 |
0.91% |
1.41% |
3.82% |
4.91% |
5.85% |
^ 5.06% ^ |
13.89% |
17.76% |
29.11% |
( 22.35 )% |
(Cardiff City) 0W 4D 2L -3 GD 1289(22)
Next: @ BOL 09-12 | CAR |
|
4 |
124 |
47.12 |
0.28% |
0.56% |
1.85% |
2.91% |
3.84% |
^ 2.59% ^ |
11.35% |
16.74% |
32.10% |
( 30.39 )% |
(Bolton Wanderers) 1W 1D 4L -6 GD 1250(24)
Next: v CAR 09-12 | BOL |
|
4 |
124 |
44.32 |
0.18% |
0.36% |
1.25% |
2.12% |
3.03% |
^ 1.90% ^ |
9.47% |
14.98% |
31.74% |
( 36.88 )% |
| |
(Derby County) 1W 1D 4L -6 GD 1391(18)
Next: v BIR 09-12 | DER |
|
4 |
124 |
50.83 |
0.46% |
0.85% |
2.78% |
4.03% |
5.23% |
^ 3.83% ^ |
13.81% |
18.10% |
30.04% |
( 24.69 )% |
(Burnley) 0W 3D 3L -6 GD 1526(13)
Next: @ SWA 09-12 | BUR |
|
3 |
123 |
56.49 |
0.90% |
1.66% |
4.90% |
6.42% |
7.33% |
^ 6.07% ^ |
16.95% |
18.95% |
25.97% |
( 16.91 )% |
(Preston North End) 1W 0D 5L -6 GD 1276(23)
Next: v LIN 09-12 | PNE |
|
3 |
123 |
46.36 |
0.26% |
0.51% |
1.75% |
2.71% |
3.85% |
^ 2.60% ^ |
10.85% |
16.19% |
31.60% |
( 32.28 )% |
- Number of sims: 100000
- League Winner average points: 103.74
- Auto Promotion average points: 96.54
- Playoff Bye average points: 87.52
- Playoff average points: 74.84
- Escape Relegation average points: 38.31
POWER RANKINGS | SCHEDULE STRENGTH
# Team ELO PPG | So Far Remaining
1 WHM 1756 1.83 | 1498.0 1503.7
2 MID 1703 2.00 | 1481.9 1510.2
3 WOL 1682 1.60 | 1510.8 1465.5
4 SOU 1682 1.17 | 1494.6 1497.5
5 WBA 1616 2.17 | 1519.4 1497.3
6 NOR 1609 1.50 | 1537.4 1527.4
7 BIR 1587 1.17 | 1594.6 1497.7
8 WRE 1562 1.17 | 1506.9 1481.4
9 BRI 1561 2.00 | 1457.8 1470.9
10 SHU 1539 1.50 | 1431.5 1494.8
11 SWA 1537 1.83 | 1525.6 1536.7
12 MIL 1528 1.80 | 1468.4 1509.9
13 BUR 1526 0.50 | 1631.6 1500.3
14 STO 1504 1.17 | 1499.0 1516.6
15 QPR 1484 1.83 | 1431.4 1525.3
16 WAT 1482 1.33 | 1550.5 1481.5
17 CHA 1431 1.83 | 1496.3 1494.5
18 DER 1391 0.67 | 1491.7 1485.0
19 POR 1354 1.20 | 1349.1 1490.4
20 BLA 1339 0.83 | 1504.0 1536.9
21 LIN 1312 1.00 | 1477.7 1519.7
22 CAR 1289 0.67 | 1493.2 1500.9
23 PNE 1276 0.50 | 1475.9 1486.4
24 BOL 1250 0.67 | 1484.9 1465.2
EFL Championship Predictor as of September 6
Brought to you by Python (the programming language)!
Latest results added: Saturday: LIN 1-1 SOU, PNE 2-1 BLA, STO 4-0 CHA, BUR 1-2 BRI, MIL 4-0 BOL, POR 2-0 CAR, QPR 0-1 MID, SHU 1-3 NOR, WBA 1-0 WAT, WHM 3-0 DER, SWA 0-0 WRE. Sunday: BIR 2-2 WOL.
Midweek: Tuesday: BLA - SHU, CAR - STO, SOU - SWA, WAT - PNE, WRE - BUR, BOL - WHM. Wednesday: DER - WBR, NOR - BIR, CHA - QPR.
Summary: Middlesborough take 2nd in the Elo rankings and are now ranked most likely to win the league. At the other end, Bolton and Cardiff have replaced Lincoln and Preston as the most likely to go down, but it's still early. Burnley, with two points in five matches, have dropped from 4th to 13th in the ELO rankings and one wonders how much further they will go before getting control of the aircraft....
| (Full name) - Record - Current ELO (rank) TEAM |
Points
So Far |
Max.Poss.
Points |
Avg.Simmed
Points |
Win
League |
2nd |
3rd/4th |
5th/6th |
7th/8th |
Promoted
to EPL! |
9th-12th |
13th-16th |
17th-21st |
Relegated
to League One |
(Swansea City) 3W 2D 0L +6 GD 1583(7)
Next: @ SOU 09-08 | SWA |
|
11 |
134 |
74.03 |
8.77% |
7.37% |
13.37% |
11.94% |
10.70% |
^ 21.51% ^ |
18.31% |
14.67% |
12.06% |
( 2.81 )% |
(Middlesbrough) 3W 1D 1L +3 GD 1703(2)
Next: v MIL 09-08 | MID |
|
10 |
133 |
78.78 |
12.88% |
9.83% |
15.59% |
12.62% |
10.70% |
^ 28.21% ^ |
16.90% |
11.60% |
8.28% |
( 1.61 )% |
| |
(Queens Park Rangers) 3W 1D 1L +3 GD 1491(15)
Next: @ CHA 09-09 | QPR |
|
10 |
133 |
66.83 |
4.22% |
4.70% |
9.62% |
9.66% |
9.68% |
^ 13.91% ^ |
18.99% |
18.02% |
18.92% |
( 6.19 )% |
(Bristol City) 3W 1D 1L +2 GD 1561(9)
Next: v LIN 09-08 | BRI |
|
10 |
133 |
72.13 |
7.46% |
6.78% |
12.26% |
11.21% |
10.25% |
^ 19.45% ^ |
18.73% |
15.77% |
13.94% |
( 3.60 )% |
| |
(West Bromwich Albion) 3W 1D 1L +2 GD 1597(6)
Next: @ DER 09-09 | WBA |
|
10 |
133 |
73.39 |
8.26% |
7.43% |
13.17% |
11.52% |
10.47% |
^ 20.97% ^ |
18.03% |
14.60% |
12.87% |
( 3.65 )% |
(Charlton Athletic) 3W 1D 1L -1 GD 1424(17)
Next: v QPR 09-09 | CHA |
|
10 |
133 |
66.05 |
4.23% |
4.36% |
8.94% |
9.20% |
9.32% |
^ 12.85% ^ |
18.65% |
17.92% |
19.92% |
( 7.47 )% |
| |
(Millwall) 3W 0D 2L +2 GD 1528(11)
Next: @ MID 09-08 | MIL |
|
9 |
132 |
63.99 |
3.27% |
3.73% |
8.25% |
8.62% |
9.08% |
^ 11.26% ^ |
18.45% |
18.42% |
21.42% |
( 8.76 )% |
(West Ham United) 2W 2D 1L +4 GD 1752(1)
Next: @ BOL 09-08 | WHM |
|
8 |
131 |
77.95 |
11.99% |
9.62% |
15.69% |
12.93% |
10.69% |
^ 27.15% ^ |
16.65% |
11.77% |
8.69% |
( 1.96 )% |
| |
(Wolverhampton Wanderers) 2W 2D 1L +3 GD 1682(3)
Next: v POR 09-08 | WOL |
|
8 |
131 |
71.29 |
6.50% |
6.44% |
12.21% |
11.47% |
10.51% |
^ 18.48% ^ |
18.70% |
15.83% |
14.38% |
( 3.97 )% |
(Birmingham City) 1W 4D 0L +1 GD 1637(4)
Next: @ NOR 09-09 | BIR |
|
7 |
130 |
70.24 |
5.89% |
5.99% |
11.78% |
11.12% |
10.55% |
^ 17.24% ^ |
18.83% |
15.90% |
14.92% |
( 5.03 )% |
(Wrexham) 1W 3D 1L +2 GD 1570(8)
Next: v BUR 09-09 | WRE |
|
6 |
129 |
68.01 |
4.53% |
5.28% |
10.78% |
10.43% |
10.27% |
^ 15.27% ^ |
19.16% |
16.77% |
16.68% |
( 6.10 )% |
(Norwich City) 2W 0D 3L +0 GD 1559(10)
Next: v BIR 09-09 | NOR |
|
6 |
129 |
65.91 |
3.55% |
4.36% |
9.60% |
9.85% |
9.84% |
^ 12.97% ^ |
18.99% |
17.41% |
19.05% |
( 7.35 )% |
| |
(Stoke City) 2W 0D 3L -1 GD 1526(12)
Next: @ CAR 09-08 | STO |
|
6 |
129 |
66.84 |
4.32% |
4.80% |
9.87% |
10.08% |
9.72% |
^ 13.94% ^ |
18.68% |
17.20% |
17.96% |
( 7.38 )% |
(Portsmouth) 2W 0D 3L -1 GD 1354(20)
Next: @ WOL 09-08 | POR |
|
6 |
129 |
53.65 |
0.94% |
1.43% |
3.90% |
4.98% |
5.81% |
^ 5.24% ^ |
14.98% |
18.40% |
29.06% |
( 20.50 )% |
(Sheffield United) 1W 3D 1L -1 GD 1513(14)
Next: @ BLA 09-08 | SHU |
|
6 |
129 |
58.89 |
1.95% |
2.63% |
6.05% |
6.90% |
7.55% |
^ 8.16% ^ |
16.74% |
18.68% |
25.26% |
( 14.25 )% |
(Blackburn Rovers) 1W 2D 2L -1 GD 1365(19)
Next: v SHU 09-08 | BLA |
|
5 |
128 |
52.90 |
0.93% |
1.30% |
3.73% |
4.81% |
5.68% |
^ 4.95% ^ |
14.31% |
18.14% |
29.18% |
( 21.92 )% |
| |
(Watford) 1W 2D 2L -2 GD 1444(16)
Next: v PNE 09-08 | WAT |
|
5 |
128 |
59.90 |
1.86% |
2.55% |
6.37% |
7.35% |
8.28% |
^ 8.29% ^ |
17.59% |
18.89% |
24.10% |
( 13.01 )% |
(Lincoln City) 1W 2D 2L -2 GD 1312(22)
Next: @ BRI 09-08 | LIN |
|
5 |
128 |
52.46 |
0.96% |
1.33% |
3.78% |
4.71% |
5.64% |
^ 5.10% ^ |
13.69% |
17.89% |
29.04% |
( 22.94 )% |
(Southampton) 2W 2D 1L +5 GD 1636(5)
Next: v SWA 09-08 | SOU |
|
4 |
127 |
68.04 |
4.72% |
5.27% |
10.85% |
10.81% |
10.48% |
^ 15.79% ^ |
19.03% |
16.65% |
16.30% |
( 5.90 )% |
(Derby County) 1W 1D 3L -5 GD 1410(18)
Next: v WBA 09-09 | DER |
|
4 |
127 |
54.28 |
0.92% |
1.53% |
4.11% |
5.33% |
6.22% |
^ 5.54% ^ |
15.25% |
18.54% |
27.95% |
( 20.16 )% |
(Bolton Wanderers) 1W 1D 3L -5 GD 1254(24)
Next: v WHM 09-08 | BOL |
|
4 |
127 |
45.60 |
0.24% |
0.44% |
1.48% |
2.47% |
3.37% |
^ 2.18% ^ |
10.46% |
15.62% |
31.51% |
( 34.43 )% |
| |
(Cardiff City) 0W 3D 2L -3 GD 1267(23)
Next: v STO 09-08 | CAR |
|
3 |
126 |
45.66 |
0.29% |
0.52% |
1.67% |
2.63% |
3.48% |
^ 2.37% ^ |
10.24% |
15.83% |
31.41% |
( 33.92 )% |
(Preston North End) 1W 0D 4L -5 GD 1315(21)
Next: @ WAT 09-08 | PNE |
|
3 |
126 |
49.67 |
0.52% |
0.86% |
2.64% |
3.78% |
4.95% |
^ 3.77% ^ |
12.75% |
17.27% |
30.10% |
( 27.12 )% |
(Burnley) 0W 2D 3L -6 GD 1519(13)
Next: @ WRE 09-09 | BUR |
|
2 |
125 |
54.52 |
0.81% |
1.45% |
4.30% |
5.57% |
6.77% |
^ 5.41% ^ |
15.89% |
18.20% |
27.01% |
( 20.00 )% |
- Number of sims: 100000
- League Winner average points: 103.85
- Auto Promotion average points: 96.63
- Playoff Bye average points: 87.59
- Playoff average points: 74.84
- Escape Relegation average points: 38.35
POWER RANKINGS | SCHEDULE STRENGTH
# Team ELO PPG | So Far Remaining
1 WHM 1752 1.60 | 1542.1 1533.8
2 MID 1703 2.00 | 1481.9 1509.2
3 WOL 1682 1.60 | 1510.8 1489.4
4 BIR 1637 1.40 | 1565.6 1499.6
5 SOU 1636 0.80 | 1502.7 1498.1
6 WBA 1597 2.00 | 1540.9 1549.6
7 SWA 1583 2.20 | 1482.1 1462.2
8 WRE 1570 1.20 | 1519.7 1518.0
9 BRI 1561 2.00 | 1457.8 1461.9
10 NOR 1559 1.20 | 1544.2 1481.4
11 MIL 1528 1.80 | 1468.4 1475.5
12 STO 1526 1.20 | 1534.5 1454.8
13 BUR 1519 0.40 | 1636.5 1452.7
14 SHU 1513 1.20 | 1454.6 1484.4
15 QPR 1491 2.00 | 1428.0 1561.4
16 WAT 1444 1.00 | 1610.9 1468.8
17 CHA 1424 2.00 | 1514.0 1483.8
18 DER 1410 0.80 | 1468.3 1570.5
19 BLA 1365 1.00 | 1511.5 1491.2
20 POR 1354 1.20 | 1349.1 1495.3
21 PNE 1315 0.60 | 1464.1 1536.8
22 LIN 1312 1.00 | 1477.7 1468.1
23 CAR 1267 0.60 | 1497.5 1545.4
24 BOL 1254 0.80 | 1437.2 1508.3
EFL Championship Predictor as of September 2
Brought to you by Python (the programming language)!
0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.
Latest results added: Tuesday: LIN 0-0 BLA, POR 0-2 DER, PNE 1-3 BRI, SHU 3-2 BOL, SWA 2-0 WAT, WHM 4-2 WOL, BIR 1-1 SOU, STO 1-0 NOR. Wednesday: MIL 0-3 WRE, QPR 2-1 CAR, WBA 1-1 CHA, BUR 1-1 MID.
Weekend (Sept 5-6): Saturday: LIN - SOU, PNE - BLA, STO - CHA, BUR - BRI, MIL - BOL, POR - CAR, QPR - MID, SHU - NOR, WBA - WAT, WHM - DER, SWA - WRE. Sunday: BIR - WOL.
Summary: Elo ratings starting to separate the good from the mediocre and the mediocre from the bad. WHM now the new #1 after beating WOL at home, SWA now top of the table and into 6th, up ten places from pre-season. POR will need a result against CAR Saturday to avoid dropping into the relegation zone.
| (Full name) - Record - Current ELO (rank) TEAM |
Points
So Far |
Max.Poss.
Points |
Avg.Simmed
Points |
Win
League |
2nd |
3rd/4th |
5th/6th |
7th/8th |
Promoted
to EPL! |
9th-12th |
13th-16th |
17th-21st |
Relegated
to League One |
(Swansea City) 3W 1D 0L +6 GD 1584(6)
Next: v WRE 09-05 | SWA |
|
10 |
136 |
72.41 |
8.35% |
6.88% |
12.12% |
10.98% |
10.38% |
^ 20.15% ^ |
18.36% |
15.34% |
13.64% |
( 3.95 )% |
(Queens Park Rangers) 3W 1D 0L +4 GD 1517(11)
Next: v MID 09-05 | QPR |
|
10 |
136 |
67.93 |
5.64% |
5.27% |
9.97% |
9.62% |
9.58% |
^ 15.59% ^ |
18.12% |
17.18% |
18.53% |
( 6.09 )% |
| |
(Charlton Athletic) 3W 1D 0L +3 GD 1479(15)
Next: @ STO 09-05 | CHA |
|
10 |
136 |
66.66 |
5.09% |
4.83% |
9.16% |
9.23% |
9.29% |
^ 14.09% ^ |
17.95% |
17.66% |
19.63% |
( 7.16 )% |
(Wolverhampton Wanderers) 2W 1D 1L +3 GD 1687(2)
Next: @ BIR 09-05 | WOL |
|
7 |
133 |
73.28 |
8.55% |
7.57% |
13.33% |
11.42% |
10.31% |
^ 21.62% ^ |
17.75% |
14.36% |
13.05% |
( 3.67 )% |
| |
(Middlesbrough) 2W 1D 1L +2 GD 1677(3)
Next: @ QPR 09-05 | MID |
|
7 |
133 |
73.84 |
8.91% |
7.48% |
13.46% |
11.83% |
10.57% |
^ 21.99% ^ |
17.80% |
14.18% |
12.25% |
( 3.50 )% |
(West Bromwich Albion) 2W 1D 1L +1 GD 1563(10)
Next: v WAT 09-05 | WBA |
|
7 |
133 |
68.44 |
5.60% |
5.64% |
10.69% |
10.27% |
9.62% |
^ 16.02% ^ |
18.13% |
16.21% |
17.08% |
( 6.75 )% |
| |
(Bristol City) 2W 1D 1L +1 GD 1508(12)
Next: @ BUR 09-05 | BRI |
|
7 |
133 |
64.88 |
3.99% |
4.26% |
8.74% |
8.96% |
8.95% |
^ 12.71% ^ |
18.19% |
17.82% |
20.39% |
( 8.70 )% |
(Birmingham City) 1W 3D 0L +1 GD 1632(5)
Next: v WOL 09-05 | BIR |
|
6 |
132 |
71.00 |
7.01% |
6.55% |
12.26% |
11.06% |
10.04% |
^ 18.73% ^ |
18.05% |
15.12% |
14.73% |
( 5.17 )% |
| |
(Sheffield United) 1W 3D 0L +1 GD 1573(7)
Next: v NOR 09-05 | SHU |
|
6 |
132 |
68.22 |
5.85% |
5.65% |
10.53% |
9.92% |
9.56% |
^ 16.27% ^ |
17.92% |
16.43% |
17.15% |
( 6.98 )% |
(Millwall) 2W 0D 2L -2 GD 1505(13)
Next: v BOL 09-05 | MIL |
|
6 |
132 |
63.83 |
3.43% |
3.86% |
8.43% |
8.55% |
8.70% |
^ 11.57% ^ |
18.05% |
17.91% |
21.28% |
( 9.78 )% |
(Wrexham) 1W 2D 1L +2 GD 1569(9)
Next: @ SWA 09-05 | WRE |
|
5 |
131 |
65.88 |
4.30% |
4.67% |
9.66% |
9.51% |
9.57% |
^ 13.80% ^ |
18.17% |
17.08% |
18.78% |
( 8.27 )% |
(West Ham United) 1W 2D 1L +1 GD 1737(1)
Next: v DER 09-05 | WHM |
|
5 |
131 |
76.05 |
10.30% |
8.80% |
14.91% |
12.56% |
10.77% |
^ 24.84% ^ |
17.03% |
12.79% |
10.07% |
( 2.77 )% |
| |
(Blackburn Rovers) 1W 2D 1L +0 GD 1431(18)
Next: @ PNE 09-05 | BLA |
|
5 |
131 |
59.06 |
2.23% |
2.66% |
6.19% |
6.96% |
7.52% |
^ 8.51% ^ |
16.62% |
18.32% |
24.98% |
( 14.52 )% |
(Watford) 1W 2D 1L -1 GD 1478(16)
Next: @ WBA 09-05 | WAT |
|
5 |
131 |
62.01 |
2.73% |
3.19% |
7.41% |
8.37% |
8.49% |
^ 9.96% ^ |
17.66% |
18.33% |
22.53% |
( 11.29 )% |
(Bolton Wanderers) 1W 1D 2L -1 GD 1277(23)
Next: @ MIL 09-05 | BOL |
|
4 |
130 |
50.00 |
0.63% |
0.97% |
2.87% |
3.87% |
4.91% |
^ 4.01% ^ |
12.75% |
17.06% |
30.14% |
( 26.80 )% |
(Derby County) 1W 1D 2L -2 GD 1425(19)
Next: @ WHM 09-05 | DER |
|
4 |
130 |
57.81 |
1.67% |
2.20% |
5.55% |
6.57% |
7.43% |
^ 7.63% ^ |
16.77% |
18.62% |
25.52% |
( 15.67 )% |
| |
(Lincoln City) 1W 1D 2L -2 GD 1288(22)
Next: v SOU 09-05 | LIN |
|
4 |
130 |
49.05 |
0.69% |
0.99% |
2.66% |
3.65% |
4.52% |
^ 3.83% ^ |
12.03% |
16.46% |
29.98% |
( 29.01 )% |
(Southampton) 2W 1D 1L +5 GD 1660(4)
Next: @ LIN 09-05 | SOU |
|
3 |
129 |
69.04 |
5.47% |
5.92% |
11.36% |
10.97% |
10.21% |
^ 16.89% ^ |
18.80% |
16.03% |
15.48% |
( 5.75 )% |
(Cardiff City) 0W 3D 1L -1 GD 1320(20)
Next: @ POR 09-05 | CAR |
|
3 |
129 |
51.03 |
0.78% |
1.18% |
3.26% |
4.29% |
5.18% |
^ 4.43% ^ |
13.11% |
17.52% |
29.64% |
( 25.03 )% |
(Norwich City) 1W 0D 3L -2 GD 1499(14)
Next: @ SHU 09-05 | NOR |
|
3 |
129 |
60.54 |
2.24% |
2.97% |
6.86% |
7.88% |
8.23% |
^ 9.41% ^ |
17.69% |
18.33% |
22.75% |
( 13.05 )% |
(Portsmouth) 1W 0D 3L -3 GD 1301(21)
Next: v CAR 09-05 | POR |
|
3 |
129 |
51.17 |
0.80% |
1.15% |
3.31% |
4.34% |
5.33% |
^ 4.46% ^ |
13.43% |
17.24% |
29.25% |
( 25.15 )% |
| |
(Stoke City) 1W 0D 3L -5 GD 1471(17)
Next: v CHA 09-05 | STO |
|
3 |
129 |
59.73 |
2.34% |
2.90% |
6.67% |
7.42% |
7.89% |
^ 9.06% ^ |
16.74% |
17.75% |
23.48% |
( 14.81 )% |
(Burnley) 0W 2D 2L -5 GD 1572(8)
Next: v BRI 09-05 | BUR |
|
2 |
128 |
64.01 |
3.11% |
3.84% |
8.75% |
9.11% |
9.23% |
^ 11.80% ^ |
18.56% |
17.58% |
19.85% |
( 9.98 )% |
(Preston North End) 0W 0D 4L -6 GD 1248(24)
Next: v BLA 09-05 | PNE |
|
0 |
126 |
45.13 |
0.29% |
0.56% |
1.85% |
2.67% |
3.70% |
^ 2.61% ^ |
10.30% |
14.67% |
29.79% |
( 36.15 )% |
- Number of sims: 100000
- League Winner average points: 103.84
- Auto Promotion average points: 96.59
- Playoff Bye average points: 87.54
- Playoff average points: 74.81
- Escape Relegation average points: 38.42
POWER RANKINGS | SCHEDULE STRENGTH
# Team ELO PPG | So Far Remaining
1 WHM 1737 1.25 | 1590.8 1485.1
2 WOL 1687 1.75 | 1465.8 1480.1
3 MID 1677 1.75 | 1472.1 1476.8
4 SOU 1660 0.75 | 1532.4 1529.2
5 BIR 1632 1.50 | 1550.1 1494.7
6 SWA 1584 2.50 | 1472.3 1522.5
7 SHU 1573 1.50 | 1430.1 1518.6
8 BUR 1572 0.50 | 1658.0 1467.0
9 WRE 1569 1.25 | 1491.6 1531.1
10 WBA 1563 1.75 | 1584.3 1473.7
11 QPR 1517 2.50 | 1366.6 1497.5
12 BRI 1508 1.75 | 1440.0 1538.8
13 MIL 1505 1.50 | 1539.2 1475.5
14 NOR 1499 0.75 | 1550.3 1501.6
15 CHA 1479 2.50 | 1488.8 1496.8
16 WAT 1478 1.25 | 1595.3 1501.6
17 STO 1471 0.75 | 1584.2 1521.2
18 BLA 1431 1.25 | 1535.4 1472.2
19 DER 1425 1.00 | 1381.6 1491.9
20 CAR 1320 0.75 | 1511.6 1544.0
21 POR 1301 0.75 | 1391.7 1485.0
22 LIN 1288 1.00 | 1456.0 1469.9
23 BOL 1277 1.00 | 1397.5 1528.6
24 PNE 1248 0.00 | 1514.4 1496.8
EFL Championship Predictor as of August 29
Brought to you by Python (the programming language)!
How it works: A computer program reads in the completed results and simulates the rest of the season many times, using a fairly simple match engine for scores and basing results on the ELO ratings of the two teams. The ELO ratings are guessed at the start of the season, using several sources of pre-season predictions, but will fluctuate based on results in the actual games played, eventually making the initial ELO predictions almost irrelevant. In each sim the program simulates the EFL playoffs and counts how many times each team finishes in each position, relegated or promoted. This file will be updated as EFL results come in, so check back often!
Scroll down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.
0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.
Latest results added: Friday: WRE 1 - 2 BIR. Saturday: DER 0-3 SWA, MID 3-1 WBA, WOL 4-1 STO, BLA 1-2 QPR, BOL 0-1 LIN, BRI 2-1 POR, CAR 2-2 SHU, CHA 1-0 PNE, NOR 4-1 BUR, SOU 5-1 MIL, WAT 1-1 WHM.
Mid-week (Sept 1-2): Tuesday: LIN - BLA, POR - DER, PNE - BRI, SHU - BOL, SWA - WAT, WHM - WOL, BIR - SOU, STO - NOR. Wedneday: MIL - WRE, QPR - CAR, WBA - CHA, BUR - MID.
Summary: Congrats to Charlton Athletic, who were second-lowest Elo ranked in pre-season and are the last team without dropped points, which has moved them up to 16th in Elo. Southampton have managed to get out of the negatives imposed by their Spygate penalties and are now fourth in Elo. Wolves lead the Elo table but several teams are on an upward slide as we morph from the pre-season predictions to the actual strengths of the teams with each result set.
| (Full name) - Record - Current ELO (rank) TEAM |
Points
So Far |
Max.Poss.
Points |
Avg.Simmed
Points |
Win
League |
2nd |
3rd/4th |
5th/6th |
7th/8th |
Promoted
to EPL! |
9th-12th |
13th-16th |
17th-21st |
Relegated
to League One |
(Charlton Athletic) 3W 0D 0L +3 GD 1471(16)
Next: @ WBA 09-02 | CHA |
|
9 |
138 |
65.85 |
4.56% |
4.44% |
8.98% |
9.00% |
9.11% |
^ 13.26% ^ |
18.01% |
17.82% |
20.16% |
( 7.92 )% |
(Wolverhampton Wanderers) 2W 1D 0L +5 GD 1747(1)
Next: @ WHM 09-01 | WOL |
|
7 |
136 |
77.28 |
12.25% |
9.45% |
14.79% |
12.12% |
10.35% |
^ 27.13% ^ |
16.41% |
12.23% |
9.83% |
( 2.57 )% |
| |
(Swansea City) 2W 1D 0L +4 GD 1535(11)
Next: v WAT 09-01 | SWA |
|
7 |
136 |
69.07 |
6.01% |
5.57% |
10.65% |
10.41% |
9.91% |
^ 16.24% ^ |
18.49% |
16.73% |
16.48% |
( 5.75 )% |
(Queens Park Rangers) 2W 1D 0L +3 GD 1489(14)
Next: v CAR 09-02 | QPR |
|
7 |
136 |
65.70 |
4.32% |
4.45% |
9.10% |
9.17% |
9.04% |
^ 13.28% ^ |
18.23% |
17.65% |
20.28% |
( 7.77 )% |
| |
(Middlesbrough) 2W 0D 1L +2 GD 1688(2)
Next: @ BUR 09-02 | MID |
|
6 |
135 |
74.51 |
9.63% |
8.04% |
13.55% |
11.74% |
10.40% |
^ 22.91% ^ |
17.58% |
13.42% |
12.06% |
( 3.60 )% |
(Millwall) 2W 0D 1L +1 GD 1566(7)
Next: v WRE 09-02 | MIL |
|
6 |
135 |
69.23 |
6.17% |
5.77% |
10.65% |
10.31% |
9.95% |
^ 16.71% ^ |
18.28% |
16.22% |
16.68% |
( 5.97 )% |
| |
(West Bromwich Albion) 2W 0D 1L +1 GD 1571(6)
Next: v CHA 09-02 | WBA |
|
6 |
135 |
70.41 |
6.74% |
6.24% |
11.75% |
10.55% |
9.98% |
^ 17.85% ^ |
17.91% |
15.68% |
15.40% |
( 5.75 )% |
(Birmingham City) 1W 2D 0L +1 GD 1629(5)
Next: v SOU 09-01 | BIR |
|
5 |
134 |
71.93 |
7.86% |
6.85% |
12.48% |
11.24% |
10.11% |
^ 19.89% ^ |
17.89% |
14.64% |
13.88% |
( 5.04 )% |
| |
(Watford) 1W 2D 0L +1 GD 1527(12)
Next: @ SWA 09-01 | WAT |
|
5 |
134 |
65.09 |
3.79% |
4.31% |
8.94% |
9.34% |
9.22% |
^ 12.59% ^ |
18.25% |
17.46% |
19.83% |
( 8.85 )% |
(Blackburn Rovers) 1W 1D 1L +0 GD 1445(17)
Next: @ LIN 09-01 | BLA |
|
4 |
133 |
59.61 |
2.52% |
2.94% |
6.44% |
7.17% |
7.76% |
^ 9.29% ^ |
16.37% |
17.95% |
24.61% |
( 14.24 )% |
(Bolton Wanderers) 1W 1D 1L +0 GD 1293(22)
Next: @ SHU 09-01 | BOL |
|
4 |
133 |
51.79 |
0.80% |
1.21% |
3.40% |
4.51% |
5.32% |
^ 4.73% ^ |
13.84% |
17.69% |
29.25% |
( 23.98 )% |
(Bristol City) 1W 1D 1L -1 GD 1485(15)
Next: @ PNE 09-01 | BRI |
|
4 |
133 |
61.97 |
2.90% |
3.33% |
7.44% |
8.06% |
8.39% |
^ 10.41% ^ |
17.55% |
18.29% |
22.49% |
( 11.55 )% |
| |
(Cardiff City) 0W 3D 0L +0 GD 1347(20)
Next: @ QPR 09-02 | CAR |
|
3 |
132 |
52.91 |
1.12% |
1.44% |
3.94% |
4.83% |
5.60% |
^ 5.33% ^ |
14.26% |
18.01% |
28.61% |
( 22.20 )% |
(Sheffield United) 0W 3D 0L +0 GD 1557(10)
Next: v BOL 09-01 | SHU |
|
3 |
132 |
66.56 |
4.86% |
4.93% |
9.94% |
9.66% |
9.46% |
^ 14.40% ^ |
18.02% |
16.50% |
18.41% |
( 8.22 )% |
(Norwich City) 1W 0D 2L -1 GD 1563(8)
Next: @ STO 09-01 | NOR |
|
3 |
132 |
64.77 |
3.76% |
4.20% |
9.16% |
9.31% |
9.19% |
^ 12.74% ^ |
18.01% |
17.18% |
19.67% |
( 9.52 )% |
(Portsmouth) 1W 0D 2L -1 GD 1346(21)
Next: v DER 09-01 | POR |
|
3 |
132 |
55.55 |
1.39% |
1.95% |
4.84% |
5.75% |
6.49% |
^ 6.54% ^ |
15.38% |
18.49% |
26.82% |
( 18.89 )% |
| |
(Lincoln City) 1W 0D 2L -2 GD 1274(23)
Next: v BLA 09-01 | LIN |
|
3 |
132 |
49.28 |
0.71% |
1.09% |
2.89% |
3.73% |
4.67% |
^ 3.99% ^ |
12.00% |
16.23% |
29.79% |
( 28.88 )% |
(Southampton) 2W 0D 1L +5 GD 1663(4)
Next: @ BIR 09-01 | SOU |
|
2 |
131 |
68.89 |
5.45% |
5.88% |
11.45% |
10.62% |
10.11% |
^ 16.87% ^ |
18.60% |
16.00% |
15.94% |
( 5.96 )% |
(West Ham United) 0W 2D 1L -1 GD 1677(3)
Next: v WOL 09-01 | WHM |
|
2 |
131 |
71.70 |
6.87% |
6.89% |
12.79% |
11.44% |
10.65% |
^ 19.38% ^ |
18.19% |
14.80% |
13.62% |
( 4.76 )% |
(Wrexham) 0W 2D 1L -1 GD 1507(13)
Next: @ MIL 09-02 | WRE |
|
2 |
131 |
60.07 |
2.33% |
2.94% |
6.88% |
7.60% |
8.12% |
^ 9.42% ^ |
17.05% |
18.28% |
22.91% |
( 13.89 )% |
(Derby County) 0W 1D 2L -4 GD 1380(19)
Next: @ POR 09-01 | DER |
|
1 |
130 |
52.96 |
0.81% |
1.30% |
3.84% |
5.04% |
6.03% |
^ 5.12% ^ |
14.64% |
17.96% |
27.97% |
( 22.40 )% |
| |
(Burnley) 0W 1D 2L -5 GD 1561(9)
Next: v MID 09-02 | BUR |
|
1 |
130 |
64.19 |
3.26% |
4.00% |
8.63% |
9.31% |
9.18% |
^ 11.92% ^ |
18.42% |
17.32% |
19.78% |
( 10.11 )% |
(Preston North End) 0W 0D 3L -4 GD 1270(24)
Next: v BRI 09-01 | PNE |
|
0 |
129 |
47.75 |
0.48% |
0.83% |
2.50% |
3.42% |
4.33% |
^ 3.44% ^ |
11.60% |
16.16% |
29.66% |
( 31.03 )% |
(Stoke City) 0W 0D 3L -6 GD 1407(18)
Next: v NOR 09-01 | STO |
|
0 |
129 |
54.91 |
1.41% |
1.96% |
4.98% |
5.68% |
6.62% |
^ 6.55% ^ |
15.05% |
17.29% |
25.85% |
( 21.16 )% |
- Number of sims: 100000
- League Winner average points: 104.29
- Auto Promotion average points: 96.91
- Playoff Bye average points: 87.70
- Playoff average points: 74.86
- Escape Relegation average points: 38.35
POWER RANKINGS | SCHEDULE STRENGTH
# Team ELO PPG | So Far Remaining
1 WOL 1747 2.33 | 1358.6 1523.0
2 MID 1688 2.00 | 1422.4 1488.3
3 WHM 1677 0.67 | 1575.6 1515.6
4 SOU 1663 0.67 | 1482.5 1498.5
5 BIR 1629 1.67 | 1530.0 1522.1
6 WBA 1571 2.00 | 1635.9 1457.7
7 MIL 1566 2.00 | 1545.9 1525.0
8 NOR 1563 1.00 | 1560.1 1455.8
9 BUR 1561 0.33 | 1668.2 1500.5
10 SHU 1557 1.00 | 1498.0 1495.7
11 SWA 1535 2.33 | 1487.0 1496.3
12 WAT 1527 1.67 | 1582.3 1522.4
13 WRE 1507 0.67 | 1470.5 1529.3
14 QPR 1489 2.33 | 1399.0 1506.5
15 BRI 1485 1.33 | 1487.5 1499.9
16 CHA 1471 3.00 | 1447.5 1507.1
17 BLA 1445 1.33 | 1601.1 1491.4
18 STO 1407 0.00 | 1629.5 1473.5
19 DER 1380 0.33 | 1391.8 1469.4
20 CAR 1347 1.00 | 1493.1 1475.4
21 POR 1346 1.00 | 1397.2 1489.1
22 BOL 1293 1.33 | 1322.2 1520.1
23 LIN 1274 1.00 | 1480.8 1529.0
24 PNE 1270 0.00 | 1533.2 1508.6
EFL Championship Predictor as of August 22
Latest results added: Saturday: BIR 2-2 BRI, LIN 1-3 POR, MIL 3-0 NOR, BLA 2-1 MID, DER 2-2 CAR, PNE 1-3 WOL, QPR 0-0 BOL, SOU 3-1 STO, SWA 0-0 SHU, WHM 1-2 CHA, WRE 1-1 WAT. Sunday: WBA 3-1 BUR.
Next week (Aug 28-29): Friday: WRE - BIR. Saturday: DER - SWA, MID - WBA, WOL - STO, BLA - QPR, BOL - LIN, BRI - POR, CAR - SHU, CHA - PNE, NOR - BUR, SOU - MIL, WAT - WHM.
Summary: Elo movement early in the season in this version of the formula is less than it will be later on. There is enough uncertainly in the pre-season estimates of team strengths and an early upset or two can put a team much lower or higher than they should be, so there is a limiter in the formula until the two teams have played a total of ten games or more.
| (Full name) - Record - Current ELO (rank) TEAM |
Points
So Far |
Max.Poss.
Points |
Avg.Simmed
Points |
Win
League |
2nd |
3rd/4th |
5th/6th |
7th/8th |
Promoted
to EPL! |
9th-12th |
13th-16th |
17th-21st |
Relegated
to League One |
(Millwall) 2W 0D 0L +5 GD 1623(5)
Next: @ SOU 08-29 | MIL |
|
6 |
138 |
72.74 |
8.95% |
7.06% |
12.44% |
11.15% |
10.12% |
^ 20.96% ^ |
17.73% |
14.57% |
13.66% |
( 4.32 )% |
(West Bromwich Albion) 2W 0D 0L +3 GD 1618(6)
Next: @ MID 08-29 | WBA |
|
6 |
138 |
73.17 |
8.98% |
7.38% |
12.79% |
11.12% |
10.12% |
^ 21.31% ^ |
17.58% |
14.27% |
13.44% |
( 4.32 )% |
| |
(Charlton Athletic) 2W 0D 0L +2 GD 1443(16)
Next: v PNE 08-29 | CHA |
|
6 |
138 |
63.80 |
3.65% |
3.93% |
8.03% |
8.29% |
8.63% |
^ 11.71% ^ |
17.94% |
18.21% |
21.78% |
( 9.53 )% |
(Wolverhampton Wanderers) 1W 1D 0L +2 GD 1731(1)
Next: v STO 08-29 | WOL |
|
4 |
136 |
75.92 |
10.83% |
8.59% |
14.45% |
11.95% |
10.48% |
^ 24.84% ^ |
16.87% |
12.85% |
10.95% |
( 3.03 )% |
| |
(Queens Park Rangers) 1W 1D 0L +2 GD 1436(17)
Next: @ BLA 08-29 | QPR |
|
4 |
136 |
60.76 |
2.72% |
3.17% |
6.90% |
7.58% |
7.96% |
^ 9.89% ^ |
17.06% |
18.21% |
23.73% |
( 12.66 )% |
(Blackburn Rovers) 1W 1D 0L +1 GD 1498(12)
Next: v QPR 08-29 | BLA |
|
4 |
136 |
65.07 |
4.49% |
4.43% |
8.84% |
8.74% |
8.83% |
^ 13.14% ^ |
17.76% |
17.35% |
20.50% |
( 9.07 )% |
| |
(Watford) 1W 1D 0L +1 GD 1513(11)
Next: v WHM 08-29 | WAT |
|
4 |
136 |
65.01 |
4.10% |
4.35% |
8.97% |
9.08% |
8.92% |
^ 12.73% ^ |
18.04% |
17.36% |
20.17% |
( 9.01 )% |
(Swansea City) 1W 1D 0L +1 GD 1494(13)
Next: @ DER 08-29 | SWA |
|
4 |
136 |
64.42 |
3.94% |
4.14% |
8.39% |
8.86% |
8.99% |
^ 12.34% ^ |
17.96% |
17.84% |
20.44% |
( 9.44 )% |
| |
(Bolton Wanderers) 1W 1D 0L +1 GD 1355(21)
Next: v LIN 08-29 | BOL |
|
4 |
136 |
56.97 |
1.71% |
2.14% |
5.30% |
6.14% |
6.93% |
^ 7.24% ^ |
15.90% |
18.41% |
27.02% |
( 16.46 )% |
(Portsmouth) 1W 0D 1L +0 GD 1383(20)
Next: @ BRI 08-29 | POR |
|
3 |
135 |
57.42 |
1.88% |
2.34% |
5.64% |
6.41% |
7.03% |
^ 7.62% ^ |
15.93% |
18.21% |
25.99% |
( 16.57 )% |
(Middlesbrough) 1W 0D 1L +0 GD 1641(3)
Next: v WBA 08-29 | MID |
|
3 |
135 |
71.08 |
7.17% |
6.60% |
12.17% |
10.93% |
9.98% |
^ 18.87% ^ |
18.19% |
14.98% |
14.69% |
( 5.28 )% |
(Cardiff City) 0W 2D 0L +0 GD 1329(22)
Next: v SHU 08-29 | CAR |
|
2 |
134 |
52.70 |
1.06% |
1.55% |
3.77% |
4.83% |
5.78% |
^ 5.35% ^ |
14.11% |
17.60% |
28.60% |
( 22.70 )% |
| |
(Birmingham City) 0W 2D 0L +0 GD 1590(8)
Next: @ WRE 08-29 | BIR |
|
2 |
134 |
67.29 |
5.17% |
5.34% |
10.23% |
9.92% |
9.54% |
^ 15.29% ^ |
18.11% |
16.49% |
17.18% |
( 8.02 )% |
(Wrexham) 0W 2D 0L +0 GD 1547(10)
Next: v BIR 08-29 | WRE |
|
2 |
134 |
64.47 |
3.96% |
4.29% |
9.01% |
9.15% |
9.04% |
^ 12.96% ^ |
17.66% |
16.98% |
19.79% |
( 10.13 )% |
(Sheffield United) 0W 2D 0L +0 GD 1576(9)
Next: @ CAR 08-29 | SHU |
|
2 |
134 |
67.35 |
5.44% |
5.27% |
10.18% |
9.69% |
9.42% |
^ 15.38% ^ |
17.87% |
16.51% |
18.00% |
( 7.62 )% |
(West Ham United) 0W 1D 1L -1 GD 1692(2)
Next: @ WAT 08-29 | WHM |
|
1 |
133 |
72.49 |
7.66% |
7.32% |
13.10% |
11.61% |
10.46% |
^ 20.48% ^ |
17.67% |
14.44% |
13.07% |
( 4.67 )% |
| |
(Derby County) 0W 1D 1L -1 GD 1422(19)
Next: v SWA 08-29 | DER |
|
1 |
133 |
57.28 |
1.68% |
2.24% |
5.50% |
6.69% |
7.16% |
^ 7.73% ^ |
16.31% |
18.14% |
25.72% |
( 16.55 )% |
(Burnley) 0W 1D 1L -2 GD 1634(4)
Next: @ NOR 08-29 | BUR |
|
1 |
133 |
69.13 |
5.64% |
5.88% |
11.30% |
10.77% |
9.91% |
^ 16.70% ^ |
18.23% |
15.96% |
15.90% |
( 6.41 )% |
(Bristol City) 0W 1D 1L -2 GD 1449(15)
Next: v POR 08-29 | BRI |
|
1 |
133 |
59.21 |
2.14% |
2.85% |
6.34% |
7.20% |
7.62% |
^ 8.77% ^ |
16.61% |
18.44% |
24.31% |
( 14.49 )% |
(Stoke City) 0W 0D 2L -3 GD 1422(18)
Next: @ WOL 08-29 | STO |
|
0 |
132 |
56.56 |
1.70% |
2.25% |
5.50% |
6.32% |
7.08% |
^ 7.42% ^ |
15.79% |
17.72% |
25.14% |
( 18.50 )% |
(Preston North End) 0W 0D 2L -3 GD 1297(23)
Next: @ CHA 08-29 | PNE |
|
0 |
132 |
49.57 |
0.66% |
1.02% |
3.12% |
3.90% |
5.03% |
^ 4.19% ^ |
12.42% |
16.69% |
29.05% |
( 28.11 )% |
| |
(Lincoln City) 0W 0D 2L -3 GD 1212(24)
Next: @ BOL 08-29 | LIN |
|
0 |
132 |
43.30 |
0.34% |
0.55% |
1.61% |
2.37% |
3.04% |
^ 2.33% ^ |
9.00% |
13.91% |
29.18% |
( 40.01 )% |
(Norwich City) 0W 0D 2L -4 GD 1489(14)
Next: v BUR 08-29 | NOR |
|
0 |
132 |
59.90 |
2.24% |
2.83% |
6.88% |
7.54% |
8.28% |
^ 9.22% ^ |
17.08% |
17.67% |
22.97% |
( 14.52 )% |
(Southampton) 1W 0D 1L +1 GD 1606(7)
Next: v MIL 08-29 | SOU |
|
-1 |
131 |
65.37 |
3.87% |
4.48% |
9.54% |
9.76% |
9.64% |
^ 13.51% ^ |
18.18% |
17.21% |
18.74% |
( 8.57 )% |
- Number of sims: 100000
- League Winner average points: 104.41
- Auto Promotion average points: 96.98
- Playoff Bye average points: 87.75
- Playoff average points: 74.89
- Escape Relegation average points: 38.24
POWER RANKINGS | SCHEDULE STRENGTH
# Team ELO PPG | So Far Remaining
1 WOL 1731 2.00 | 1359.6 1501.2
2 WHM 1692 0.50 | 1574.8 1480.8
3 MID 1641 1.50 | 1373.0 1494.4
4 BUR 1634 0.50 | 1696.0 1479.8
5 MIL 1623 3.00 | 1462.3 1523.0
6 WBA 1618 3.00 | 1585.0 1499.0
7 SOU 1606 -0.5 | 1465.6 1510.6
8 BIR 1590 1.00 | 1516.4 1534.5
9 SHU 1576 1.00 | 1548.3 1482.5
10 WRE 1547 1.00 | 1416.2 1511.4
11 WAT 1513 2.00 | 1559.8 1458.2
12 BLA 1498 2.00 | 1682.0 1500.8
13 SWA 1494 2.00 | 1515.7 1520.5
14 NOR 1489 0.00 | 1584.7 1526.3
15 BRI 1449 0.50 | 1583.1 1481.9
16 CHA 1443 3.00 | 1561.2 1492.4
17 QPR 1436 2.00 | 1351.0 1495.6
18 STO 1422 0.00 | 1545.9 1507.8
19 DER 1422 0.50 | 1345.0 1503.4
20 POR 1383 1.50 | 1328.1 1509.5
21 BOL 1355 2.00 | 1371.0 1489.8
22 CAR 1329 1.00 | 1486.0 1492.5
23 PNE 1297 0.00 | 1539.4 1486.3
24 LIN 1212 0.00 | 1549.9 1517.8
EFL Championship Predictor as of August 17
Brought to you by Python (the programming language)!
How it works: A computer program reads in the completed results and simulates the rest of the season many times, using a fairly simple match engine for scores and basing results on the ELO ratings of the two teams. The ELO ratings are guessed at the start of the season, using several sources of pre-season predictions, but will fluctuate based on results in the actual games played, eventually making the initial ELO predictions almost irrelevant. In each sim the program simulates the EFL playoffs and counts how many times each team finishes in each position, relegated or promoted. This file will be updated as EFL results come in, so check back often!
Scroll down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.
0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.
Latest results added: Friday: WOL 2-2 BLA. Saturday: BOL 2-1 PNE, STO 1-2 SWA, POR 1-3 QPR, NOR 1-2 WBA, MID 2-1 LIN, CHA 2-1 DER, BRI 0-2 MIL, SHU 0-0 BIR. Sunday: WAT 2-1 SOU, BUR 2-2 WHM. Monday: CAR 1-1 WRE.
Summary: After several weeks of guessing what the new season will look like, the top teams got off to a dubious start, with draws for West Ham and Wolves and a one-goal win for Middlesbrough against Lincoln, who most think are going to be happy to avoid relegation. The Elo system works by slowly (very slowly at first) adjusting the pre-season guesses of team strengths to fit what actually happens, so it will take a while before the Elo ranks resemble the chaos of early results (or vice versa). You can see the wide variation in luck that takes over by the fact that while the league winners average 105 points over 100,000 simulations, the top ranked team averages only 79.39 points over those sims. The graph below has different types of lines to help differentiate far too few colours: northern teams have a solid line, southern teams have a single dot, London-area teams a double dot, and Midlands teams are long dashes.
| (Full name) - Record - Current ELO (rank) TEAM |
Points
So Far |
Max.Poss.
Points |
Avg.Simmed
Points |
Win
League |
2nd |
3rd/4th |
5th/6th |
7th/8th |
Promoted
to EPL! |
9th-12th |
13th-16th |
17th-21st |
Relegated
to League One |
(Queens Park Rangers) 1W 0D 0L +2 GD 1444(15)
Next: v BOL 08-22 | QPR |
|
3 |
138 |
62.42 |
3.19% |
3.52% |
7.54% |
8.06% |
8.36% |
^ 10.86% ^ |
17.63% |
18.24% |
22.55% |
( 10.90 )% |
(Millwall) 1W 0D 0L +2 GD 1577(7)
Next: v NOR 08-22 | MIL |
|
3 |
138 |
69.46 |
6.14% |
5.98% |
10.85% |
10.46% |
9.84% |
^ 17.15% ^ |
18.27% |
16.07% |
16.34% |
( 6.05 )% |
| |
(Middlesbrough) 1W 0D 0L +1 GD 1717(3)
Next: @ BLA 08-22 | MID |
|
3 |
138 |
76.40 |
10.99% |
8.56% |
14.36% |
12.04% |
10.62% |
^ 24.86% ^ |
17.09% |
12.74% |
10.51% |
( 3.09 )% |
(West Bromwich Albion) 1W 0D 0L +1 GD 1546(10)
Next: v BUR 08-22 | WBA |
|
3 |
138 |
68.34 |
5.34% |
5.29% |
10.71% |
10.13% |
9.81% |
^ 15.40% ^ |
18.26% |
16.45% |
17.20% |
( 6.81 )% |
| |
(Watford) 1W 0D 0L +1 GD 1509(12)
Next: @ WRE 08-22 | WAT |
|
3 |
138 |
64.17 |
3.50% |
4.08% |
8.43% |
8.82% |
8.93% |
^ 11.89% ^ |
18.17% |
17.77% |
20.55% |
( 9.75 )% |
(Swansea City) 1W 0D 0L +1 GD 1485(13)
Next: v SHU 08-22 | SWA |
|
3 |
138 |
64.93 |
4.02% |
4.21% |
8.79% |
8.97% |
9.13% |
^ 12.51% ^ |
18.09% |
17.47% |
20.01% |
( 9.31 )% |
| |
(Bolton Wanderers) 1W 0D 0L +1 GD 1347(20)
Next: @ QPR 08-22 | BOL |
|
3 |
138 |
55.66 |
1.40% |
1.84% |
4.69% |
5.68% |
6.60% |
^ 6.29% ^ |
15.50% |
18.62% |
27.53% |
( 18.14 )% |
(Charlton Athletic) 1W 0D 0L +1 GD 1361(19)
Next: @ WHM 08-22 | CHA |
|
3 |
138 |
57.36 |
1.71% |
2.22% |
5.46% |
6.34% |
7.10% |
^ 7.37% ^ |
16.15% |
18.39% |
26.28% |
( 16.33 )% |
| |
(West Ham United) 0W 1D 0L +0 GD 1774(1)
Next: v CHA 08-22 | WHM |
|
1 |
136 |
79.46 |
13.29% |
10.32% |
16.20% |
12.65% |
10.30% |
^ 29.19% ^ |
15.90% |
11.12% |
8.15% |
( 2.06 )% |
(Wolverhampton Wanderers) 0W 1D 0L +0 GD 1723(2)
Next: @ PNE 08-22 | WOL |
|
1 |
136 |
73.94 |
8.31% |
7.79% |
13.66% |
11.87% |
10.56% |
^ 21.93% ^ |
17.97% |
13.79% |
12.34% |
( 3.70 )% |
(Burnley) 0W 1D 0L +0 GD 1706(4)
Next: @ WBA 08-22 | BUR |
|
1 |
136 |
73.73 |
8.42% |
7.59% |
13.66% |
11.79% |
10.44% |
^ 21.34% ^ |
17.60% |
14.06% |
12.26% |
( 4.18 )% |
(Blackburn Rovers) 0W 1D 0L +0 GD 1422(18)
Next: v MID 08-22 | BLA |
|
1 |
136 |
58.91 |
2.31% |
2.74% |
6.34% |
6.90% |
7.64% |
^ 8.67% ^ |
16.20% |
17.89% |
24.70% |
( 15.27 )% |
| |
(Wrexham) 0W 1D 0L +0 GD 1550(9)
Next: v WAT 08-22 | WRE |
|
1 |
136 |
66.02 |
4.47% |
4.63% |
9.66% |
9.53% |
9.24% |
^ 13.90% ^ |
18.19% |
16.84% |
18.75% |
( 8.69 )% |
(Cardiff City) 0W 1D 0L +0 GD 1320(22)
Next: @ DER 08-22 | CAR |
|
1 |
136 |
51.60 |
0.98% |
1.28% |
3.58% |
4.60% |
5.43% |
^ 4.83% ^ |
13.50% |
17.31% |
28.75% |
( 24.56 )% |
(Birmingham City) 0W 1D 0L +0 GD 1603(5)
Next: v BRI 08-22 | BIR |
|
1 |
136 |
69.34 |
6.21% |
5.85% |
11.22% |
10.54% |
9.87% |
^ 17.16% ^ |
18.18% |
15.43% |
15.92% |
( 6.78 )% |
(Sheffield United) 0W 1D 0L +0 GD 1584(6)
Next: @ SWA 08-22 | SHU |
|
1 |
136 |
67.71 |
5.58% |
5.45% |
10.43% |
9.86% |
9.42% |
^ 15.71% ^ |
17.70% |
16.27% |
17.51% |
( 7.80 )% |
| |
(Norwich City) 0W 0D 1L -1 GD 1536(11)
Next: @ MIL 08-22 | NOR |
|
0 |
135 |
62.68 |
2.94% |
3.62% |
8.14% |
8.61% |
8.86% |
^ 11.11% ^ |
17.69% |
17.74% |
20.86% |
( 11.52 )% |
(Stoke City) 0W 0D 1L -1 GD 1456(14)
Next: @ SOU 08-22 | STO |
|
0 |
135 |
58.61 |
2.06% |
2.60% |
6.10% |
7.18% |
7.69% |
^ 8.34% ^ |
16.75% |
17.94% |
23.94% |
( 15.74 )% |
(Derby County) 0W 0D 1L -1 GD 1431(17)
Next: v CAR 08-22 | DER |
|
0 |
135 |
59.26 |
1.97% |
2.61% |
6.22% |
7.16% |
7.87% |
^ 8.55% ^ |
17.30% |
18.54% |
24.10% |
( 14.22 )% |
(Preston North End) 0W 0D 1L -1 GD 1306(23)
Next: v WOL 08-22 | PNE |
|
0 |
135 |
51.33 |
0.86% |
1.18% |
3.39% |
4.45% |
5.45% |
^ 4.60% ^ |
13.54% |
17.59% |
28.81% |
( 24.72 )% |
(Lincoln City) 0W 0D 1L -1 GD 1248(24)
Next: v POR 08-22 | LIN |
|
0 |
135 |
47.56 |
0.61% |
0.97% |
2.51% |
3.48% |
4.20% |
^ 3.56% ^ |
11.36% |
15.67% |
29.52% |
( 31.69 )% |
| |
(Portsmouth) 0W 0D 1L -2 GD 1347(21)
Next: @ LIN 08-22 | POR |
|
0 |
135 |
53.42 |
1.10% |
1.67% |
4.13% |
5.16% |
5.88% |
^ 5.61% ^ |
14.57% |
17.93% |
27.75% |
( 21.81 )% |
(Bristol City) 0W 0D 1L -2 GD 1435(16)
Next: @ BIR 08-22 | BRI |
|
0 |
135 |
58.06 |
1.84% |
2.36% |
5.75% |
6.87% |
7.54% |
^ 7.92% ^ |
16.27% |
18.54% |
25.06% |
( 15.78 )% |
(Southampton) 0W 0D 1L -1 GD 1573(8)
Next: v STO 08-22 | SOU |
|
-4 |
131 |
62.64 |
2.75% |
3.64% |
8.18% |
8.86% |
9.21% |
^ 11.30% ^ |
18.11% |
17.56% |
20.60% |
( 11.09 )% |
- Number of sims: 100000
- League Winner average points: 105.10
- Auto Promotion average points: 97.53
- Playoff Bye average points: 88.12
- Playoff average points: 75.04
- Escape Relegation average points: 38.06
POWER RANKINGS | SCHEDULE STRENGTH
# Team ELO PPG | So Far Remaining
1 WHM 1774 1.00 | 1756.0 1526.9
2 WOL 1723 1.00 | 1371.8 1524.4
3 MID 1717 3.00 | 1198.0 1476.1
4 BUR 1706 1.00 | 1724.0 1473.0
5 BIR 1603 1.00 | 1634.0 1526.0
6 SHU 1584 1.00 | 1553.0 1501.0
7 MIL 1577 3.00 | 1485.3 1522.6
8 SOU 1573 -4.0 | 1559.4 1493.2
9 WRE 1550 1.00 | 1369.5 1508.5
10 WBA 1546 3.00 | 1585.7 1502.3
11 NOR 1536 0.00 | 1496.3 1501.7
12 WAT 1509 3.00 | 1522.6 1491.0
13 SWA 1485 3.00 | 1505.7 1497.5
14 STO 1456 0.00 | 1435.3 1526.2
15 QPR 1444 3.00 | 1396.6 1494.4
16 BRI 1435 0.00 | 1526.7 1498.0
17 DER 1431 0.00 | 1411.1 1494.3
18 BLA 1422 1.00 | 1773.2 1490.3
19 CHA 1361 3.00 | 1380.9 1457.4
20 BOL 1347 3.00 | 1255.7 1483.6
21 POR 1347 0.00 | 1394.4 1508.0
22 CAR 1320 1.00 | 1500.5 1489.5
23 PNE 1306 0.00 | 1397.3 1511.8
24 LIN 1248 0.00 | 1767.0 1502.4
EFL Championship Predictor, preseason version
Brought to you by Python (the programming language)!
Latest results added: First game is Friday evening, August 13. The initial Elo rankings were generated from a Reddit post listing all teams’ bookie odds of promotion and relegation. As the season progresses, the Elo ratings will fluctuate based on how unexpected the actual results are, and will get closer to mirroring the actual rankings of the teams.
| (Full name) - Record - Current ELO (rank) TEAM |
Points
So Far |
Max.Poss.
Points |
Avg.Simmed
Points |
Win
League |
2nd |
3rd/4th |
5th/6th |
7th/8th |
Promoted
to EPL! |
9th-12th |
13th-16th |
17th-21st |
Relegated
to League One |
(West Ham United) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1781(1)
Next: @ BUR 08-16 | WHM |
|
0 |
138 |
79.57 |
13.41% |
10.24% |
15.94% |
12.53% |
10.42% |
^ 29.27% ^ |
15.86% |
11.10% |
8.38% |
( 2.11% ) |
(Wolverhampton Wanderers) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1746(2)
Next: v BLA 08-14 | WOL |
|
0 |
138 |
76.28 |
10.03% |
8.53% |
14.52% |
12.59% |
10.60% |
^ 24.29% ^ |
17.39% |
13.03% |
10.48% |
( 2.83% ) |
| |
(Middlesbrough) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1711(3)
Next: v LIN 08-15 | MID |
|
0 |
138 |
75.39 |
9.64% |
8.09% |
13.98% |
12.22% |
10.49% |
^ 23.26% ^ |
17.54% |
13.43% |
11.24% |
( 3.36% ) |
(Burnley) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1699(4)
Next: v WHM 08-16 | BUR |
|
0 |
138 |
74.70 |
8.96% |
8.04% |
13.94% |
11.86% |
10.38% |
^ 22.20% ^ |
17.67% |
13.71% |
11.49% |
( 3.94% ) |
| |
(Birmingham City) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1605(6)
Next: @ SHU 08-15 | BIR |
|
0 |
138 |
68.78 |
5.72% |
5.65% |
10.73% |
10.40% |
10.02% |
^ 16.39% ^ |
18.03% |
16.01% |
16.44% |
( 6.99% ) |
(Norwich City) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1594(7)
Next: v WBA 08-15 | NOR |
|
0 |
138 |
68.23 |
5.26% |
5.47% |
10.52% |
10.37% |
9.79% |
^ 15.66% ^ |
18.37% |
16.05% |
16.82% |
( 7.36% ) |
| |
(Sheffield United) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1582(8)
Next: v BIR 08-15 | SHU |
|
0 |
138 |
68.93 |
6.37% |
5.78% |
10.94% |
10.09% |
9.50% |
^ 16.76% ^ |
17.54% |
15.86% |
16.80% |
( 7.12% ) |
(Wrexham) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1570(9)
Next: @ CAR 08-17 | WRE |
|
0 |
138 |
67.41 |
5.01% |
5.11% |
10.21% |
9.80% |
9.61% |
^ 15.02% ^ |
18.22% |
16.55% |
17.81% |
( 7.69% ) |
| |
(Millwall) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1535(10)
Next: @ BRI 08-15 | MIL |
|
0 |
138 |
64.54 |
3.72% |
3.98% |
8.67% |
9.03% |
9.18% |
^ 12.08% ^ |
18.26% |
17.68% |
19.92% |
( 9.57% ) |
(Stoke City) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1511(11)
Next: v SWA 08-15 | STO |
|
0 |
138 |
64.04 |
3.58% |
3.96% |
8.51% |
8.87% |
8.95% |
^ 11.91% ^ |
18.01% |
17.65% |
20.32% |
( 10.15% ) |
(Derby County) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1500(12)
Next: @ CHA 08-15 | DER |
|
0 |
138 |
64.13 |
3.50% |
3.85% |
8.43% |
8.77% |
8.99% |
^ 11.93% ^ |
18.19% |
18.03% |
20.71% |
( 9.52% ) |
(West Bromwich Albion) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1488(13)
Next: @ NOR 08-15 | WBA |
|
0 |
138 |
62.38 |
2.82% |
3.41% |
7.83% |
8.19% |
8.89% |
^ 10.63% ^ |
17.90% |
17.83% |
21.78% |
( 11.35% ) |
| |
(Bristol City) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1477(14)
Next: v MIL 08-15 | BRI |
|
0 |
138 |
62.23 |
2.84% |
3.40% |
7.63% |
8.22% |
8.54% |
^ 10.57% ^ |
17.65% |
18.26% |
22.20% |
( 11.27% ) |
(Watford) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1441(15)
Next: v SOU 08-16 | WAT |
|
0 |
138 |
59.16 |
2.03% |
2.67% |
6.29% |
7.03% |
7.92% |
^ 8.34% ^ |
17.06% |
18.13% |
24.24% |
( 14.63% ) |
(Swansea City) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1430(16)
Next: @ STO 08-15 | SWA |
|
0 |
138 |
58.98 |
2.15% |
2.58% |
6.21% |
6.95% |
7.70% |
^ 8.51% ^ |
16.93% |
18.34% |
24.23% |
( 14.92% ) |
(Blackburn Rovers) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1399(17)
Next: @ WOL 08-14 | BLA |
|
0 |
138 |
56.97 |
1.88% |
2.33% |
5.49% |
6.32% |
7.02% |
^ 7.63% ^ |
15.64% |
18.03% |
25.81% |
( 17.48% ) |
| |
(Portsmouth) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1397(18)
Next: v QPR 08-15 | POR |
|
0 |
138 |
58.41 |
1.95% |
2.53% |
5.98% |
6.81% |
7.56% |
^ 8.13% ^ |
16.48% |
18.33% |
25.01% |
( 15.35% ) |
(Queens Park Rangers) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1394(19)
Next: @ POR 08-15 | QPR |
|
0 |
138 |
57.32 |
1.81% |
2.23% |
5.51% |
6.41% |
7.13% |
^ 7.51% ^ |
16.09% |
18.35% |
26.04% |
( 16.44% ) |
(Preston North End) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1359(20)
Next: @ BOL 08-15 | PNE |
|
0 |
138 |
54.91 |
1.35% |
1.87% |
4.67% |
5.65% |
6.37% |
^ 6.25% ^ |
15.24% |
17.92% |
27.32% |
( 19.60% ) |
(Cardiff City) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1300(21)
Next: v WRE 08-17 | CAR |
|
0 |
138 |
51.24 |
0.86% |
1.42% |
3.41% |
4.53% |
5.26% |
^ 4.75% ^ |
13.40% |
17.38% |
28.79% |
( 24.95% ) |
(Bolton Wanderers) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1294(22)
Next: v PNE 08-15 | BOL |
|
0 |
138 |
52.28 |
0.91% |
1.32% |
3.61% |
4.68% |
5.80% |
^ 4.93% ^ |
14.08% |
17.81% |
28.61% |
( 23.17% ) |
| |
(Charlton Athletic) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1292(23)
Next: v DER 08-15 | CHA |
|
0 |
138 |
52.49 |
0.98% |
1.42% |
3.89% |
4.86% |
5.67% |
^ 5.21% ^ |
14.09% |
17.58% |
28.54% |
( 22.98% ) |
(Lincoln City) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1254(24)
Next: @ MID 08-15 | LIN |
|
0 |
138 |
48.46 |
0.74% |
1.02% |
2.85% |
3.58% |
4.46% |
^ 3.83% ^ |
11.72% |
16.16% |
29.56% |
( 29.90% ) |
(Southampton) 0W 0D 0L +0 GD 1641(5)
Next: @ WAT 08-16 | SOU |
|
-4 |
134 |
67.20 |
4.49% |
5.09% |
10.25% |
10.22% |
9.77% |
^ 14.93% ^ |
18.64% |
16.77% |
17.46% |
( 7.31% ) |
| (Full name) - Record - Current ELO (rank) TEAM |
Points
So Far |
Max.Poss.
Points |
Avg.Simmed
Points |
Win
League |
2nd |
3rd/4th |
5th/6th |
7th/8th |
Promoted
to EPL! |
9th-12th |
13th-16th |
17th-21st |
Relegated
to League One |
- Number of sims: 100000
- League Winner average points: 105.62
- Auto Promotion average points: 97.95
- Playoff Bye average points: 88.45
- Playoff average points: 75.20
- Escape Relegation average points: 37.82
POWER RANKINGS | SCHEDULE STRENGTH
# Team ELO PPG | So Far Remaining
1 WHM 1781 0.00 | 0.0 1478.2
2 WOL 1746 0.00 | 0.0 1494.5
3 MID 1711 0.00 | 0.0 1475.5
4 BUR 1699 0.00 | 0.0 1522.5
5 SOU 1641 0.00 | 0.0 1515.7
6 BIR 1605 0.00 | 0.0 1535.4
7 NOR 1594 0.00 | 0.0 1524.5
8 SHU 1582 0.00 | 0.0 1500.4
9 WRE 1570 0.00 | 0.0 1497.8
10 MIL 1535 0.00 | 0.0 1514.2
11 STO 1511 0.00 | 0.0 1504.4
12 DER 1500 0.00 | 0.0 1480.8
13 WBA 1488 0.00 | 0.0 1482.6
14 BRI 1477 0.00 | 0.0 1524.4
15 WAT 1441 0.00 | 0.0 1475.0
16 SWA 1430 0.00 | 0.0 1485.9
17 BLA 1399 0.00 | 0.0 1503.9
18 POR 1397 0.00 | 0.0 1519.3
19 QPR 1394 0.00 | 0.0 1510.2
20 PNE 1359 0.00 | 0.0 1475.3
21 CAR 1300 0.00 | 0.0 1504.2
22 BOL 1294 0.00 | 0.0 1493.8
23 CHA 1292 0.00 | 0.0 1486.2
24 LIN 1254 0.00 | 0.0 1495.2