MLS Predictor as of April 12

Brought to you by Python (the programming language)!

How it works: A computer program reads in the completed results and simulates the rest of the season many times, using a fairly simple match engine for scores and basing results on the ELO ratings of the two teams. The ELO ratings are guessed at the start of the season, using several sources of pre-season predictions, but will fluctuate based on results in the actual games played, eventually making the initial ELO predictions almost irrelevant. In each sim the program simulates the MLS playoffs and counts how many times each team finishes in/out of the playoffs, in each position, and making a strong playoff run (semi-finals or better). This file will be updated as MLS results come in, so check back often!

Scroll down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.

0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.

Latest results added: TOR 1-1 CIN, ATX 1-2 LAG, MTL 1-2 PHI, POR 2-1 LAF, N.E 1-0 DCU, MIA 2-2 NYR, CLT 1-2 NSH, VCR 2-0 NYF, DAL 1-1 STL, SKC 1-3 S.J, CHI 1-0 ATL, COL 6-2 HOU, S.D 1-2 MIN, (Sunday) CLB 1-1 ORL. (SEA - RSL postponed to Sept. 23, I assume due to World Cup preparations at Lumen Field).

Summary: After the April 11 "undercard" matches, which included Toronto giving up a late shorthanded goal to draw with Cincinnati at home, and Philadelphia finally getting a win, we have a new Wooden Spoon favourite, allowing Sporting KC fans to relax for a few hours at least and hand the spotlight to ... Montreal, who lost 2-1 at home to Philly and dropped to 30th place in the ELO rankings! The main events are still to come in "Super Saturday," with (finally!) several matches between top-tier teams.

The interim match was a surprise 2-1 win for Portland over a rested LAFC squad with many of their top players not making the trip. This dropped LAFC to #2 in the rankings behind Miami, and moved Portland up seven places to 18th!

Vancouver's win against NYCFC moved them up to #1 overall after LAFC's loss in Portland, and #2 in the rankings behind Miami, who got another draw in their new stadium against Red Bulls NY, losing two more points in the race with Nashville, who lead the East by four points after their win in Charlotte. SKC re-took the Wooden Spoon pole position with their 3-1 loss at home to San Jose, but have risen to #29 in the ELO rankings thanks to Montreal's plummet after the loss to Philly. Chicago's win against Atlanta moved them past Miami for second in the East.

The later games saw Houston thumped by Colorado, bringng Colorado level with Dallas for sixth in the ultracompetitive West, and Minnesota upset San Diego at home by grabbing the lead and bunkering after a San Diego player was sent off, and putting the two teams tied at 11 points and eighth in the West. Five home losses today, four by a 1-2 scoreline and the other by a 1-3 scoreline. Sunday's 1-1 draw between Columbus and Orlando kept both teams pretty much where they were last week.

EASTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (Nashville SC)   5W 1D 1L +11GD   1655(5)
Next: @ ATL (04/18) , v CLT (04/25) , @ PHI (05/02)
NSH
16 97 2.29 97.31% 15.16% 4.66% 4.84% 8.94% 34.43% 19.90% 13.25% 9.72% 6.85% 5.10% 3.64% 2.60% 1.82% 0.01%
        (Chicago Fire)   4W 1D 2L +4 GD   1548(10)
Next: @ CIN (04/18) , v SKC (04/25) , v CIN (05/02)
CHI
13 94 1.86 85.90% 2.99% 3.92% 4.80% 9.61% 9.44% 12.01% 11.78% 11.24% 10.34% 9.58% 8.13% 7.27% 6.00% 0.09%
        (Inter Miami)   3W 3D 1L +1 GD   1696(1)
Next: @ COL (04/18) , @ RSL (04/22) , v N.E (04/25)
MIA
12 93 1.71 96.38% 9.74% 5.47% 4.92% 9.56% 26.62% 21.06% 15.41% 10.62% 7.78% 5.65% 4.18% 2.95% 2.09% 0.01%
        (New York City FC)   3W 2D 2L +5 GD   1540(11)
Next: v CLT (04/18) , v CIN (04/22) , @ MTL (04/26)
NYF
11 92 1.57 81.83% 2.21% 3.66% 4.86% 9.34% 7.58% 9.83% 10.82% 10.63% 10.38% 9.44% 8.68% 7.48% 6.83% 0.16%
        (Charlotte FC)   3W 2D 2L +4 GD   1507(14)
Next: @ NYF (04/18) , @ ORL (04/22) , @ NSH (04/25)
CLT
11 92 1.57 78.88% 1.38% 3.21% 4.86% 8.35% 5.34% 8.73% 9.85% 10.19% 10.09% 9.64% 9.02% 8.30% 7.41% 0.32%
        (Toronto FC)   3W 2D 2L -1 GD   1483(16)
Next: v ATX (04/18) , v PHI (04/22) , v ATL (04/25)
TOR
11 92 1.57 73.64% 1.11% 3.41% 4.65% 8.12% 4.31% 6.86% 7.84% 9.20% 9.60% 9.32% 9.17% 8.92% 8.04% 0.38%
        (New York Red Bulls)   3W 2D 2L -4 GD   1492(15)
Next: @ MTL (04/18) , v DCU (04/22) , @ CIN (04/25)
NYR
11 92 1.57 75.87% 1.39% 3.55% 4.54% 8.36% 5.03% 7.43% 9.24% 9.62% 9.85% 9.53% 8.98% 8.32% 7.45% 0.41%
        (New England Revolution)   3W 0D 3L +3 GD   1444(19)
Next: v CLB (04/18) , @ ATL (04/22) , @ MIA (04/25)
N.E
9 93 1.50 65.14% 0.93% 2.97% 4.04% 7.46% 3.44% 5.06% 6.56% 7.20% 7.77% 8.27% 8.36% 8.86% 8.59% 1.04%
        (DC United)   2W 1D 4L -5 GD   1343(27)
Next: @ PHI (04/18) , @ NYR (04/22) , v ORL (04/25)
DCU
7 88 1.00 41.59% 0.06% 1.81% 2.60% 4.30% 0.49% 1.18% 2.04% 3.05% 3.83% 4.98% 6.08% 7.04% 8.31% 4.61%
        (FC Cincinnati)   2W 1D 4L -6 GD   1439(20)
Next: v CHI (04/18) , @ NYF (04/22) , v NYR (04/25)
CIN
7 88 1.00 53.40% 0.20% 2.91% 3.69% 6.21% 1.15% 2.54% 3.76% 4.99% 6.18% 6.73% 7.92% 8.73% 8.78% 2.62%
        (Columbus Crew)   1W 3D 3L -1 GD   1445(18)
Next: @ N.E (04/18) , v LAG (04/22) , v PHI (04/25)
CLB
6 87 0.86 55.66% 0.15% 2.89% 3.61% 6.41% 1.25% 2.60% 4.21% 5.33% 6.53% 7.59% 8.06% 8.57% 9.13% 2.40%
        (Atlanta United FC)   1W 1D 5L -6 GD   1301(28)
Next: v NSH (04/18) , v N.E (04/22) , @ TOR (04/25)
ATL
4 85 0.57 34.02% 0.01% 1.10% 1.70% 2.50% 0.12% 0.40% 0.85% 1.30% 1.98% 2.62% 3.59% 4.31% 5.78% 13.07%
        (Orlando City)   1W 1D 5L -18GD   1412(23)
Next: v HOU (04/18) , v CLT (04/22) , @ DCU (04/25)
ORL
4 85 0.57 46.24% 0.05% 2.25% 3.12% 5.34% 0.45% 1.54% 2.51% 3.79% 4.72% 5.64% 6.75% 7.46% 8.36% 5.03%
        (Philadelphia Union)   1W 0D 6L -6 GD   1369(26)
Next: v DCU (04/18) , @ TOR (04/22) , @ CLB (04/25)
PHI
3 84 0.43 37.20% 0.02% 1.65% 2.22% 3.68% 0.28% 0.64% 1.36% 2.14% 2.65% 4.01% 4.83% 5.88% 6.90% 8.51%
        (CF Montréal)   1W 0D 6L -11GD   1261(30)
Next: v NYR (04/18) , v NYF (04/26) , @ ATL (05/02)
MTL
3 84 0.43 35.00% 0.01% 0.88% 1.22% 1.84% 0.08% 0.24% 0.52% 0.96% 1.46% 1.90% 2.61% 3.31% 4.52% 19.41%
WESTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (Vancouver Whitecaps FC)   6W 0D 1L +15GD   1672(2)
Next: v SKC (04/17) , v COL (04/25) , @ LAG (05/02)
VCR
18 99 2.57 95.14% 16.82% 5.33% 3.78% 9.28% 23.98% 17.74% 14.23% 11.16% 8.93% 6.93% 5.30% 3.92% 2.96% 0.00%
        (San Jose Earthquakes)   6W 0D 1L +11GD   1617(6)
Next: @ LAF (04/19) , v ATX (04/22) , @ STL (04/25)
S.J
18 99 2.57 91.13% 11.30% 4.75% 3.75% 9.44% 16.59% 14.68% 12.95% 11.26% 10.07% 8.66% 7.01% 5.49% 4.41% 0.00%
        (Los Angeles FC)   5W 1D 1L +13GD   1669(3)
Next: v S.J (04/19) , v COL (04/22) , @ MIN (04/25)
LAF
16 97 2.29 92.31% 11.64% 5.96% 3.99% 10.13% 17.45% 15.50% 13.19% 11.60% 9.88% 8.18% 6.98% 5.31% 4.21% 0.01%
        (Real Salt Lake)   4W 1D 1L +4 GD   1566(8)
Next: v S.D (04/18) , v MIA (04/22) , @ LAG (04/26)
RSL
13 97 2.17 78.58% 4.63% 4.41% 3.86% 8.70% 7.43% 9.02% 9.54% 9.74% 9.71% 9.20% 8.68% 8.24% 6.94% 0.08%
        (Seattle Sounders)   4W 1D 1L +4 GD   1668(4)
Next: v STL (04/18) , v DAL (04/25) , @ SKC (05/02)
SEA
13 97 2.17 92.77% 11.86% 5.32% 3.91% 9.50% 18.06% 16.08% 13.69% 11.76% 9.68% 7.99% 6.54% 5.01% 3.96% 0.00%
        (Colorado Rapids)   4W 0D 3L +7 GD   1508(13)
Next: v MIA (04/18) , @ LAF (04/22) , @ VCR (04/25)
COL
12 93 1.71 64.36% 1.26% 4.14% 3.39% 7.58% 2.50% 4.44% 5.84% 7.07% 7.96% 8.41% 9.28% 9.52% 9.11% 0.24%
        (FC Dallas)   3W 3D 1L +5 GD   1551(9)
Next: v LAG (04/18) , v MIN (04/22) , @ SEA (04/25)
DAL
12 93 1.71 69.88% 1.96% 4.70% 3.62% 8.43% 3.70% 5.56% 7.00% 7.86% 8.59% 9.58% 9.20% 9.13% 9.06% 0.20%
        (San Diego FC)   3W 2D 2L +4 GD   1531(12)
Next: @ RSL (04/18) , @ HOU (04/22) , v POR (04/25)
S.D
11 92 1.57 65.64% 1.29% 4.22% 3.56% 7.85% 2.55% 4.08% 5.60% 7.24% 8.00% 9.02% 9.48% 9.68% 9.71% 0.27%
        (Minnesota United FC)   3W 2D 2L -5 GD   1606(7)
Next: v POR (04/18) , @ DAL (04/22) , v LAF (04/25)
MIN
11 92 1.57 80.80% 3.22% 4.85% 3.94% 8.78% 6.09% 8.51% 10.06% 10.65% 10.77% 9.97% 9.26% 8.63% 6.76% 0.10%
        (LA Galaxy)   2W 2D 3L -1 GD   1428(21)
Next: @ DAL (04/18) , @ CLB (04/22) , v RSL (04/26)
LAG
8 89 1.14 39.79% 0.18% 2.46% 2.21% 4.58% 0.56% 1.28% 1.92% 2.83% 3.54% 4.85% 6.18% 7.06% 8.87% 2.69%
        (Portland Timbers)   2W 1D 4L -5 GD   1448(17)
Next: @ MIN (04/18) , @ S.D (04/25) , @ RSL (05/02)
POR
7 88 1.00 41.58% 0.14% 2.79% 2.30% 4.66% 0.32% 1.06% 2.06% 2.84% 3.97% 5.32% 6.51% 8.26% 8.87% 2.35%
        (Houston Dynamo FC)   2W 0D 4L -6 GD   1391(25)
Next: @ ORL (04/18) , v S.D (04/22) , @ ATX (04/25)
HOU
6 90 1.00 35.04% 0.14% 2.13% 1.83% 3.52% 0.30% 0.77% 1.52% 2.12% 3.07% 3.84% 5.05% 6.26% 7.52% 4.59%
        (Austin FC)   1W 3D 3L -3 GD   1392(24)
Next: @ TOR (04/18) , @ S.J (04/22) , v HOU (04/25)
ATX
6 87 0.86 30.09% 0.06% 1.78% 1.58% 2.85% 0.16% 0.42% 0.79% 1.50% 2.10% 3.08% 3.99% 5.29% 6.89% 5.88%
        (St. Louis City SC)   1W 3D 3L -3 GD   1424(22)
Next: @ SEA (04/18) , v S.J (04/25) , @ ATX (05/03)
STL
6 87 0.86 36.18% 0.09% 2.31% 2.11% 3.89% 0.28% 0.82% 1.54% 2.11% 3.36% 4.21% 5.31% 6.48% 8.04% 4.02%
        (Sporting Kansas City)   1W 1D 5L -10GD   1266(29)
Next: @ VCR (04/17) , @ CHI (04/25) , v SEA (05/02)
SKC
4 85 0.57 28.65% 0.00% 0.53% 0.50% 0.82% 0.02% 0.05% 0.08% 0.28% 0.37% 0.76% 1.21% 1.70% 2.68% 21.50%

     POWER RANKINGS    Schedule Strength
 # Team Div  ELO  PPG  So Far  Remaining
 1  MIA E   1696 1.71  1522.2    1442.1
 2  VCR   W 1672 2.57  1458.2    1501.3
 3  LAF   W 1669 2.29  1459.2    1520.7
 4  SEA   W 1668 2.17  1585.4    1470.7
 5  NSH E   1655 2.29  1516.2    1446.2
 6  S.J   W 1617 2.57  1424.7    1515.7
 7  MIN   W 1606 1.57  1583.5    1476.8
 8  RSL   W 1566 2.17  1471.6    1509.8
 9  DAL   W 1551 1.71  1456.6    1522.2
10  CHI E   1548 1.86  1380.8    1483.7
11  NYF E   1540 1.57  1487.0    1468.4
12  S.D   W 1531 1.57  1455.8    1514.4
13  COL   W 1508 1.71  1474.8    1522.5
14  CLT E   1507 1.57  1450.8    1456.8
15  NYR E   1492 1.57  1477.4    1468.6
16  TOR E   1483 1.57  1492.1    1467.5
17  POR   W 1448 1.00  1526.4    1505.6
18  CLB E   1445 0.86  1458.8    1465.7
19  N.E E   1444 1.50  1435.5    1480.3
20  CIN E   1439 1.00  1452.8    1492.9
21  LAG   W 1428 1.14  1452.5    1516.6
22  STL   W 1424 0.86  1572.9    1497.2
23  ORL E   1412 0.57  1551.0    1465.5
24  ATX   W 1392 0.86  1530.6    1519.5
25  HOU   W 1391 1.00  1531.8    1506.9
26  PHI E   1369 0.43  1459.6    1479.7
27  DCU E   1343 1.00  1485.9    1477.1
28  ATL E   1301 0.57  1461.0    1480.4
29  SKC   W 1266 0.57  1516.1    1523.6
30  MTL E   1261 0.43  1533.6    1476.5



MLS Predictor as of April 4, end of day.

Scroll down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.

0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.

Latest results added: Everyone played a match on a wild Easter Saturday: TOR 3-2 COL, RSL 3-1 SKC, N.E 3-0 MTL, NYR 4-2 CIN, NYF 1-1 STL, MIA 2-2 ATX, DCU 0-4 DAL, CLT 2-1 PHI, ATL 1-3 CLB, CHI 1-0 NSH, HOU 0-1 SEA, LAF 6-0 ORL, VAN 3-2 POR, S.J 3-0 S.D, LAG 1-2 MIN

Summary: Miami's draw at their new home to Austin dropped them to second in the ELO Power Rankings, and LAFC took full advantage with a 6-0 win over Orlando. Nashville remains atop the East standings despite conceding the only goal of the game 18 seconds in in Chicago, dropping them from 3rd to 5th in ELO. Seattle's late winner in Houston moved them from 5th to 3rd, and Vancouver's last minute pair against Portland saved them from what could have been a huge drop, leaving them fourth. San Jose's win at home against San Diego leaves the teams 10th and 4th last week now 6th and 7th. Dallas and Salt Lake are now knocking on the top tier door.

At the other end of the scale, the Wooden Spoon race is now controlled by the team I am calling the Philadelphia 0nion (at least until they get their first point....), but the ELO rankings began by assuming PHI would be a top-six contender this year, so PHI's ELO has not found its level yet. Doesn't stop them from being the favourites for last, followed by Sporting KC, Atlanta, and Montreal, as well as Portland after a frustrating added-time loss to Vancouver.

In the middle of the pack, some upward movement by Toronto, Chicago, New England, and Charlotte has balanced the East-West divide a little, but seven of the top ten are still Western Division squads.

Massive games coming next week: NSH @ CLT, NYF @ VCR, NYR @ MIA, S.J @ SKC, RSL @ SEA. Even PHI @ MTL might be a crucial match in the eventual Wooden Spoon race....

EASTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (Nashville SC)   4W 1D 1L +10GD   1610(5)
Next: @ CLT (04/11) , @ ATL (04/18) , v CLT (04/25)
NSH
13 97 2.17 93.05% 7.99% 4.50% 4.72% 9.48% 20.37% 17.09% 13.91% 11.27% 8.88% 7.56% 5.80% 4.67% 3.45% 0.04%
        (New York City FC)   3W 2D 1L +7 GD   1563(10)
Next: @ VCR (04/11) , v CLT (04/18) , v CIN (04/22)
NYF
11 95 1.83 84.99% 2.89% 4.18% 4.96% 9.65% 9.36% 11.66% 11.80% 11.17% 10.38% 9.28% 8.13% 7.12% 5.96% 0.12%
        (Charlotte FC)   3W 2D 1L +5 GD   1558(11)
Next: v NSH (04/11) , @ NYF (04/18) , @ ORL (04/22)
CLT
11 95 1.83 85.78% 3.50% 3.74% 4.63% 9.27% 11.32% 12.96% 12.21% 11.09% 10.15% 8.73% 7.43% 6.29% 5.42% 0.17%
        (Inter Miami)   3W 2D 1L +1 GD   1719(2)
Next: v NYR (04/11) , @ COL (04/18) , @ RSL (04/22)
MIA
11 95 1.83 97.14% 13.85% 5.26% 4.57% 9.37% 34.92% 20.34% 14.20% 9.49% 6.43% 4.47% 3.46% 2.22% 1.59% 0.01%
        (Chicago Fire)   3W 1D 2L +3 GD   1536(13)
Next: v ATL (04/11) , @ CIN (04/18) , v SKC (04/25)
CHI
10 94 1.67 81.29% 2.15% 4.04% 4.67% 9.04% 7.31% 9.66% 10.77% 10.45% 9.72% 9.41% 8.98% 7.75% 7.01% 0.23%
        (Toronto FC)   3W 1D 2L -1 GD   1497(14)
Next: v CIN (04/11) , v ATX (04/18) , v PHI (04/22)
TOR
10 94 1.67 76.32% 1.63% 3.25% 4.75% 8.68% 6.12% 7.51% 8.71% 9.13% 9.78% 9.73% 8.93% 8.41% 7.65% 0.34%
        (New York Red Bulls)   3W 1D 2L -4 GD   1470(16)
Next: @ MIA (04/11) , @ MTL (04/18) , v DCU (04/22)
NYR
10 94 1.67 71.25% 0.97% 3.05% 4.46% 7.97% 3.68% 6.13% 7.47% 8.53% 9.09% 9.27% 9.09% 9.04% 8.45% 0.52%
        (DC United)   2W 1D 3L -4 GD   1367(26)
Next: @ N.E (04/11) , @ PHI (04/18) , @ NYR (04/22)
DCU
7 91 1.17 45.66% 0.14% 1.90% 2.75% 4.84% 0.75% 1.97% 2.83% 3.94% 4.92% 5.95% 6.41% 7.00% 8.57% 3.32%
        (New England Revolution)   2W 0D 3L +2 GD   1418(21)
Next: v DCU (04/11) , v CLB (04/18) , @ ATL (04/22)
N.E
6 93 1.20 56.16% 0.43% 2.62% 3.53% 6.30% 2.08% 3.56% 4.75% 5.55% 6.36% 6.93% 7.83% 8.46% 8.33% 2.29%
        (FC Cincinnati)   2W 0D 4L -6 GD   1426(19)
Next: @ TOR (04/11) , v CHI (04/18) , @ NYF (04/22)
CIN
6 90 1.00 51.13% 0.29% 2.80% 3.63% 5.95% 1.47% 2.40% 3.49% 4.86% 5.54% 6.38% 7.14% 8.07% 8.65% 3.13%
        (Columbus Crew)   1W 2D 3L -1 GD   1458(18)
Next: v ORL (04/12) , @ N.E (04/18) , v LAG (04/22)
CLB
5 89 0.83 59.48% 0.21% 3.04% 3.85% 6.57% 1.54% 3.52% 4.46% 6.17% 7.43% 7.77% 8.87% 8.66% 9.26% 1.80%
        (Atlanta United FC)   1W 1D 4L -5 GD   1312(29)
Next: @ CHI (04/11) , v NSH (04/18) , v N.E (04/22)
ATL
4 88 0.67 35.44% 0.03% 1.39% 1.96% 2.71% 0.22% 0.65% 1.09% 1.61% 2.38% 3.19% 3.82% 5.30% 6.41% 10.78%
        (CF Montréal)   1W 0D 5L -10GD   1319(28)
Next: v PHI (04/11) , v NYR (04/18) , v NYF (04/26)
MTL
3 87 0.50 37.84% 0.03% 1.46% 2.02% 3.19% 0.32% 0.74% 1.41% 2.08% 2.85% 3.46% 4.55% 5.58% 6.32% 10.52%
        (Orlando City)   1W 0D 5L -18GD   1400(23)
Next: @ CLB (04/12) , v HOU (04/18) , v CLT (04/22)
ORL
3 87 0.50 45.16% 0.04% 2.35% 3.02% 4.59% 0.44% 1.47% 2.29% 3.49% 4.38% 5.50% 6.50% 7.50% 7.78% 5.82%
        (Philadelphia Union)   0W 0D 6L -7 GD   1319(27)
Next: @ MTL (04/11) , v DCU (04/18) , @ TOR (04/22)
PHI
0 84 0.00 36.98% 0.01% 1.34% 1.54% 2.38% 0.09% 0.34% 0.61% 1.17% 1.71% 2.35% 3.06% 3.94% 5.17% 18.57%
WESTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (Los Angeles FC)   5W 1D 0L +14GD   1736(1)
Next: @ POR (04/11) , v S.J (04/19) , v COL (04/22)
LAF
16 100 2.67 96.95% 23.44% 6.54% 4.08% 9.31% 32.48% 18.63% 13.29% 10.26% 7.88% 5.25% 4.12% 2.83% 2.21% 0.00%
        (Vancouver Whitecaps FC)   5W 0D 1L +13GD   1646(4)
Next: v NYF (04/11) , v SKC (04/17) , v COL (04/25)
VCR
15 99 2.50 91.75% 10.65% 5.50% 3.99% 9.35% 15.89% 15.05% 13.13% 11.74% 9.86% 8.54% 7.38% 5.82% 4.33% 0.01%
        (San Jose Earthquakes)   5W 0D 1L +9 GD   1596(6)
Next: @ SKC (04/11) , @ LAF (04/19) , v ATX (04/22)
S.J
15 99 2.50 88.34% 7.43% 4.71% 3.90% 9.26% 11.54% 12.56% 12.71% 11.84% 10.43% 9.35% 7.87% 6.52% 5.53% 0.01%
        (Real Salt Lake)   4W 1D 1L +4 GD   1566(9)
Next: @ SEA (04/12) , v S.D (04/18) , v MIA (04/22)
RSL
13 97 2.17 80.61% 4.29% 4.58% 3.88% 9.39% 6.98% 9.14% 10.18% 9.88% 10.46% 9.71% 9.05% 8.15% 6.95% 0.10%
        (Seattle Sounders)   4W 1D 1L +4 GD   1668(3)
Next: v RSL (04/12) , v STL (04/18) , v DAL (04/25)
SEA
13 97 2.17 92.80% 11.43% 4.99% 3.71% 9.22% 16.96% 16.55% 14.43% 11.72% 9.72% 7.82% 6.59% 5.08% 3.92% 0.01%
        (FC Dallas)   3W 2D 1L +5 GD   1570(8)
Next: v STL (04/11) , v LAG (04/18) , v MIN (04/22)
DAL
11 95 1.83 75.93% 2.58% 4.69% 3.90% 8.74% 4.61% 7.55% 8.41% 9.16% 9.80% 9.98% 9.10% 9.12% 8.01% 0.19%
        (San Diego FC)   3W 2D 1L +5 GD   1594(7)
Next: v MIN (04/11) , @ RSL (04/18) , @ HOU (04/22)
S.D
11 95 1.83 79.48% 3.21% 4.87% 4.01% 9.70% 5.62% 8.06% 9.28% 10.45% 10.52% 9.80% 9.80% 8.46% 7.37% 0.12%
        (Colorado Rapids)   3W 0D 3L +3 GD   1477(15)
Next: v HOU (04/11) , v MIA (04/18) , @ LAF (04/22)
COL
9 93 1.50 56.22% 0.72% 3.41% 3.06% 6.38% 1.42% 3.13% 4.24% 5.25% 6.16% 7.61% 8.71% 9.12% 9.87% 0.71%
        (Minnesota United FC)   2W 2D 2L -6 GD   1551(12)
Next: @ S.D (04/11) , v POR (04/18) , @ DAL (04/22)
MIN
8 92 1.33 68.80% 1.31% 4.46% 3.92% 8.29% 2.69% 4.86% 6.67% 7.72% 8.44% 9.62% 9.52% 9.75% 9.05% 0.48%
        (Houston Dynamo FC)   2W 0D 3L -2 GD   1419(20)
Next: @ COL (04/11) , @ ORL (04/18) , v S.D (04/22)
HOU
6 93 1.20 42.01% 0.28% 2.29% 2.31% 4.68% 0.56% 1.25% 2.10% 3.15% 4.16% 5.45% 6.08% 7.61% 8.59% 3.06%
        (Austin FC)   1W 3D 2L -2 GD   1460(17)
Next: v LAG (04/11) , @ TOR (04/18) , @ S.J (04/22)
ATX
6 90 1.00 45.41% 0.25% 2.77% 2.62% 5.11% 0.67% 1.67% 2.40% 3.65% 4.54% 5.92% 6.99% 7.96% 9.36% 2.27%
        (LA Galaxy)   1W 2D 3L -2 GD   1368(25)
Next: @ ATX (04/11) , @ DAL (04/18) , @ CLB (04/22)
LAG
5 89 0.83 30.14% 0.05% 1.71% 1.53% 2.72% 0.17% 0.45% 0.84% 1.26% 2.03% 2.79% 3.65% 5.08% 6.54% 7.33%
        (St. Louis City SC)   1W 2D 3L -3 GD   1405(22)
Next: @ DAL (04/11) , @ SEA (04/18) , v S.J (04/25)
STL
5 89 0.83 36.79% 0.12% 2.25% 1.76% 3.97% 0.28% 0.71% 1.46% 2.31% 3.35% 4.09% 5.39% 6.37% 8.03% 4.80%
        (Portland Timbers)   1W 1D 4L -6 GD   1374(24)
Next: v LAF (04/11) , @ MIN (04/18) , @ S.D (04/25)
POR
4 88 0.67 29.78% 0.04% 1.52% 1.48% 2.55% 0.09% 0.27% 0.62% 1.13% 1.81% 2.66% 3.82% 5.20% 6.25% 7.93%
        (Sporting Kansas City)   1W 1D 4L -8 GD   1289(30)
Next: v S.J (04/11) , @ VCR (04/17) , @ CHI (04/25)
SKC
4 88 0.67 27.33% 0.02% 0.78% 0.81% 1.33% 0.04% 0.10% 0.23% 0.47% 0.86% 1.43% 1.92% 2.94% 4.00% 15.32%

     POWER RANKINGS    Schedule Strength
 # Team Div  ELO  PPG  So Far  Remaining
 1  LAF   W 1736 2.67  1462.2    1511.4
 2  MIA E   1719 1.83  1580.8    1436.6
 3  SEA   W 1668 2.17  1569.0    1470.5
 4  VCR   W 1646 2.50  1426.2    1510.5
 5  NSH E   1610 2.17  1488.8    1464.0
 6  S.J   W 1596 2.50  1437.9    1506.5
 7  S.D   W 1594 1.83  1457.6    1505.6
 8  DAL   W 1570 1.83  1503.7    1508.3
 9  RSL   W 1566 2.17  1494.8    1502.4
10  NYF E   1563 1.83  1414.7    1483.0
11  CLT E   1558 1.83  1423.4    1460.0
12  MIN   W 1551 1.33  1562.9    1485.1
13  CHI E   1536 1.67  1415.2    1473.3
14  TOR E   1497 1.67  1507.8    1466.3
15  COL   W 1477 1.50  1493.0    1522.0
16  NYR E   1470 1.67  1436.3    1487.4
17  ATX   W 1460 1.00  1582.7    1503.2
18  CLB E   1458 0.83  1469.6    1458.5
19  CIN E   1426 1.00  1427.6    1499.9
20  HOU   W 1419 1.20  1516.7    1507.6
21  N.E E   1418 1.20  1465.9    1474.2
22  STL   W 1405 0.83  1589.5    1498.6
23  ORL E   1400 0.50  1569.4    1470.9
24  POR   W 1374 0.67  1502.2    1520.6
25  LAG   W 1368 0.83  1435.4    1525.6
26  DCU E   1367 1.17  1485.9    1483.2
27  PHI E   1319 0.00  1488.7    1483.7
28  MTL E   1319 0.50  1573.9    1463.8
29  ATL E   1312 0.67  1422.0    1483.2
30  SKC   W 1289 0.67  1509.7    1518.0



MLS Predictor as of March 22 (International break next week, next MLS action April 4)

Brought to you by Python (the programming language)!

Latest results added: TOR 2-1 CLB, PHI 1-2 CHI, NSH 5-0 ORL, ATL 0-0 DCU, CLT 6-1 NYR, DAL 4-3 HOU, SKC 1-4 COL, STL 3-1 N.E, ATX 0-0 LAF, VCR 0-1 SJ, Sunday: CIN 4-3 MTL, NYF 2-3 MIA, MIN 0-0 SEA, POR 1-1 LAG, S.D 2-2 RSL.

Summary: We have a new Wooden Spoon front runner, and they are ... last year's Supporters Shield winners, PHI! They will be the last team to get a standings point when they win or tie a game, something that hasn't happened yet. STL's win against N.E got them out of the bottom of the rankings, replaced by Sporting KC. PHI has dropped from #6 to #29 with their five losses. The West continues to be the dominant division, with 9 of the top 13 teams and only four of the bottom 13.

Miami's win at Yankee Stadium put them back on top after their 3-nil defeat at LAFC knocked them off the top spot. The new Miami stadium has kept them on the road, giving them the toughest schedule so far, and 10 points from five road games against a decent group of teams is impressive, with the easiest remaining schedule in the league.

It begins to look as though there are two top tiers developing as we hit the first international break of the season. Tier 1 has MIA, LAF, NSH, S.D, SEA, and VCR, then a 51 point drop to Tier 2: NYF, CLT, S.J, RSL, DAL, MIN, and COL, then a 30 point drop, which takes us through the league average of about 1490. The rest of the teams from #14 CHI at 1481 down to #30 SKC at 1300 have fewer breaks forming tiers, but over time that may develop. Tier 1 teams will compete for division titles, while Tier 2 teams will hope for home advantage in the three-game first round series in the playoffs by finishing fourth or better. After that, it is teams on the bubble for the playoffs, and teams unlikely to make it. However, there is a lot of time left for one or more of our top team teams to fall suddenly and be passed by teams below.

EASTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (Nashville SC)   4W 1D 0L +11GD   1658(3)
Next: @ CHI (04/04) , @ CLT (04/11) , @ ATL (04/18)
NSH
13 100 2.60 96.25% 14.89% 4.80% 4.38% 9.36% 29.01% 20.45% 14.62% 10.44% 7.21% 5.42% 4.09% 2.99% 2.00% 0.01%
        (New York City FC)   3W 1D 1L +7 GD   1584(7)
Next: v STL (04/04) , @ VCR (04/11) , v CLT (04/18)
NYF
10 97 2.00 87.92% 4.99% 4.21% 4.60% 9.11% 10.88% 14.31% 14.17% 11.83% 10.07% 7.99% 7.47% 6.13% 4.97% 0.07%
        (Inter Miami)   3W 1D 1L +1 GD   1743(1)
Next: v ATX (04/04) , v NYR (04/11) , @ COL (04/18)
MIA
10 97 2.00 97.82% 18.97% 5.91% 4.49% 9.08% 37.41% 22.89% 13.60% 8.53% 5.76% 4.15% 2.67% 1.60% 1.21% 0.00%
        (Charlotte FC)   2W 2D 1L +4 GD   1546(9)
Next: v PHI (04/04) , v NSH (04/11) , @ NYF (04/18)
CLT
8 95 1.60 81.50% 2.29% 3.76% 4.59% 9.05% 6.80% 10.63% 11.79% 11.03% 10.55% 9.05% 8.01% 6.77% 6.52% 0.35%
        (Chicago Fire)   2W 1D 2L +2 GD   1481(14)
Next: v NSH (04/04) , v ATL (04/11) , @ CIN (04/18)
CHI
7 94 1.40 68.92% 0.97% 3.42% 4.16% 7.79% 3.33% 5.65% 7.57% 8.59% 8.99% 8.57% 8.51% 8.58% 8.04% 1.09%
        (DC United)   2W 1D 2L +0 GD   1420(20)
Next: v DAL (04/04) , @ N.E (04/11) , @ PHI (04/18)
DCU
7 94 1.40 60.21% 0.49% 2.71% 3.53% 6.74% 1.82% 4.07% 5.32% 6.67% 7.49% 8.24% 7.97% 8.13% 8.45% 2.05%
        (Toronto FC)   2W 1D 2L -2 GD   1458(16)
Next: v COL (04/04) , v CIN (04/11) , v ATX (04/18)
TOR
7 94 1.40 66.16% 0.89% 2.93% 3.99% 7.64% 3.07% 5.28% 6.79% 7.84% 8.07% 8.76% 8.48% 8.52% 8.08% 1.27%
        (New York Red Bulls)   2W 1D 2L -6 GD   1429(19)
Next: v CIN (04/04) , @ MIA (04/11) , @ MTL (04/18)
NYR
7 94 1.40 60.48% 0.59% 2.83% 3.58% 6.71% 1.90% 3.90% 5.30% 6.73% 7.39% 8.55% 8.23% 7.67% 8.68% 2.13%
        (FC Cincinnati)   2W 0D 3L -4 GD   1461(15)
Next: @ NYR (04/04) , @ TOR (04/11) , v CHI (04/18)
CIN
6 93 1.20 61.34% 0.63% 3.30% 4.01% 7.09% 2.05% 3.81% 5.83% 6.73% 7.46% 7.93% 8.37% 8.55% 8.58% 2.03%
        (Atlanta United FC)   1W 1D 3L -3 GD   1371(27)
Next: v CLB (04/04) , @ CHI (04/11) , v NSH (04/18)
ATL
4 91 0.80 46.24% 0.15% 2.17% 2.94% 5.10% 0.65% 1.61% 2.44% 3.69% 4.69% 5.70% 6.41% 7.36% 7.55% 6.14%
        (New England Revolution)   1W 0D 3L -1 GD   1385(25)
Next: v MTL (04/04) , v DCU (04/11) , v CLB (04/18)
N.E
3 93 0.75 50.51% 0.29% 2.36% 2.95% 5.03% 1.08% 2.29% 3.49% 4.89% 5.49% 5.96% 6.81% 7.17% 7.77% 5.55%
        (CF Montréal)   1W 0D 4L -7 GD   1347(28)
Next: @ N.E (04/04) , v PHI (04/11) , v NYR (04/18)
MTL
3 90 0.60 43.53% 0.12% 1.76% 2.45% 4.25% 0.59% 1.21% 1.92% 3.23% 3.85% 4.71% 5.59% 6.40% 7.41% 8.63%
        (Orlando City)   1W 0D 4L -12GD   1409(22)
Next: @ LAF (04/04) , @ CLB (04/12) , v HOU (04/18)
ORL
3 90 0.60 48.53% 0.20% 2.53% 3.03% 5.17% 0.63% 1.73% 3.25% 4.05% 5.40% 5.85% 6.79% 7.63% 7.93% 5.28%
        (Columbus Crew)   0W 2D 3L -3 GD   1407(23)
Next: @ ATL (04/04) , v ORL (04/12) , @ N.E (04/18)
CLB
2 89 0.40 49.28% 0.16% 2.09% 3.05% 5.01% 0.60% 1.77% 3.01% 4.29% 5.17% 6.17% 6.71% 7.67% 7.68% 6.21%
        (Philadelphia Union)   0W 0D 5L -6 GD   1331(29)
Next: @ CLT (04/04) , @ MTL (04/11) , v DCU (04/18)
PHI
0 87 0.00 39.89% 0.03% 1.58% 1.89% 2.88% 0.18% 0.40% 0.89% 1.47% 2.43% 2.96% 3.87% 4.81% 5.13% 17.75%
WESTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (Los Angeles FC)   4W 1D 0L +8 GD   1727(2)
Next: v ORL (04/04) , @ POR (04/11) , v S.J (04/19)
LAF
13 100 2.60 95.53% 18.36% 6.36% 3.77% 9.44% 29.74% 18.47% 13.01% 9.87% 7.78% 6.12% 4.49% 3.51% 2.53% 0.01%
        (Vancouver Whitecaps FC)   4W 0D 1L +12GD   1635(6)
Next: v POR (04/04) , v NYF (04/11) , v SKC (04/17)
VCR
12 99 2.40 88.74% 8.57% 4.69% 4.29% 9.61% 15.31% 14.09% 12.53% 10.83% 9.61% 8.13% 7.39% 6.18% 4.65% 0.03%
        (San Jose Earthquakes)   4W 0D 1L +6 GD   1545(10)
Next: v S.D (04/04) , @ SKC (04/11) , @ LAF (04/19)
S.J
12 99 2.40 78.46% 4.25% 4.11% 3.77% 8.17% 7.83% 9.46% 10.01% 9.57% 9.55% 8.61% 8.67% 7.96% 6.66% 0.13%
        (San Diego FC)   3W 2D 0L +8 GD   1638(4)
Next: @ S.J (04/04) , v MIN (04/11) , @ RSL (04/18)
S.D
11 98 2.20 86.52% 7.24% 5.45% 3.91% 9.56% 13.19% 12.77% 12.14% 11.41% 9.67% 8.87% 7.11% 5.98% 5.33% 0.05%
        (Seattle Sounders)   3W 1D 1L +3 GD   1637(5)
Next: @ HOU (04/04) , v RSL (04/12) , v STL (04/18)
SEA
10 97 2.00 88.64% 7.54% 4.88% 3.89% 9.43% 14.47% 14.40% 12.76% 11.53% 9.97% 8.12% 7.14% 5.67% 4.52% 0.06%
        (Real Salt Lake)   3W 1D 1L +2 GD   1554(8)
Next: v SKC (04/04) , @ SEA (04/12) , v S.D (04/18)
RSL
10 97 2.00 76.59% 3.03% 4.10% 3.70% 8.15% 6.13% 8.60% 9.39% 9.57% 9.55% 9.19% 8.50% 8.12% 7.20% 0.33%
        (Colorado Rapids)   3W 0D 2L +4 GD   1511(13)
Next: @ TOR (04/04) , v HOU (04/11) , v MIA (04/18)
COL
9 96 1.80 66.07% 1.65% 3.73% 3.45% 7.51% 3.67% 5.32% 6.61% 7.69% 7.84% 8.30% 8.39% 8.65% 9.07% 0.53%
        (FC Dallas)   2W 2D 1L +1 GD   1525(11)
Next: @ DCU (04/04) , v STL (04/11) , v LAG (04/18)
DAL
8 95 1.60 65.85% 1.54% 3.69% 3.75% 7.65% 3.56% 5.38% 6.62% 7.11% 7.97% 8.59% 8.85% 8.80% 8.28% 0.69%
        (Houston Dynamo FC)   2W 0D 2L -1 GD   1453(17)
Next: v SEA (04/04) , @ COL (04/11) , @ ORL (04/18)
HOU
6 96 1.50 52.52% 0.71% 3.05% 2.80% 5.89% 1.91% 3.27% 4.13% 4.98% 5.86% 6.65% 7.45% 7.90% 8.30% 2.08%
        (LA Galaxy)   1W 2D 2L -1 GD   1413(21)
Next: v MIN (04/04) , @ ATX (04/11) , @ DAL (04/18)
LAG
5 92 1.00 40.58% 0.29% 2.27% 2.22% 4.23% 0.72% 1.36% 2.09% 3.03% 3.89% 4.80% 5.63% 6.31% 7.59% 5.15%
        (Austin FC)   1W 2D 2L -2 GD   1436(18)
Next: @ MIA (04/04) , v LAG (04/11) , @ TOR (04/18)
ATX
5 92 1.00 42.79% 0.23% 3.09% 2.55% 4.42% 0.73% 1.53% 2.42% 3.35% 4.50% 5.25% 6.15% 6.94% 8.38% 3.54%
        (Minnesota United FC)   1W 2D 2L -7 GD   1511(12)
Next: @ LAG (04/04) , @ S.D (04/11) , v POR (04/18)
MIN
5 92 1.00 58.88% 0.73% 3.37% 3.42% 7.14% 2.04% 3.51% 5.10% 6.35% 6.70% 7.79% 8.35% 8.79% 8.49% 1.76%
        (St. Louis City SC)   1W 1D 3L -3 GD   1385(24)
Next: @ NYF (04/04) , @ DAL (04/11) , @ SEA (04/18)
STL
4 91 0.80 35.89% 0.13% 1.85% 1.87% 3.46% 0.34% 0.89% 1.49% 2.04% 2.99% 3.74% 4.87% 6.08% 7.07% 6.38%
        (Portland Timbers)   1W 1D 3L -5 GD   1384(26)
Next: @ VCR (04/04) , v LAF (04/11) , @ MIN (04/18)
POR
4 91 0.80 34.45% 0.05% 1.91% 1.86% 3.47% 0.27% 0.68% 1.13% 1.82% 2.63% 3.73% 4.43% 5.61% 7.15% 7.01%
        (Sporting Kansas City)   1W 1D 3L -6 GD   1300(30)
Next: @ RSL (04/04) , v S.J (04/11) , @ VCR (04/17)
SKC
4 91 0.80 29.89% 0.02% 1.10% 1.12% 1.88% 0.09% 0.26% 0.58% 0.85% 1.47% 2.11% 2.57% 3.50% 4.79% 13.67%

     POWER RANKINGS    Schedule Strength
 # Team Div  ELO  PPG  So Far  Remaining
 1  MIA E   1743 2.00  1637.2    1435.8
 2  LAF   W 1727 2.60  1488.6    1505.5
 3  NSH E   1658 2.60  1427.7    1470.7
 4  S.D   W 1638 2.20  1402.4    1508.4
 5  SEA   W 1637 2.00  1561.5    1471.1
 6  VCR   W 1635 2.40  1430.4    1504.8
 7  NYF E   1584 2.00  1461.5    1476.2
 8  RSL   W 1554 2.00  1563.5    1490.0
 9  CLT E   1546 1.60  1461.4    1457.2
10  S.J   W 1545 2.40  1435.0    1508.1
11  DAL   W 1525 1.60  1526.6    1501.6
12  MIN   W 1511 1.00  1585.5    1484.6
13  COL   W 1511 1.80  1483.7    1513.5
14  CHI E   1481 1.40  1411.7    1481.4
15  CIN E   1461 1.20  1394.5    1503.0
16  TOR E   1458 1.40  1511.6    1469.9
17  HOU   W 1453 1.50  1479.2    1506.3
18  ATX   W 1436 1.00  1531.6    1515.0
19  NYR E   1429 1.40  1449.0    1488.6
20  DCU E   1420 1.40  1492.4    1480.0
21  LAG   W 1413 1.00  1445.0    1513.8
22  ORL E   1409 0.60  1532.4    1483.0
23  CLB E   1407 0.40  1476.1    1465.9
24  STL   W 1385 0.80  1566.5    1501.0
25  N.E E   1385 0.75  1533.4    1470.4
26  POR   W 1384 0.80  1463.9    1521.3
27  ATL E   1371 0.80  1442.2    1476.4
28  MTL E   1347 0.60  1583.5    1471.3
29  PHI E   1331 0.00  1460.2    1489.9
30  SKC   W 1300 0.80  1482.7    1516.4



MLS Predictor as of March 15

Scroll down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.

0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.

Latest results added: March 14: TOR 1-1 NYR, ATL 3-1 PHI, CLB 0-1 NSH, ORL 2-1 MTL, NYF 3-1 COL, CLT 0-0 MIA, DAL 3-3 S.D, HOU 3-2 POR, CHI 1-2 DCU, RSL 2-1 ATX, LAG 1-2 SKC, LAF 2-0 STL. March 15: N.E 6-1 CIN, VCR 6-0 MIN, S.J 0-1 SEA.

Summary: STL, 30th in the ELO rankings, played well for 75 minutes at top seeded LAFC, but ELO will not notice when the favorites get two late goals. Nor do the ELO rankings know about Seattle's crunching of Vancouver 3-nil in mid-week CONCACAF play. Lots of late significant goals on Saturday, including Red Bulls tying goal in Toronto, Houston's 10-man winner at home to Portland, and the controversial penalty in Chicago handing a win to DC United. How many more losses does Philadelphia get before the voters on Coach of The Year last year are relieved of their duties this year? SKC's win against the Galaxy make Philly and St. Louis the new favorites for last place.
With four matches in for everyone, except for the snow-postponed N.E - HOU game, the most important stat beyond points so far may be the strength of schedule so far (below the standings), which is the average ELO rating of teams when they were faced, with a plus or minus 100 for home and away. This shows STL, MIA, MIN and MTL as the ones that the schedule makers handed the toughest start, and S.J, S.D, NYR, and VCR the teams handed the easiest starts. The strength remaining figure covers the remaining 30 games and has less variance, but will get more important as we get closer to the end of the season.

EASTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (New York City FC)   3W 1D 0L +8 GD   1633(7)
Next: v MIA (03/22) , v STL (04/04) , @ VCR (04/11)
NYF
10 100 2.50 92.56% 8.94% 4.72% 4.67% 8.75% 22.32% 17.53% 14.03% 11.04% 7.87% 6.82% 5.40% 4.20% 3.32% 0.03%
        (Nashville SC)   3W 1D 0L +6 GD   1643(5)
Next: v ORL (03/21) , @ CHI (04/04) , @ CLT (04/11)
NSH
10 100 2.50 93.48% 10.37% 4.76% 4.28% 8.84% 26.15% 18.49% 13.42% 10.45% 8.03% 5.74% 4.68% 3.74% 2.74% 0.04%
        (Inter Miami)   2W 1D 1L +0 GD   1700(3)
Next: @ NYF (03/22) , v ATX (04/04) , v NYR (04/11)
MIA
7 97 1.75 95.44% 10.37% 5.66% 4.84% 9.56% 26.79% 20.64% 14.91% 10.37% 7.22% 5.77% 4.16% 3.26% 2.31% 0.01%
        (New York Red Bulls)   2W 1D 1L -1 GD   1457(15)
Next: @ CLT (03/21) , v CIN (04/04) , @ MIA (04/11)
NYR
7 97 1.75 67.06% 0.66% 3.02% 3.79% 7.53% 3.35% 6.03% 6.66% 8.06% 8.44% 8.74% 8.44% 8.24% 7.71% 1.39%
        (DC United)   2W 0D 2L +0 GD   1415(23)
Next: @ ATL (03/21) , v DAL (04/04) , @ N.E (04/11)
DCU
6 96 1.50 59.11% 0.53% 2.36% 3.75% 6.35% 2.34% 3.98% 5.34% 6.97% 7.00% 7.31% 7.88% 7.83% 7.98% 2.48%
        (Charlotte FC)   1W 2D 1L -1 GD   1514(9)
Next: v NYR (03/21) , v PHI (04/04) , v NSH (04/11)
CLT
5 95 1.25 73.59% 1.26% 3.43% 4.33% 8.54% 5.55% 7.60% 9.25% 9.21% 9.64% 8.53% 8.06% 7.34% 7.27% 1.14%
        (Chicago Fire)   1W 1D 2L +1 GD   1436(17)
Next: @ PHI (03/21) , v NSH (04/04) , v ATL (04/11)
CHI
4 94 1.00 57.29% 0.49% 2.86% 3.57% 6.23% 2.15% 3.24% 4.87% 6.06% 6.41% 6.80% 7.85% 8.14% 8.14% 3.63%
        (Toronto FC)   1W 1D 2L -3 GD   1424(20)
Next: v CLB (03/21) , v COL (04/04) , v CIN (04/11)
TOR
4 94 1.00 57.10% 0.38% 2.76% 3.35% 6.18% 1.86% 3.79% 5.41% 5.93% 7.10% 7.23% 7.32% 7.47% 7.55% 3.44%
        (New England Revolution)   1W 0D 2L +1 GD   1427(19)
Next: @ STL (03/21) , v MTL (04/04) , v DCU (04/11)
N.E
3 96 1.00 58.44% 0.49% 2.29% 3.69% 6.35% 2.49% 4.54% 5.42% 6.14% 7.27% 7.31% 7.53% 7.31% 7.12% 3.31%
        (Atlanta United FC)   1W 0D 3L -3 GD   1376(27)
Next: v DCU (03/21) , v CLB (04/04) , @ CHI (04/11)
ATL
3 93 0.75 47.39% 0.21% 2.11% 2.68% 5.07% 1.19% 2.08% 3.39% 3.80% 5.00% 5.81% 5.76% 6.63% 7.71% 6.02%
        (FC Cincinnati)   1W 0D 3L -5 GD   1436(18)
Next: v MTL (03/22) , @ NYR (04/04) , @ TOR (04/11)
CIN
3 93 0.75 52.38% 0.24% 2.93% 3.50% 5.75% 1.40% 2.76% 4.14% 4.76% 5.59% 6.58% 7.46% 7.52% 8.08% 4.09%
        (CF Montréal)   1W 0D 3L -6 GD   1370(28)
Next: @ CIN (03/22) , @ N.E (04/04) , v PHI (04/11)
MTL
3 93 0.75 47.87% 0.23% 1.93% 2.51% 4.73% 1.09% 2.25% 2.70% 3.80% 4.84% 5.64% 6.06% 6.86% 7.53% 7.10%
        (Orlando City)   1W 0D 3L -7 GD   1423(21)
Next: @ NSH (03/21) , @ LAF (04/04) , @ CLB (04/12)
ORL
3 93 0.75 53.08% 0.21% 2.55% 3.48% 5.89% 1.28% 2.57% 3.71% 5.20% 6.00% 6.68% 6.90% 7.87% 7.69% 5.18%
        (Columbus Crew)   0W 2D 2L -2 GD   1437(16)
Next: @ TOR (03/21) , @ ATL (04/04) , v ORL (04/12)
CLB
2 92 0.50 54.04% 0.19% 2.87% 3.17% 5.97% 1.35% 3.12% 4.53% 5.23% 5.96% 6.67% 7.47% 7.17% 7.99% 4.55%
        (Philadelphia Union)   0W 0D 4L -5 GD   1382(26)
Next: v CHI (03/21) , @ CLT (04/04) , @ MTL (04/11)
PHI
0 90 0.00 44.30% 0.09% 1.81% 2.33% 4.26% 0.69% 1.38% 2.22% 2.98% 3.63% 4.37% 5.03% 6.42% 6.86% 10.72%
WESTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (Vancouver Whitecaps FC)   4W 0D 0L +13GD   1714(2)
Next: v S.J (03/21) , v POR (04/04) , v NYF (04/11)
VCR
12 102 3.00 95.15% 18.58% 5.50% 3.94% 9.62% 26.97% 19.49% 14.23% 10.76% 7.26% 6.23% 4.58% 3.28% 2.35% 0.00%
        (Los Angeles FC)   4W 0D 0L +8 GD   1743(1)
Next: @ ATX (03/21) , v ORL (04/04) , @ POR (04/11)
LAF
12 102 3.00 96.79% 22.26% 6.29% 3.60% 9.34% 30.82% 19.89% 13.85% 10.20% 7.55% 5.57% 4.19% 2.80% 1.91% 0.01%
        (San Diego FC)   3W 1D 0L +8 GD   1654(4)
Next: v RSL (03/22) , @ S.J (04/04) , v MIN (04/11)
S.D
10 100 2.50 90.18% 8.47% 5.42% 4.13% 9.58% 13.44% 14.99% 13.69% 11.90% 10.03% 8.27% 7.60% 5.73% 4.47% 0.06%
        (San Jose Earthquakes)   3W 0D 1L +5 GD   1471(13)
Next: @ VCR (03/21) , v S.D (04/04) , @ SKC (04/11)
S.J
9 99 2.25 64.81% 1.25% 3.57% 3.39% 7.42% 2.64% 4.50% 6.20% 6.90% 8.30% 8.61% 9.17% 9.61% 8.13% 0.75%
        (Seattle Sounders)   3W 0D 1L +3 GD   1640(6)
Next: @ MIN (03/22) , @ HOU (04/04) , v RSL (04/12)
SEA
9 99 2.25 89.13% 7.49% 4.99% 3.97% 8.86% 12.05% 14.50% 13.96% 12.03% 10.74% 8.52% 7.07% 5.37% 4.85% 0.04%
        (Real Salt Lake)   3W 0D 1L +2 GD   1539(8)
Next: @ S.D (03/22) , v SKC (04/04) , @ SEA (04/12)
RSL
9 99 2.25 75.09% 2.88% 4.41% 3.92% 8.01% 4.70% 7.40% 9.33% 10.01% 9.61% 9.42% 8.72% 8.17% 7.40% 0.33%
        (Colorado Rapids)   2W 0D 2L +1 GD   1469(14)
Next: @ SKC (03/21) , @ TOR (04/04) , v HOU (04/11)
COL
6 96 1.50 57.53% 0.78% 3.14% 3.34% 6.69% 1.62% 2.99% 4.59% 5.93% 7.04% 8.05% 7.50% 8.73% 9.25% 1.83%
        (Houston Dynamo FC)   2W 0D 1L +0 GD   1480(12)
Next: @ DAL (03/21) , v SEA (04/04) , @ COL (04/11)
HOU
6 99 2.00 62.47% 1.13% 3.24% 3.26% 7.07% 2.22% 4.28% 6.05% 6.80% 8.01% 7.89% 8.62% 8.92% 8.22% 1.46%
        (FC Dallas)   1W 2D 1L +0 GD   1495(11)
Next: v HOU (03/21) , @ DCU (04/04) , v STL (04/11)
DAL
5 95 1.25 58.71% 0.82% 3.74% 3.34% 7.10% 1.73% 3.71% 4.84% 6.13% 7.05% 8.05% 8.26% 8.61% 8.71% 1.62%
        (LA Galaxy)   1W 1D 2L -1 GD   1406(24)
Next: @ POR (03/22) , v MIN (04/04) , @ ATX (04/11)
LAG
4 94 1.00 42.63% 0.39% 2.42% 2.30% 4.67% 0.75% 1.30% 1.90% 3.18% 4.16% 4.91% 6.35% 6.70% 7.86% 5.52%
        (Austin FC)   1W 1D 2L -2 GD   1419(22)
Next: v LAF (03/21) , @ MIA (04/04) , v LAG (04/11)
ATX
4 94 1.00 42.44% 0.25% 2.34% 2.44% 4.94% 0.70% 1.40% 2.10% 3.17% 4.27% 5.09% 6.11% 7.12% 8.25% 4.23%
        (Sporting Kansas City)   1W 1D 2L -3 GD   1350(29)
Next: v COL (03/21) , @ RSL (04/04) , v S.J (04/11)
SKC
4 94 1.00 36.41% 0.18% 1.70% 1.93% 3.24% 0.32% 0.67% 1.45% 2.00% 3.04% 3.66% 4.70% 5.32% 6.72% 8.53%
        (Minnesota United FC)   1W 1D 2L -7 GD   1509(10)
Next: v SEA (03/22) , @ LAG (04/04) , @ S.D (04/11)
MIN
4 94 1.00 60.67% 0.71% 3.87% 3.13% 6.98% 1.70% 3.77% 5.53% 7.33% 7.37% 7.99% 8.12% 8.40% 8.63% 1.83%
        (Portland Timbers)   1W 0D 3L -5 GD   1391(25)
Next: v LAG (03/22) , @ VCR (04/04) , v LAF (04/11)
POR
3 93 0.75 39.16% 0.12% 2.03% 2.19% 4.00% 0.26% 0.76% 1.50% 2.41% 3.46% 4.77% 5.37% 6.87% 7.27% 6.49%
        (St. Louis City SC)   0W 1D 3L -5 GD   1337(30)
Next: v N.E (03/21) , @ NYF (04/04) , @ DAL (04/11)
STL
1 91 0.25 35.70% 0.03% 1.28% 1.18% 2.48% 0.08% 0.35% 0.78% 1.25% 2.11% 2.97% 3.64% 4.37% 5.98% 14.17%

     POWER RANKINGS    Schedule Strength
 # Team Div  ELO  PPG  So Far  Remaining
 1  LAF   W 1743 3.00  1453.0    1506.9
 2  VCR   W 1714 3.00  1415.5    1495.2
 3  MIA E   1700 1.75  1623.8    1448.9
 4  S.D   W 1654 2.50  1387.7    1504.7
 5  NSH E   1643 2.50  1466.8    1466.0
 6  SEA   W 1640 2.25  1503.9    1481.5
 7  NYF E   1633 2.50  1420.0    1480.3
 8  RSL   W 1539 2.25  1537.4    1498.3
 9  CLT E   1514 1.25  1465.6    1459.5
10  MIN   W 1509 1.00  1603.0    1484.8
11  DAL   W 1495 1.25  1565.9    1495.7
12  HOU   W 1480 2.00  1423.5    1504.9
13  S.J   W 1471 2.25  1386.9    1514.2
14  COL   W 1469 1.50  1517.6    1507.5
15  NYR E   1457 1.75  1410.8    1493.6
16  CLB E   1437 0.50  1455.0    1469.1
17  CHI E   1436 1.00  1425.6    1487.2
18  CIN E   1436 0.75  1433.8    1500.3
19  N.E E   1427 1.00  1545.3    1469.9
20  TOR E   1424 1.00  1575.5    1463.4
21  ORL E   1423 0.75  1490.2    1491.2
22  ATX   W 1419 1.00  1494.1    1516.5
23  DCU E   1415 1.50  1484.4    1485.6
24  LAG   W 1406 1.00  1441.5    1513.7
25  POR   W 1391 0.75  1525.2    1506.1
26  PHI E   1382 0.00  1474.1    1485.3
27  ATL E   1376 0.75  1456.8    1474.4
28  MTL E   1370 0.75  1592.7    1477.0
29  SKC   W 1350 1.00  1492.2    1509.9
30  STL   W 1337 0.25  1637.7    1495.9



MLS Predictor as of March 8

Scroll down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.

0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.

Latest results added: One match N.E - HOU, was postponed this week, everyone else played their third of the season: March 7 Results: NYF 5-0 ORL, DCU 1-2 MIA, ATL 2-3 RSL, CLB 0-0 CHI, CLT 3-1 ATX, PHI 0-1 S.J, SKC 0-1 S.D, NSH 3-1 MIN, STL 0-1 SEA, COL 4-1 LAG, LAF 1-0 DAL, POR 1-4 VCR. March 8: NYR 0-3 MTL, CIN 0-1 TOR.

Summary: Below the standings now are power rankings based on the ELO ratings of the teams. Seven of the top ten are Western teams and seven of the bottom ten are Eastern teams. The chart also contains a strength of schedule thus far figure (home field advantage is 100 points for the purposes of this figure), and a strength of remaining schedule which varies little from the average of 1500, but will be more relevant as fewer games remain in the season. Other than the day one clash between MIA and LAFC, there have been few games between contenders thus far. Still early though: the sims have SKC the early favorite at nearly 19% to be last overall, but they still have a nearly 1% chance to win the MLS Cup!

EASTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (New York City FC)   2W 1D 0L +6 GD   ELO: 1612(5)
Next: v COL (03/14) , v MIA (03/22) , v STL (04/04)
NYF
7 100 2.33 88.83% 7.09% 4.60% 4.39% 9.29% 17.37% 15.56% 12.98% 10.13% 8.92% 7.36% 6.63% 5.43% 4.36% 0.09%
        (Nashville SC)   2W 1D 0L +5 GD   ELO: 1607(6)
Next: @ CLB (03/14) , v ORL (03/21) , @ CHI (04/04)
NSH
7 100 2.33 88.99% 6.98% 4.39% 4.60% 9.26% 17.42% 15.16% 12.85% 10.94% 9.07% 7.69% 6.35% 4.93% 4.39% 0.19%
        (Inter Miami)   2W 0D 1L +0 GD   ELO: 1708(2)
Next: @ CLT (03/14) , @ NYF (03/22) , v ATX (04/04)
MIA
6 99 2.00 95.25% 13.60% 5.63% 4.24% 9.31% 32.66% 19.02% 13.20% 9.71% 6.55% 4.88% 4.18% 2.82% 2.19% 0.04%
        (New York Red Bulls)   2W 0D 1L -1 GD   ELO: 1451(19)
Next: @ TOR (03/14) , @ CLT (03/21) , v CIN (04/04)
NYR
6 99 2.00 66.51% 1.18% 2.98% 4.09% 7.40% 4.38% 6.02% 6.79% 7.36% 8.55% 8.08% 7.90% 8.69% 7.37% 1.37%
        (Chicago Fire)   1W 1D 1L +2 GD   ELO: 1510(11)
Next: v DCU (03/14) , @ PHI (03/21) , v NSH (04/04)
CHI
4 97 1.33 72.15% 1.84% 3.40% 4.22% 8.29% 5.62% 7.43% 8.43% 9.01% 8.53% 8.68% 8.45% 7.64% 7.44% 0.92%
        (Charlotte FC)   1W 1D 1L -1 GD   ELO: 1505(12)
Next: v MIA (03/14) , v NYR (03/21) , v PHI (04/04)
CLT
4 97 1.33 71.64% 1.75% 3.48% 4.12% 7.72% 5.72% 7.59% 8.78% 8.75% 8.42% 8.10% 8.53% 7.42% 7.20% 1.13%
        (FC Cincinnati)   1W 0D 2L +0 GD   ELO: 1484(15)
Next: @ N.E (03/15) , v MTL (03/22) , @ NYR (04/04)
CIN
3 96 1.00 63.16% 1.06% 3.33% 4.16% 7.24% 3.63% 5.99% 6.39% 6.97% 7.62% 7.39% 7.92% 7.46% 7.51% 2.28%
        (DC United)   1W 0D 2L -1 GD   ELO: 1348(27)
Next: @ CHI (03/14) , @ ATL (03/21) , v DAL (04/04)
DCU
3 96 1.00 44.36% 0.21% 1.79% 2.61% 4.38% 0.94% 1.72% 2.77% 3.44% 4.37% 5.26% 6.06% 6.61% 7.39% 5.80%
        (Toronto FC)   1W 0D 2L -3 GD   ELO: 1430(21)
Next: v NYR (03/14) , v CLB (03/21) , v COL (04/04)
TOR
3 96 1.00 58.57% 0.62% 2.62% 3.46% 6.39% 2.96% 4.67% 5.29% 5.99% 6.90% 7.01% 6.96% 7.80% 7.99% 3.00%
        (CF Montréal)   1W 0D 2L -5 GD   ELO: 1399(24)
Next: @ ORL (03/14) , @ CIN (03/22) , @ N.E (04/04)
MTL
3 96 1.00 53.85% 0.34% 2.07% 3.26% 5.77% 1.92% 3.66% 4.24% 5.18% 6.44% 6.63% 6.79% 7.49% 7.58% 3.92%
        (Columbus Crew)   0W 2D 1L -1 GD   ELO: 1478(17)
Next: v NSH (03/14) , @ TOR (03/21) , @ ATL (04/04)
CLB
2 95 0.67 62.98% 0.70% 3.31% 3.87% 6.44% 3.12% 5.52% 6.78% 7.27% 7.32% 8.15% 7.37% 7.73% 7.61% 2.11%
        (Philadelphia Union)   0W 0D 3L -3 GD   ELO: 1424(22)
Next: @ ATL (03/14) , v CHI (03/21) , @ CLT (04/04)
PHI
0 93 0.00 51.19% 0.31% 2.69% 3.28% 5.53% 1.46% 2.32% 3.67% 4.64% 5.38% 6.27% 6.77% 7.20% 7.98% 5.50%
        (New England Revolution)   0W 0D 2L -4 GD   ELO: 1370(26)
Next: v CIN (03/15) , @ STL (03/21) , v MTL (04/04)
N.E
0 96 0.00 49.00% 0.37% 2.22% 2.72% 4.87% 1.48% 2.43% 3.28% 4.19% 4.38% 5.32% 5.70% 6.78% 7.18% 8.26%
        (Atlanta United FC)   0W 0D 3L -5 GD   ELO: 1327(29)
Next: v PHI (03/14) , v DCU (03/21) , v CLB (04/04)
ATL
0 93 0.00 41.65% 0.16% 1.38% 2.14% 3.67% 0.55% 1.22% 1.80% 2.55% 3.18% 4.22% 4.80% 5.38% 6.27% 11.68%
        (Orlando City)   0W 0D 3L -8 GD   ELO: 1390(25)
Next: v MTL (03/14) , @ NSH (03/21) , @ LAF (04/04)
ORL
0 93 0.00 45.84% 0.13% 2.24% 2.71% 4.44% 0.77% 1.69% 2.75% 3.87% 4.37% 4.96% 5.59% 6.62% 7.54% 7.68%
WESTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (San Diego FC)   3W 0D 0L +8 GD   ELO: 1660(4)
Next: @ DAL (03/14) , v RSL (03/22) , @ S.J (04/04)
S.D
9 102 3.00 88.98% 11.51% 4.89% 4.19% 9.21% 17.81% 15.25% 12.63% 10.90% 8.75% 7.66% 6.75% 5.08% 4.10% 0.05%
        (Vancouver Whitecaps FC)   3W 0D 0L +7 GD   ELO: 1695(3)
Next: v MIN (03/14) , v S.J (03/21) , v POR (04/04)
VCR
9 102 3.00 92.02% 15.77% 5.48% 4.22% 9.15% 22.72% 16.72% 13.49% 10.91% 8.51% 7.07% 5.14% 4.30% 3.11% 0.05%
        (San Jose Earthquakes)   3W 0D 0L +6 GD   ELO: 1519(9)
Next: v SEA (03/15) , @ VCR (03/21) , v S.D (04/04)
S.J
9 102 3.00 73.13% 3.58% 3.91% 3.65% 7.64% 6.16% 7.81% 8.26% 9.00% 8.86% 8.65% 8.70% 8.00% 7.29% 0.40%
        (Los Angeles FC)   3W 0D 0L +6 GD   ELO: 1737(1)
Next: v STL (03/14) , @ ATX (03/21) , v ORL (04/04)
LAF
9 102 3.00 95.15% 18.95% 6.35% 4.04% 9.74% 27.51% 19.67% 13.86% 10.40% 7.74% 6.19% 4.09% 3.17% 2.51% 0.01%
        (Colorado Rapids)   2W 0D 1L +3 GD   ELO: 1489(14)
Next: @ NYF (03/14) , @ SKC (03/21) , @ TOR (04/04)
COL
6 99 2.00 60.17% 1.62% 3.67% 3.23% 6.99% 2.80% 3.95% 5.54% 6.66% 6.86% 7.98% 8.52% 8.26% 8.55% 1.05%
        (Seattle Sounders)   2W 0D 1L +2 GD   ELO: 1598(7)
Next: @ S.J (03/15) , @ MIN (03/22) , @ HOU (04/04)
SEA
6 99 2.00 80.12% 4.53% 5.14% 3.91% 8.80% 7.79% 10.69% 10.17% 9.99% 10.14% 9.30% 8.03% 7.12% 6.68% 0.21%
        (Real Salt Lake)   2W 0D 1L +1 GD   ELO: 1514(10)
Next: v ATX (03/14) , @ S.D (03/22) , v SKC (04/04)
RSL
6 99 2.00 67.25% 2.17% 3.84% 3.48% 7.51% 3.69% 5.87% 7.48% 7.51% 8.78% 8.12% 8.05% 8.37% 8.55% 0.83%
        (LA Galaxy)   1W 1D 1L +0 GD   ELO: 1483(16)
Next: v SKC (03/14) , @ POR (03/22) , v MIN (04/04)
LAG
4 97 1.33 56.39% 1.08% 3.35% 3.10% 6.47% 2.42% 3.46% 4.73% 6.05% 6.52% 6.83% 7.94% 8.38% 8.16% 1.90%
        (FC Dallas)   1W 1D 1L +0 GD   ELO: 1489(13)
Next: v S.D (03/14) , v HOU (03/21) , @ DCU (04/04)
DAL
4 97 1.33 58.18% 1.20% 3.07% 3.04% 7.00% 2.36% 4.08% 5.10% 5.66% 6.60% 7.10% 7.91% 8.78% 8.97% 1.62%
        (Minnesota United FC)   1W 1D 1L -1 GD   ELO: 1527(8)
Next: @ VCR (03/14) , v SEA (03/22) , @ LAG (04/04)
MIN
4 97 1.33 64.81% 1.60% 3.85% 3.53% 7.01% 3.19% 5.07% 7.07% 7.48% 7.71% 8.15% 8.65% 8.58% 7.98% 0.93%
        (Austin FC)   1W 1D 1L -1 GD   ELO: 1441(20)
Next: @ RSL (03/14) , v LAF (03/21) , @ MIA (04/04)
ATX
4 97 1.33 47.21% 0.50% 3.09% 2.52% 5.38% 1.09% 2.07% 3.17% 4.16% 5.35% 6.42% 6.26% 7.33% 8.34% 3.02%
        (Houston Dynamo FC)   1W 0D 1L -1 GD   ELO: 1452(18)
Next: v POR (03/14) , @ DAL (03/21) , v SEA (04/04)
HOU
3 99 1.50 52.59% 0.80% 2.80% 2.78% 5.99% 1.68% 3.14% 4.35% 5.42% 6.16% 6.20% 7.19% 7.79% 8.07% 2.59%
        (Portland Timbers)   1W 0D 2L -4 GD   ELO: 1416(23)
Next: @ HOU (03/14) , v LAG (03/22) , @ VCR (04/04)
POR
3 96 1.00 43.16% 0.26% 1.96% 2.35% 4.45% 0.48% 1.39% 2.66% 3.38% 4.45% 5.29% 6.56% 7.18% 7.92% 3.85%
        (St. Louis City SC)   0W 1D 2L -3 GD   ELO: 1342(28)
Next: @ LAF (03/14) , v N.E (03/21) , @ NYF (04/04)
STL
1 94 0.33 34.09% 0.06% 1.53% 1.37% 2.88% 0.19% 0.60% 0.99% 1.58% 2.47% 3.18% 3.75% 4.76% 5.77% 10.80%
        (Sporting Kansas City)   0W 1D 2L -4 GD   ELO: 1279(30)
Next: @ LAG (03/14) , v COL (03/21) , @ RSL (04/04)
SKC
1 94 0.33 32.78% 0.03% 0.94% 0.72% 1.78% 0.11% 0.23% 0.50% 0.90% 1.10% 1.86% 2.46% 2.90% 4.00% 18.72%

MLS Predictor as of March 1

Scroll down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.

0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.

Latest results added: Once again, everyone plays a match on weekend number two: February 28 Results: CHI 3-0 MTL, NYR 1-0 N.E, MIN 1-0 CIN, COL 2-0 POR, RSL 2-1 SEA, S.J 2-0 ATL, HOU 0-2 LAF, DAL 0-0 NSH, SKC 2-2 CLB, VCR 3-0 TOR, LAG 3-0 CLT. March 1: ATX 1-0 DCU, PHI 1-2 NYF, ORL 2-4 MIA, S.D 2-0 STL

Summary: The West continued dominating in week two. Every team in the West has at least one point in their first two, six Eastern teams have no points after two games. Already the expected points for West positions are more than two points higher than the corresponding East spots. Before we all decide that Michael Bradley's true calling is as an MLS coach, let's recognize that the league has given him and Red Bulls five starting matches most teams would kill for: @ORL, vN.E, vMTL, @TOR, @CLT, none of these exactly world beaters. Red Bulls, the only undefeated Eastern team, should be at or near the top of the East until at least May with this start. But, there are lots of matches yet to be played.

EASTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (New York Red Bulls)   2W 0D 0L +2 GD   ELO: 1542
Next: v MTL (03/08) , @ TOR (03/14) , @ CLT (03/21)
NYR
6 102 3.00 81.43% 5.38% 3.87% 4.31% 8.42% 12.55% 11.92% 10.94% 9.27% 8.91% 8.33% 6.95% 6.26% 5.83% 0.47%
        (Nashville SC)   1W 1D 0L +3 GD   ELO: 1573
Next: v MIN (03/07) , @ CLB (03/14) , v ORL (03/21)
NSH
4 100 2.00 81.89% 5.39% 3.65% 4.22% 8.77% 12.27% 11.92% 11.10% 10.00% 8.77% 8.10% 7.27% 6.32% 5.57% 0.57%
        (New York City FC)   1W 1D 0L +1 GD   ELO: 1594
Next: v ORL (03/07) , v COL (03/14) , v MIA (03/22)
NYF
4 100 2.00 83.89% 6.13% 4.19% 4.91% 8.94% 13.78% 12.32% 11.19% 10.75% 9.11% 7.94% 7.20% 5.89% 5.44% 0.27%
        (Chicago Fire)   1W 0D 1L +2 GD   ELO: 1504
Next: @ CLB (03/07) , v DCU (03/14) , @ PHI (03/21)
CHI
3 99 1.50 70.33% 2.26% 3.35% 3.83% 7.64% 6.23% 7.64% 7.81% 8.43% 8.25% 8.08% 8.43% 7.40% 6.86% 1.20%
        (FC Cincinnati)   1W 0D 1L +1 GD   ELO: 1560
Next: v TOR (03/08) , @ N.E (03/15) , v MTL (03/22)
CIN
3 99 1.50 77.76% 3.83% 4.35% 4.97% 8.62% 9.50% 10.14% 9.65% 9.84% 9.29% 8.12% 7.16% 6.86% 6.65% 0.55%
        (DC United)   1W 0D 1L +0 GD   ELO: 1368
Next: v MIA (03/07) , @ CHI (03/14) , @ ATL (03/21)
DCU
3 99 1.50 49.78% 0.38% 2.19% 2.96% 4.94% 1.74% 2.73% 3.28% 4.34% 5.06% 6.14% 6.19% 7.44% 8.06% 4.80%
        (Inter Miami)   1W 0D 1L -1 GD   ELO: 1690
Next: @ DCU (03/07) , @ CLT (03/14) , @ NYF (03/22)
MIA
3 99 1.50 92.36% 11.94% 5.47% 4.62% 8.86% 26.38% 16.46% 12.77% 9.77% 8.11% 6.57% 4.94% 4.02% 3.22% 0.12%
        (Columbus Crew)   0W 1D 1L -1 GD   ELO: 1485
Next: v CHI (03/07) , v NSH (03/14) , @ TOR (03/21)
CLB
1 97 0.50 64.46% 1.56% 3.19% 3.86% 6.92% 4.55% 5.59% 6.85% 6.90% 7.27% 7.44% 7.73% 7.83% 7.81% 2.49%
        (Charlotte FC)   0W 1D 1L -3 GD   ELO: 1469
Next: v ATX (03/07) , v MIA (03/14) , v NYR (03/21)
CLT
1 97 0.50 62.53% 1.19% 3.08% 3.94% 7.08% 3.67% 5.23% 6.00% 6.81% 7.51% 7.00% 8.14% 7.92% 7.52% 2.73%
        (Philadelphia Union)   0W 0D 2L -2 GD   ELO: 1484
Next: v S.J (03/07) , @ ATL (03/14) , v CHI (03/21)
PHI
0 96 0.00 63.25% 1.09% 3.06% 4.18% 7.11% 3.62% 5.56% 6.03% 6.77% 7.17% 7.36% 7.81% 8.15% 8.06% 2.72%
        (Orlando City)   0W 0D 2L -3 GD   ELO: 1406
Next: @ NYF (03/07) , v MTL (03/14) , @ NSH (03/21)
ORL
0 96 0.00 49.41% 0.32% 2.34% 2.64% 5.13% 1.21% 2.44% 3.55% 4.32% 4.55% 5.98% 6.25% 7.01% 7.95% 6.15%
        (Toronto FC)   0W 0D 2L -4 GD   ELO: 1360
Next: @ CIN (03/08) , v NYR (03/14) , v CLB (03/21)
TOR
0 96 0.00 46.73% 0.30% 1.96% 2.48% 4.61% 1.28% 2.07% 2.81% 3.26% 4.21% 4.82% 5.71% 6.75% 6.80% 9.02%
        (New England Revolution)   0W 0D 2L -4 GD   ELO: 1370
Next: v HOU (03/07) , v CIN (03/15) , @ STL (03/21)
N.E
0 96 0.00 47.77% 0.32% 1.87% 2.53% 4.71% 1.31% 2.22% 3.39% 3.52% 4.30% 5.20% 6.07% 6.26% 6.96% 8.54%
        (Atlanta United FC)   0W 0D 2L -4 GD   ELO: 1371
Next: v RSL (03/07) , v PHI (03/14) , v DCU (03/21)
ATL
0 96 0.00 47.32% 0.31% 1.94% 2.53% 4.78% 1.38% 2.47% 3.12% 3.79% 4.22% 5.07% 5.86% 6.50% 7.26% 7.65%
        (CF Montréal)   0W 0D 2L -8 GD   ELO: 1316
Next: @ NYR (03/08) , @ ORL (03/14) , @ CIN (03/22)
MTL
0 96 0.00 41.60% 0.15% 1.49% 2.02% 3.47% 0.53% 1.29% 1.51% 2.23% 3.27% 3.85% 4.29% 5.39% 6.01% 13.23%
WESTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (San Diego FC)   2W 0D 0L +7 GD   ELO: 1643
Next: @ SKC (03/07) , @ DAL (03/14) , v RSL (03/22)
S.D
6 102 3.00 85.71% 9.39% 5.42% 3.79% 8.96% 14.81% 13.83% 12.08% 10.67% 8.80% 7.60% 6.80% 6.04% 4.97% 0.11%
        (Los Angeles FC)   2W 0D 0L +5 GD   ELO: 1725
Next: v DAL (03/07) , v STL (03/14) , @ ATX (03/21)
LAF
6 102 3.00 92.67% 18.08% 6.33% 4.42% 9.09% 27.39% 17.27% 12.39% 9.54% 8.27% 6.20% 4.44% 3.73% 3.43% 0.01%
        (San Jose Earthquakes)   2W 0D 0L +5 GD   ELO: 1467
Next: @ PHI (03/07) , v SEA (03/15) , @ VCR (03/21)
S.J
6 102 3.00 60.42% 2.28% 3.00% 3.14% 6.55% 4.49% 5.18% 5.55% 6.51% 7.05% 7.63% 7.30% 7.66% 7.86% 1.19%
        (Vancouver Whitecaps FC)   2W 0D 0L +4 GD   ELO: 1663
Next: @ POR (03/07) , v MIN (03/14) , v S.J (03/21)
VCR
6 102 3.00 87.80% 11.88% 5.19% 4.27% 9.17% 18.61% 15.02% 12.16% 10.70% 8.44% 7.24% 6.17% 5.16% 4.25% 0.05%
        (LA Galaxy)   1W 1D 0L +3 GD   ELO: 1526
Next: @ COL (03/07) , v SKC (03/14) , @ POR (03/22)
LAG
4 100 2.00 67.30% 2.72% 3.68% 3.65% 7.57% 5.26% 6.56% 7.66% 7.71% 8.12% 8.25% 7.40% 7.82% 7.47% 1.05%
        (FC Dallas)   1W 1D 0L +1 GD   ELO: 1500
Next: @ LAF (03/07) , v S.D (03/14) , v HOU (03/21)
DAL
4 100 2.00 61.02% 1.86% 3.67% 3.49% 6.71% 3.80% 5.23% 6.35% 6.59% 7.29% 7.24% 7.66% 7.72% 7.89% 1.25%
        (Austin FC)   1W 1D 0L +1 GD   ELO: 1473
Next: @ CLT (03/07) , @ RSL (03/14) , v LAF (03/21)
ATX
4 100 2.00 55.80% 1.38% 3.16% 2.92% 6.46% 2.77% 4.14% 4.81% 5.69% 6.30% 7.03% 7.56% 8.02% 7.65% 1.83%
        (Minnesota United FC)   1W 1D 0L +1 GD   ELO: 1556
Next: @ NSH (03/07) , @ VCR (03/14) , v SEA (03/22)
MIN
4 100 2.00 71.86% 3.63% 4.03% 3.45% 8.35% 6.60% 7.97% 8.46% 8.62% 8.22% 8.16% 8.47% 7.72% 6.87% 0.77%
        (Seattle Sounders)   1W 0D 1L +1 GD   ELO: 1569
Next: @ STL (03/07) , @ S.J (03/15) , @ MIN (03/22)
SEA
3 99 1.50 72.38% 3.67% 4.56% 3.53% 7.49% 6.44% 8.32% 8.43% 9.00% 8.35% 8.50% 7.91% 7.67% 7.02% 0.74%
        (Colorado Rapids)   1W 0D 1L +0 GD   ELO: 1438
Next: v LAG (03/07) , @ NYF (03/14) , @ SKC (03/21)
COL
3 99 1.50 50.68% 0.88% 2.87% 2.57% 5.73% 1.93% 3.02% 4.34% 4.91% 5.72% 6.47% 6.62% 6.96% 7.96% 2.75%
        (Real Salt Lake)   1W 0D 1L +0 GD   ELO: 1476
Next: @ ATL (03/07) , v ATX (03/14) , @ S.D (03/22)
RSL
3 99 1.50 56.97% 1.37% 3.14% 2.90% 6.57% 2.65% 4.35% 5.74% 6.21% 6.80% 6.92% 7.50% 7.19% 7.70% 1.91%
        (Portland Timbers)   1W 0D 1L -1 GD   ELO: 1453
Next: v VCR (03/07) , @ HOU (03/14) , v LAG (03/22)
POR
3 99 1.50 52.66% 0.85% 3.07% 2.48% 5.95% 2.17% 3.36% 4.48% 5.25% 5.99% 6.53% 7.04% 7.49% 7.52% 2.83%
        (Houston Dynamo FC)   1W 0D 1L -1 GD   ELO: 1452
Next: @ N.E (03/07) , v POR (03/14) , @ DAL (03/21)
HOU
3 99 1.50 52.65% 1.14% 2.87% 2.62% 5.53% 2.28% 3.72% 4.45% 5.13% 5.79% 6.09% 7.16% 7.52% 7.66% 2.85%
        (St. Louis City SC)   0W 1D 1L -2 GD   ELO: 1375
Next: v SEA (03/07) , @ LAF (03/14) , v N.E (03/21)
STL
1 97 0.50 38.72% 0.25% 1.81% 1.81% 3.74% 0.56% 1.40% 2.13% 2.29% 3.32% 3.84% 5.03% 5.63% 6.92% 7.60%
        (Sporting Kansas City)   0W 1D 1L -3 GD   ELO: 1296
Next: v S.D (03/07) , @ LAG (03/14) , v COL (03/21)
SKC
1 97 0.50 32.85% 0.07% 1.20% 0.96% 2.13% 0.24% 0.63% 0.97% 1.18% 1.54% 2.30% 2.94% 3.67% 4.83% 14.55%

MLS Predictor as of February 22

Scroll up and down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.

0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.

Latest results added: Everyone played on opening weekend, February 21-22. Results: STL 1-1 CLT, CIN 2-0 ATL, VCR 1-0 RSL, ORL 1-2 NYR, DCU 1-0 PHI, DAL 3-2 TOR, HOU 2-1 CHI, NSH 4-1 N.E, ATX 2-2 MIN, LAF 3-0 MIA, S.J 3-0 SKC, POR 3-2 CLB, S.D 5-0 MTL, LAG 1-1 NYF, SEA 2-0 COL.

Summary: The West is going to be a rough ride this year. Western teams went 5W 2D 0L against Eastern teams on opening weekend, and Vancouver's 1-nil win over RSL, thanks to the explosion of goals elsewhere, puts them....eighth after the goal difference tie-breaker. Top-ranked MIA traveled to second-ranked LAFC and lost 3-nil, leaving Miami atop the East but now behind LAFC and VCR. But, it is still awfully early on. Anyone can finish anywhere.

EASTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (Nashville SC)   1W 0D 0L +3GD   ELO: 1571
Next: @ DAL (02/28) , v MIN (03/07) , @ CLB (03/14)
NSH
3 102 3.00 79.68% 6.08% 3.95% 3.96% 8.60% 13.27% 11.30% 9.87% 8.81% 8.70% 7.96% 6.79% 6.37% 5.97% 0.64%
        (FC Cincinnati)   1W 0D 0L +2GD   ELO: 1598
Next: @ MIN (02/28) , v TOR (03/08) , @ N.E (03/15)
CIN
3 102 3.00 81.87% 7.15% 4.62% 4.13% 9.11% 14.81% 11.78% 10.87% 9.28% 8.46% 7.86% 6.68% 6.27% 5.57% 0.29%
        (New York Red Bulls)   1W 0D 0L +1GD   ELO: 1524
Next: v N.E (02/28) , v MTL (03/08) , @ TOR (03/14)
NYR
3 102 3.00 73.76% 4.02% 3.71% 4.18% 7.63% 9.01% 9.03% 9.17% 8.89% 8.05% 7.94% 7.36% 6.80% 6.72% 0.79%
        (DC United)   1W 0D 0L +1GD   ELO: 1391
Next: @ ATX (03/01) , v MIA (03/07) , @ CHI (03/14)
DCU
3 102 3.00 51.63% 0.88% 2.25% 2.96% 5.18% 2.60% 3.42% 4.31% 4.96% 5.55% 6.24% 6.42% 7.11% 7.16% 3.86%
        (Charlotte FC)   0W 1D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1503
Next: @ LAG (02/28) , v ATX (03/07) , v MIA (03/14)
CLT
1 100 1.00 67.14% 2.59% 3.43% 3.97% 7.58% 6.64% 6.92% 7.68% 8.15% 7.44% 7.46% 7.35% 7.21% 6.40% 1.89%
        (New York City FC)   0W 1D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1544
Next: @ PHI (03/01) , v ORL (03/07) , v COL (03/14)
NYF
1 100 1.00 72.50% 3.24% 3.96% 4.28% 7.55% 8.39% 8.71% 7.94% 8.43% 8.43% 7.43% 7.38% 7.33% 7.24% 1.22%
        (Toronto FC)   0W 0D 1L -1GD   ELO: 1370
Next: @ VCR (02/28) , @ CIN (03/08) , v NYR (03/14)
TOR
0 99 0.00 45.92% 0.38% 1.93% 2.29% 4.67% 1.54% 2.61% 2.94% 3.50% 4.52% 5.06% 5.41% 6.32% 6.94% 7.08%
        (Columbus Crew)   0W 0D 1L -1GD   ELO: 1494
Next: @ SKC (02/28) , v CHI (03/07) , v NSH (03/14)
CLB
0 99 0.00 64.77% 1.86% 3.17% 3.55% 7.00% 5.44% 6.36% 6.91% 7.07% 7.36% 7.18% 7.82% 7.60% 6.89% 2.14%
        (Chicago Fire)   0W 0D 1L -1GD   ELO: 1484
Next: v MTL (02/28) , @ CLB (03/07) , v DCU (03/14)
CHI
0 99 0.00 61.49% 1.74% 3.45% 3.37% 6.88% 4.62% 5.58% 5.99% 6.50% 6.50% 7.18% 8.07% 7.51% 7.19% 2.35%
        (Orlando City)   0W 0D 1L -1GD   ELO: 1439
Next: v MIA (03/01) , @ NYF (03/07) , v MTL (03/14)
ORL
0 99 0.00 53.22% 0.65% 3.07% 2.87% 6.23% 2.13% 3.66% 4.24% 4.91% 5.55% 6.29% 6.91% 7.11% 7.97% 4.45%
        (Philadelphia Union)   0W 0D 1L -1GD   ELO: 1541
Next: v NYF (03/01) , v S.J (03/07) , @ ATL (03/14)
PHI
0 99 0.00 70.90% 3.10% 4.06% 3.89% 7.79% 7.71% 8.05% 8.62% 7.95% 7.99% 8.06% 7.06% 6.95% 7.11% 1.40%
        (Atlanta United FC)   0W 0D 1L -2GD   ELO: 1399
Next: @ S.J (02/28) , v RSL (03/07) , v PHI (03/14)
ATL
0 99 0.00 49.17% 0.68% 2.03% 2.56% 4.61% 2.05% 3.08% 3.88% 4.74% 5.05% 5.30% 5.74% 6.31% 7.30% 5.72%
        (New England Revolution)   0W 0D 1L -3GD   ELO: 1386
Next: @ NYR (02/28) , v HOU (03/07) , v CIN (03/15)
N.E
0 99 0.00 48.56% 0.63% 2.23% 2.57% 4.90% 1.91% 2.97% 3.49% 3.95% 4.64% 4.94% 5.91% 6.35% 7.01% 7.39%
        (Inter Miami)   0W 0D 1L -3GD   ELO: 1662
Next: @ ORL (03/01) , @ DCU (03/07) , @ CLT (03/14)
MIA
0 99 0.00 87.13% 8.41% 5.00% 4.55% 8.53% 18.85% 14.93% 11.92% 10.06% 8.17% 7.13% 6.04% 5.32% 4.31% 0.40%
        (CF Montréal)   0W 0D 1L -5GD   ELO: 1334
Next: @ CHI (02/28) , @ NYR (03/08) , @ ORL (03/14)
MTL
0 99 0.00 41.90% 0.35% 1.79% 2.22% 3.74% 1.03% 1.60% 2.17% 2.80% 3.59% 3.97% 5.06% 5.44% 6.22% 10.02%
WESTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (San Diego FC)   1W 0D 0L +5GD   ELO: 1631
Next: v STL (03/01) , @ SKC (03/07) , @ DAL (03/14)
S.D
3 102 3.00 83.50% 8.85% 5.03% 4.20% 8.96% 14.25% 12.69% 11.32% 9.67% 9.28% 7.48% 6.94% 5.92% 5.61% 0.34%
        (San Jose Earthquakes)   1W 0D 0L +3GD   ELO: 1435
Next: v ATL (02/28) , @ PHI (03/07) , v SEA (03/15)
S.J
3 102 3.00 55.61% 1.30% 2.54% 2.93% 5.69% 2.82% 3.75% 5.08% 5.78% 5.91% 7.01% 6.89% 7.41% 8.33% 2.63%
        (Los Angeles FC)   1W 0D 0L +3GD   ELO: 1695
Next: @ HOU (02/28) , v DAL (03/07) , v STL (03/14)
LAF
3 102 3.00 90.57% 13.77% 5.60% 4.28% 9.20% 21.72% 16.22% 12.30% 10.45% 8.53% 6.82% 5.72% 4.76% 3.98% 0.07%
        (Seattle Sounders)   1W 0D 0L +2GD   ELO: 1620
Next: @ RSL (02/28) , @ STL (03/07) , @ S.J (03/15)
SEA
3 102 3.00 83.84% 8.39% 4.98% 4.09% 8.52% 14.19% 12.12% 11.57% 10.24% 8.95% 7.89% 7.26% 5.74% 5.55% 0.33%
        (FC Dallas)   1W 0D 0L +1GD   ELO: 1503
Next: v NSH (02/28) , @ LAF (03/07) , v S.D (03/14)
DAL
3 102 3.00 66.69% 3.09% 3.27% 3.57% 7.72% 5.74% 6.51% 7.30% 7.30% 7.87% 7.71% 7.96% 8.01% 6.89% 1.40%
        (Portland Timbers)   1W 0D 0L +1GD   ELO: 1497
Next: @ COL (02/28) , v VCR (03/07) , @ HOU (03/14)
POR
3 102 3.00 66.14% 2.43% 3.69% 3.73% 7.55% 4.79% 6.32% 6.97% 7.19% 7.54% 7.99% 8.18% 7.80% 7.89% 1.47%
        (Houston Dynamo FC)   1W 0D 0L +1GD   ELO: 1487
Next: v LAF (02/28) , @ N.E (03/07) , v POR (03/14)
HOU
3 102 3.00 64.14% 2.61% 3.14% 3.48% 7.26% 4.81% 6.30% 6.81% 7.10% 7.57% 7.92% 7.42% 7.50% 6.89% 1.82%
        (Vancouver Whitecaps FC)   1W 0D 0L +1GD   ELO: 1653
Next: v TOR (02/28) , @ POR (03/07) , v MIN (03/14)
VCR
3 102 3.00 86.93% 10.21% 5.39% 4.11% 9.31% 16.68% 14.19% 12.27% 10.47% 8.48% 7.80% 6.62% 5.55% 4.75% 0.12%
        (Austin FC)   0W 1D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1447
Next: v DCU (03/01) , @ CLT (03/07) , @ RSL (03/14)
ATX
1 100 1.00 52.83% 1.01% 2.89% 2.74% 5.66% 2.12% 3.22% 4.13% 4.90% 5.62% 6.26% 7.07% 7.86% 8.04% 3.61%
        (Minnesota United FC)   0W 1D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1513
Next: v CIN (02/28) , @ NSH (03/07) , @ VCR (03/14)
MIN
1 100 1.00 65.07% 2.34% 3.75% 3.78% 7.23% 4.42% 6.28% 6.97% 6.97% 7.77% 7.55% 7.94% 7.57% 7.88% 1.72%
        (LA Galaxy)   0W 1D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1486
Next: v CLT (02/28) , @ COL (03/07) , v SKC (03/14)
LAG
1 100 1.00 60.08% 1.95% 2.92% 3.32% 6.39% 3.64% 5.05% 5.39% 6.44% 6.93% 7.31% 7.54% 7.75% 7.81% 2.22%
        (St. Louis City SC)   0W 1D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1387
Next: @ S.D (03/01) , v SEA (03/07) , @ LAF (03/14)
STL
1 100 1.00 45.14% 0.60% 2.49% 2.28% 4.62% 1.33% 2.12% 2.90% 3.71% 4.50% 4.98% 5.61% 6.58% 7.42% 5.99%
        (Real Salt Lake)   0W 0D 1L -1GD   ELO: 1418
Next: v SEA (02/28) , @ ATL (03/07) , v ATX (03/14)
RSL
0 99 0.00 48.57% 0.91% 2.57% 2.85% 5.05% 1.92% 2.64% 3.34% 4.54% 4.97% 5.52% 5.88% 6.68% 7.59% 5.49%
        (Colorado Rapids)   0W 0D 1L -2GD   ELO: 1386
Next: v POR (02/28) , v LAG (03/07) , @ NYF (03/14)
COL
0 99 0.00 44.45% 0.60% 2.02% 2.01% 4.40% 1.24% 2.03% 2.65% 3.70% 3.93% 5.13% 5.74% 6.63% 6.49% 6.91%
        (Sporting Kansas City)   0W 0D 1L -3GD   ELO: 1287
Next: v CLB (02/28) , v S.D (03/07) , @ LAG (03/14)
SKC
0 99 0.00 36.80% 0.18% 1.07% 1.28% 2.44% 0.33% 0.56% 1.00% 1.54% 2.15% 2.63% 3.23% 4.24% 4.88% 16.24%

MLS Predictor as of February 20

Scroll up and down to compare with the most recent run and see which direction teams are headed.

0.00% may mean there were some sims that got the result, but not enough to round to 0.01%.

PRE-SEASON VERSION: The starting ELO ratings are taken from an online averaging of power rankings from six different sites online, with Inter Miami at the top at 1700 and last year's Wooden Spoon winners, Sporting KC, lowest at 1310. This gives SKC about a 15% chance to beat MIA at home and a 5% chance on the road. As results come in, the ELO ratings of teams will change based on results and as the remaining matches are simulated, the ELO ratings for that sim will also change. As we get further on in the season, we'll simulate the fewer unplayed games more times.

Summary: Anyone can finish anywhere, this will be the case for at least the first third of the season, until the levels of the teams settle in and match the standings. The order of the teams all tied at zero points so far is based on their pre-season ELO rating. Some anomalies are explained by the unbalanced schedule: Columbus slightly more likely to finish in the playoffs than higher-rated NYCFC, for example. Probably Columbus has a slightly easier schedule: or it could be just random fluctuation. Same for Houston and Austin in the West.

EASTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (Inter Miami)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1700
Next: @ LAF (02/21) , @ ORL (03/01) , @ DCU (03/07)
MIA
0 102 89.96% 13.76% 5.43% 4.30% 9.53% 23.57% 15.82% 12.16% 9.80% 8.13% 7.05% 5.28% 4.60% 3.39% 0.16%
        (Philadelphia Union)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1600
Next: @ DCU (02/21) , v NYF (03/01) , v S.J (03/07)
PHI
0 102 78.89% 6.23% 4.31% 3.72% 7.95% 11.86% 11.29% 9.95% 9.31% 8.53% 7.64% 7.35% 6.50% 5.75% 0.71%
        (FC Cincinnati)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1580
Next: v ATL (02/21) , @ MIN (02/28) , v TOR (03/08)
CIN
0 102 75.02% 5.33% 4.56% 3.95% 8.60% 10.22% 9.23% 9.15% 9.14% 8.19% 8.42% 7.22% 6.66% 6.12% 0.67%
        (Nashville SC)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1550
Next: v N.E (02/21) , @ DAL (02/28) , v MIN (03/07)
NSH
0 102 73.00% 4.20% 3.82% 4.08% 7.98% 8.38% 9.46% 8.57% 8.23% 7.76% 7.96% 7.39% 6.96% 7.07% 1.22%
        (New York City FC)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1540
Next: @ LAG (02/22) , @ PHI (03/01) , v ORL (03/07)
NYF
0 102 69.19% 3.38% 3.42% 4.09% 7.30% 6.98% 7.62% 8.02% 7.93% 7.86% 7.10% 7.74% 7.11% 7.33% 1.50%
        (Columbus Crew)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1530
Next: @ POR (02/21) , @ SKC (02/28) , v CHI (03/07)
CLB
0 102 70.27% 3.91% 3.39% 4.05% 7.68% 7.99% 7.90% 8.36% 7.82% 7.63% 7.81% 7.28% 7.19% 6.79% 1.50%
        (Chicago Fire)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1520
Next: @ HOU (02/21) , v MTL (02/28) , @ CLB (03/07)
CHI
0 102 68.48% 3.08% 3.78% 3.65% 6.68% 6.41% 7.56% 7.96% 7.53% 7.74% 7.27% 8.01% 6.99% 7.48% 1.53%
        (Charlotte FC)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1505
Next: @ STL (02/21) , @ LAG (02/28) , v ATX (03/07)
CLT
0 102 65.54% 3.01% 3.40% 3.41% 7.38% 6.25% 6.95% 6.74% 7.24% 7.19% 7.20% 7.42% 7.51% 6.80% 2.24%
        (Orlando City)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1500
Next: v NYR (02/21) , v MIA (03/01) , @ NYF (03/07)
ORL
0 102 64.77% 2.30% 3.49% 3.72% 7.38% 5.25% 5.91% 7.39% 7.11% 7.47% 7.60% 7.53% 7.34% 7.13% 2.04%
        (New York Red Bulls)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1470
Next: @ ORL (02/21) , v N.E (02/28) , v MTL (03/08)
NYR
0 102 60.34% 1.82% 2.97% 3.37% 6.74% 4.03% 5.22% 6.16% 6.17% 7.25% 6.82% 6.79% 7.48% 7.43% 2.99%
        (Atlanta United FC)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1415
Next: @ CIN (02/21) , @ S.J (02/28) , v RSL (03/07)
ATL
0 102 51.47% 1.26% 2.50% 2.56% 5.42% 2.82% 3.67% 4.00% 4.81% 5.27% 5.77% 6.67% 7.23% 6.86% 4.37%
        (New England Revolution)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1405
Next: @ NSH (02/21) , @ NYR (02/28) , v HOU (03/07)
N.E
0 102 50.90% 1.01% 2.98% 2.78% 4.91% 2.38% 3.36% 3.59% 4.92% 5.20% 5.88% 5.75% 7.07% 7.18% 5.57%
        (Toronto FC)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1390
Next: @ DAL (02/21) , @ VCR (02/28) , @ CIN (03/08)
TOR
0 102 48.15% 0.72% 2.41% 2.31% 4.82% 1.76% 2.78% 3.64% 4.21% 4.80% 5.20% 5.92% 6.55% 7.50% 5.79%
        (CF Montréal)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1345
Next: @ S.D (02/21) , @ CHI (02/28) , @ NYR (03/08)
MTL
0 102 42.48% 0.48% 1.98% 2.07% 3.66% 1.33% 1.75% 2.43% 2.82% 3.70% 4.28% 5.03% 5.61% 6.74% 8.79%
        (DC United)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1325
Next: v PHI (02/21) , @ ATX (03/01) , v MIA (03/07)
DCU
0 102 40.77% 0.32% 1.62% 1.88% 3.97% 0.77% 1.48% 1.88% 2.96% 3.28% 4.00% 4.62% 5.20% 6.43% 10.15%
WESTERN
(Full name) - Record - ELO / Games Coming Up    TEAM
Points
So Far
Max
Points
Avg.
Points
Make
Playoffs
Supp.
Shield
MLSCup
Winner
MLSCup
Loser
Semi
Loser
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th Wooden
Spoon
        (Los Angeles FC)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1650
Next: v MIA (02/21) , @ HOU (02/28) , v DAL (03/07)
LAF
0 102 85.76% 9.79% 5.33% 4.46% 8.61% 17.79% 13.73% 11.34% 9.60% 8.76% 7.25% 6.29% 5.79% 4.84% 0.37%
        (Vancouver Whitecaps FC)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1640
Next: v RSL (02/21) , v TOR (02/28) , @ POR (03/07)
VCR
0 102 85.62% 8.76% 5.05% 4.35% 9.30% 16.99% 13.86% 11.39% 9.95% 8.37% 7.60% 6.58% 5.64% 4.83% 0.41%
        (San Diego FC)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1620
Next: v MTL (02/21) , v STL (03/01) , @ SKC (03/07)
S.D
0 102 81.94% 7.06% 4.47% 4.39% 9.12% 13.30% 12.22% 11.11% 9.69% 8.61% 7.99% 6.82% 5.96% 5.76% 0.48%
        (Seattle Sounders)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1605
Next: v COL (02/22) , @ RSL (02/28) , @ STL (03/07)
SEA
0 102 80.57% 6.57% 4.92% 3.91% 8.50% 13.32% 11.62% 10.55% 9.26% 8.36% 7.61% 7.33% 6.14% 5.66% 0.72%
        (Minnesota United FC)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1510
Next: @ ATX (02/21) , v CIN (02/28) , @ NSH (03/07)
MIN
0 102 66.90% 2.96% 3.42% 3.54% 7.37% 6.23% 7.11% 7.28% 7.85% 7.92% 7.74% 7.02% 6.82% 6.97% 1.96%
        (LA Galaxy)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1490
Next: v NYF (02/22) , v CLT (02/28) , @ COL (03/07)
LAG
0 102 65.12% 2.85% 3.59% 3.50% 6.99% 6.02% 6.47% 6.98% 6.98% 7.44% 7.53% 7.22% 7.18% 6.97% 2.33%
        (FC Dallas)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1480
Next: v TOR (02/21) , v NSH (02/28) , @ LAF (03/07)
DAL
0 102 63.28% 2.44% 3.19% 3.72% 6.67% 5.28% 6.10% 6.41% 6.81% 7.39% 7.28% 7.32% 7.09% 7.14% 2.46%
        (Portland Timbers)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1455
Next: v CLB (02/21) , @ COL (02/28) , v VCR (03/07)
POR
0 102 59.15% 1.38% 3.00% 3.09% 6.68% 3.47% 4.77% 5.33% 6.29% 6.76% 6.78% 7.66% 7.38% 7.55% 3.16%
        (Austin FC)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1450
Next: v MIN (02/21) , v DCU (03/01) , @ CLT (03/07)
ATX
0 102 57.39% 1.66% 2.52% 3.05% 6.14% 3.69% 4.54% 5.09% 5.89% 5.82% 6.43% 7.62% 7.43% 7.57% 3.31%
        (Houston Dynamo FC)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1445
Next: v CHI (02/21) , v LAF (02/28) , @ N.E (03/07)
HOU
0 102 57.91% 1.49% 2.94% 3.15% 5.85% 3.62% 4.83% 5.27% 6.02% 6.46% 6.77% 6.63% 7.37% 7.16% 3.78%
        (Real Salt Lake)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1430
Next: @ VCR (02/21) , v SEA (02/28) , @ ATL (03/07)
RSL
0 102 53.48% 1.33% 2.54% 3.01% 5.63% 2.89% 3.94% 4.56% 5.00% 5.77% 6.00% 6.65% 7.07% 7.58% 4.02%
        (San Jose Earthquakes)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1410
Next: v SKC (02/21) , v ATL (02/28) , @ PHI (03/07)
S.J
0 102 51.91% 1.06% 2.36% 2.77% 5.57% 2.44% 3.23% 4.53% 4.82% 5.20% 6.07% 6.46% 7.36% 7.08% 4.72%
        (Colorado Rapids)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1400
Next: @ SEA (02/22) , v POR (02/28) , v LAG (03/07)
COL
0 102 51.40% 0.73% 2.63% 2.86% 5.29% 2.14% 3.45% 4.07% 4.64% 4.96% 5.69% 6.30% 7.18% 7.42% 5.55%
        (St. Louis City SC)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1385
Next: v CLT (02/21) , @ S.D (03/01) , v SEA (03/07)
STL
0 102 50.13% 0.85% 2.39% 2.60% 4.85% 2.03% 2.86% 4.27% 4.57% 5.36% 5.75% 5.87% 6.40% 7.43% 5.59%
        (Sporting Kansas City)   0W 0D 0L +0GD   ELO: 1310
Next: @ S.J (02/21) , v CLB (02/28) , v S.D (03/07)
SKC
0 102 40.21% 0.26% 1.59% 1.66% 3.43% 0.79% 1.27% 1.82% 2.63% 2.82% 3.51% 4.23% 5.19% 6.04% 11.91%